Football Model Report

Model probs (cal): H 89.4% · D 7.5% · A 3.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (70.2%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (13.7%) | Market overround: 107.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.9% · Home by 2+ 45.3% · Draw 18.9% · Away by 1 8.1% · Away by 2+ 2.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.69 · Under 2.46)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.07)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Gil Vicente	Overall	27	11	9	7	39	28	11
	Home	13	7	3	3	22	12	10
	Away	14	4	6	4	17	16	1
AVS	Overall	27	1	8	18	18	58	-40
	Home	14	1	4	9	10	24	-14
	Away	13	0	4	9	8	34	-26

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Gil Vicente	0-2-3	6	10	-4
AVS	0-3-2	0	4	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Gil Vicente	1.33	1.59	1.53	1.20
AVS	0.63	1.23	0.84	1.34

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	89.4%	74.6%	+14.8pp
Draw	7.5%	21.7%	-14.2pp
Away	3.1%	11.3%	-8.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.32 (43.1%) · No: 1.76 (56.9%)

Top scorelines

2-0 13.7% 1-0 13.2% 3-0 9.6% 2-1 9.3% 1-1 8.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.2%	8.9%	3.0%	0.7%
2	13.7%	9.3%	3.1%	0.7%
3	9.6%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.45	3.20
O/U 2.25	1.69	2.46
O/U 2.50	1.92	2.09
O/U 2.75	2.16	1.86
O/U 3.00	2.59	1.63
O/U 3.25	2.96	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.33	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.03	35.78
AH +1.25	1.03	34.33
AH +1.00	1.03	32.89
AH +0.75	1.08	14.04
AH +0.50	1.12	9.20
AH +0.25	1.14	8.33
AH +0.00	1.15	7.46
AH -0.25	1.29	4.46
AH -0.50	1.42	3.36
AH -0.75	1.52	2.94
AH -1.00	1.66	2.52
AH -1.25	1.93	2.07
AH -1.50	2.21	1.83

Model probs (cal): H 47.6% · D 31.0% · A 21.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (48.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.7%) | Market overround: 107.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.3% · Home by 2+ 24.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away by 1 16.2% · Away by 2+ 9.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.96 · Under 2.04)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.79 · Away 2.26)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Guimaraes	Overall	27	9	5	13	29	42	-13
	Home	14	6	4	4	19	18	1
	Away	13	3	1	9	10	24	-14
Tondela	Overall	26	4	8	14	19	39	-20
	Home	14	1	6	7	9	17	-8
	Away	12	3	2	7	10	22	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Guimaraes	0-1-4	4	11	-7
Tondela	1-3-1	5	4	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Guimaraes	1.61	1.49	1.41	1.58
Tondela	1.10	0.83	0.95	1.18

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	47.6%	55.4%	-7.8pp
Draw	31.0%	29.0%	+2.0pp
Away	21.3%	23.5%	-2.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.08 (48.2%) · No: 1.93 (51.8%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.7% 1-1 12.4% 2-0 9.3% 2-1 9.1% 0-0 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	8.4%	4.1%	1.4%
1	12.7%	12.4%	6.1%	2.0%
2	9.3%	9.1%	4.5%	1.5%
3	4.6%	4.5%	2.2%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.67	2.50
O/U 2.25	1.96	2.04
O/U 2.50	2.25	1.80
O/U 2.75	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.00	3.39	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.84	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.30	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.10	11.10
AH +1.25	1.11	10.20
AH +1.00	1.12	9.30
AH +0.75	1.23	5.37
AH +0.50	1.34	3.97
AH +0.25	1.41	3.44
AH +0.00	1.52	2.92
AH -0.25	1.79	2.26
AH -0.50	2.06	1.94 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.42	1.71
AH -1.00	3.13	1.47
AH -1.25	3.63	1.38
AH -1.50	4.13	1.32

Model probs (cal): H 40.5% · D 28.4% · A 31.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 107.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.0% · Home by 2+ 18.1% · Draw 27.2% · Away by 1 19.4% · Away by 2+ 13.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.95 · Under 2.05)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.81 · Away 2.23)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Annecy	Overall	28	11	6	11	35	34	1
	Home	13	5	5	3	19	13	6
	Away	15	6	1	8	16	21	-5
Guingamp	Overall	28	10	9	9	38	40	-2
	Home	15	6	4	5	18	20	-2
	Away	13	4	5	4	20	20	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Annecy	2-0-3	5	10	-5
Guingamp	2-2-1	7	5	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Annecy	1.29	1.25	1.18	1.10
Guingamp	0.94	1.15	1.21	1.35

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.5%	35.7%	+4.8pp
Draw	28.4%	31.0%	-2.6pp
Away	31.1%	41.2%	-10.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.00 (49.9%) · No: 2.00 (50.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 1-0 11.2% 0-1 9.9% 0-0 8.6% 2-1 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	9.9%	5.7%	2.2%
1	11.2%	12.9%	7.4%	2.8%
2	7.3%	8.4%	4.8%	1.9%
3	3.2%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.51
O/U 2.25	1.95	2.05
O/U 2.50	2.24	1.80
O/U 2.75	2.63	1.61
O/U 3.00	3.37	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.83	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.28	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.51
AH +1.25	1.17	6.79
AH +1.00	1.20	6.06
AH +0.75	1.34	3.93
AH +0.50	1.49	3.06
AH +0.25	1.61 VALUE	2.64
AH +0.00	1.81	2.23
AH -0.25	2.15	1.87
AH -0.50	2.49	1.67
AH -0.75	3.05	1.49
AH -1.00	4.30	1.30
AH -1.25	4.90	1.26
AH -1.50	5.51	1.22

Model probs (cal): H 40.9% · D 29.0% · A 30.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.6%) | Market overround: 108.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.0% · Home by 2+ 20.4% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 17.6% · Away by 2+ 9.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.87 · Under 2.15)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.07)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bastia	Overall	27	3	11	13	15	31	-16
	Home	13	2	4	7	7	17	-10
	Away	14	1	7	6	8	14	-6
Amiens	Overall	28	6	5	17	33	50	-17
	Home	14	2	3	9	16	26	-10
	Away	14	4	2	8	17	24	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bastia	0-3-2	4	7	-3
Amiens	0-1-4	2	8	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bastia	1.24	0.83	1.13	0.75
Amiens	0.89	1.23	1.04	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.9%	51.9%	-11.0pp
Draw	29.0%	30.2%	-1.2pp
Away	30.0%	26.0%	+4.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.24 (44.7%) · No: 1.81 (55.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.6% 1-1 13.0% 0-0 10.5% 0-1 10.0% 2-0 8.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.5%	10.0%	4.8%	1.5%
1	13.6%	13.0%	6.2%	2.0%
2	8.9%	8.5%	4.0%	1.3%
3	3.8%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.87	2.15
O/U 2.25	2.21	1.83
O/U 2.50	2.55	1.64 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.08	1.48
O/U 3.00	4.18	1.31
O/U 3.25	4.70	1.27
O/U 3.50	5.22	1.24

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.31
AH +1.25	1.12	9.40
AH +1.00	1.13	8.49
AH +0.75	1.26	4.92
AH +0.50	1.38	3.66
AH +0.25	1.47	3.14
AH +0.00	1.61	2.63
AH -0.25	1.93	2.07
AH -0.50	2.25	1.80 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.71	1.59
AH -1.00	3.71	1.37
AH -1.25	4.30	1.30
AH -1.50	4.89	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 41.1% · D 28.8% · A 30.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.9%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.8%) | Market overround: 107.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.2% · Home by 2+ 20.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 18.0% · Away by 2+ 11.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.99 · Under 2.01)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.97 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Dunkerque	Overall	28	10	9	9	43	34	9
	Home	14	5	6	3	23	15	8
	Away	14	5	3	6	20	19	1
Rodez	Overall	28	11	11	6	35	33	2
	Home	14	5	7	2	15	12	3
	Away	14	6	4	4	20	21	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Dunkerque	1-0-4	6	10	-4
Rodez	3-1-1	7	5	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Dunkerque	1.06	1.46	1.07	1.10
Rodez	0.98	1.54	1.13	1.64

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.1%	49.3%	-8.2pp
Draw	28.8%	28.2%	+0.7pp
Away	30.1%	30.3%	-0.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.05 (48.7%) · No: 1.95 (51.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.8% 1-0 12.1% 0-1 9.3% 0-0 8.8% 2-1 8.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.8%	9.3%	5.0%	1.7%
1	12.1%	12.8%	6.8%	2.4%
2	8.3%	8.8%	4.6%	1.6%
3	3.8%	4.0%	2.1%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.69	2.45
O/U 2.25	1.99	2.01
O/U 2.50	2.29	1.78 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.69	1.59
O/U 3.00	3.48	1.40
O/U 3.25	3.94	1.34
O/U 3.50	4.41	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.04
AH +1.25	1.14	8.23
AH +1.00	1.16	7.41
AH +0.75	1.28	4.54
AH +0.50	1.41	3.44
AH +0.25	1.51	2.98
AH +0.00	1.66	2.51
AH -0.25	1.97	2.03
AH -0.50	2.28	1.78
AH -0.75	2.74	1.58
AH -1.00	3.71	1.37
AH -1.25	4.27	1.31
AH -1.50	4.84	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 40.9% · D 29.0% · A 30.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.9%) | Market overround: 107.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.9% · Home by 2+ 19.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away by 1 18.0% · Away by 2+ 9.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.07)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.97 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Grenoble	Overall	28	6	12	10	26	33	-7
	Home	14	4	8	2	10	11	-1
	Away	14	2	4	8	16	22	-6
Clermont	Overall	28	7	7	14	30	37	-7
	Home	14	4	4	6	15	15	0
	Away	14	3	3	8	15	22	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Grenoble	0-3-2	2	4	-2
Clermont	2-0-3	5	5	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Grenoble	0.93	0.69	1.14	0.90
Clermont	1.25	0.89	1.24	1.27

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.9%	39.4%	+1.5pp
Draw	29.0%	31.2%	-2.2pp
Away	30.0%	37.0%	-6.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.28 (43.9%) · No: 1.78 (56.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.9% 1-1 13.1% 0-0 11.0% 0-1 10.4% 2-0 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.0%	10.4%	4.9%	1.6%
1	13.9%	13.1%	6.2%	2.0%
2	8.7%	8.3%	3.9%	1.2%
3	3.7%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.93	2.07
O/U 2.25	2.28	1.78
O/U 2.50	2.64	1.61 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.21	1.45
O/U 3.00	4.41	1.29
O/U 3.25	4.95	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.49	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.12
AH +1.25	1.12	9.21
AH +1.00	1.14	8.30
AH +0.75	1.26	4.82
AH +0.50	1.39	3.58
AH +0.25	1.48	3.07
AH +0.00	1.64 VALUE	2.56
AH -0.25	1.97	2.03
AH -0.50	2.30	1.77
AH -0.75	2.79	1.56
AH -1.00	3.89	1.35
AH -1.25	4.50	1.29
AH -1.50	5.12	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 41.5% · D 28.8% · A 29.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (15.9%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.7% · Home by 2+ 22.1% · Draw 28.9% · Away by 1 16.0% · Away by 2+ 7.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 2.11 · Under 1.90)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.79 · Away 2.27)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Red Star	Overall	27	12	8	7	32	27	5
	Home	13	5	5	3	14	16	-2
	Away	14	7	3	4	18	11	7
Laval	Overall	28	4	11	13	24	41	-17
	Home	14	1	6	7	13	22	-9
	Away	14	3	5	6	11	19	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Red Star	2-1-2	3	4	-1
Laval	1-1-3	3	6	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Red Star	0.76	1.23	0.93	1.23
Laval	0.88	1.17	1.05	1.19

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.5%	58.7%	-17.2pp
Draw	28.8%	29.1%	-0.3pp
Away	29.7%	20.0%	+9.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.51 (39.9%) · No: 1.66 (60.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 15.9% 1-1 12.8% 0-0 12.4% 2-0 10.2% 0-1 10.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	12.4%	10.0%	4.0%	1.1%
1	15.9%	12.8%	5.1%	1.4%
2	10.2%	8.2%	3.3%	0.9%
3	4.4%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	2.11	1.90
O/U 2.25	2.50	1.67
O/U 2.50	2.89	1.53 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.59	1.39
O/U 3.00	5.12	1.24
O/U 3.25	5.71	1.21
O/U 3.50	6.30	1.19

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.83
AH +1.25	1.09	12.72
AH +1.00	1.09	11.61
AH +0.75	1.20	6.03
AH +0.50	1.30	4.30
AH +0.25	1.37	3.68
AH +0.00	1.49	3.05
AH -0.25	1.79	2.27
AH -0.50	2.09	1.92
AH -0.75	2.49	1.67 VALUE
AH -1.00	3.36	1.42
AH -1.25	3.94	1.34
AH -1.50	4.52	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 30.4% · D 28.0% · A 41.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.6%) | Market overround: 107.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.5% · Home by 2+ 19.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away by 1 19.3% · Away by 2+ 16.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.60 · Under 2.66)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Antwerp	Overall	30	9	8	13	31	32	-1
	Home	15	6	4	5	21	18	3
	Away	15	3	4	8	10	14	-4
Genk	Overall	30	11	9	10	46	47	-1
	Home	15	6	4	5	21	20	1
	Away	15	5	5	5	25	27	-2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Antwerp	1-2-2	3	4	-1
Genk	1-3-1	13	13	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Antwerp	1.18	1.72	1.20	1.37
Genk	1.99	2.32	1.90	1.72

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	30.4%	29.4%	+1.0pp
Draw	28.0%	29.0%	-1.0pp
Away	41.6%	48.8%	-7.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.71 (58.4%) · No: 2.40 (41.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.6% 2-1 8.6% 1-0 8.3% 1-2 8.1% 0-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.6%	7.8%	5.5%	2.6%
1	8.3%	11.6%	8.1%	3.8%
2	6.1%	8.6%	6.0%	2.8%
3	3.0%	4.3%	3.0%	1.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.39	3.55
O/U 2.25	1.60	2.66
O/U 2.50	1.81 VALUE	2.23
O/U 2.75	2.02	1.98
O/U 3.00	2.37	1.73
O/U 3.25	2.71	1.59
O/U 3.50	3.05	1.49

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.20	6.09
AH +1.25	1.22	5.50
AH +1.00	1.26	4.91
AH +0.75	1.41	3.46
AH +0.50	1.56 VALUE	2.80
AH +0.25	1.69	2.45
AH +0.00	1.91	2.10
AH -0.25	2.22	1.82
AH -0.50	2.53	1.65
AH -0.75	3.07	1.48
AH -1.00	4.19	1.31
AH -1.25	4.73	1.27
AH -1.50	5.26	1.23

Model probs (cal): H 66.7% · D 18.2% · A 15.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (65.3%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (11.2%) | Market overround: 104.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.1% · Home by 2+ 41.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away by 1 10.2% · Away by 2+ 4.7%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.24 · Under 1.81)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.18)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Paris SG	Overall	26	19	3	4	58	22	36
	Home	12	10	1	1	31	7	24
	Away	14	9	2	3	27	15	12
Toulouse	Overall	27	10	7	10	38	32	6
	Home	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
	Away	13	5	2	6	17	15	2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Paris SG	3-0-2	10	6	4
Toulouse	2-1-2	6	6	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Paris SG	2.29	0.98	2.09	1.03
Toulouse	1.48	1.16	1.73	1.23

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	66.7%	80.0%	-13.3pp
Draw	18.2%	15.7%	+2.5pp
Away	15.1%	9.1%	+6.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.95 (51.3%) · No: 2.06 (48.7%)

Top scorelines

2-0 11.2% 1-0 10.7% 2-1 9.9% 1-1 9.4% 3-0 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.1%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
1	10.7%	9.4%	4.2%	1.2%
2	11.2%	9.9%	4.3%	1.3%
3	7.8%	6.9%	3.0%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.36	3.80
O/U 2.25	1.55	2.80
O/U 2.50	1.75	2.33 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.94	2.07
O/U 3.00	2.24	1.81
O/U 3.25	2.56	1.64
O/U 3.50	2.89	1.53

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	21.46
AH +1.25	1.05	20.36
AH +1.00	1.05	19.27
AH +0.75	1.11	9.74
AH +0.50	1.17	6.74
AH +0.25	1.20	6.07
AH +0.00	1.23	5.40
AH -0.25	1.38	3.63
AH -0.50	1.53	2.88
AH -0.75	1.65	2.53
AH -1.00	1.84	2.18
AH -1.25	2.14	1.88
AH -1.50	2.43	1.70

Model probs (cal): H 54.4% · D 23.7% · A 22.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (54.1%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.4%) | Market overround: 104.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.3% · Home by 2+ 28.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away by 1 14.0% · Away by 2+ 6.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.07)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.62 · Away 2.62)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Vallecano	Overall	29	7	11	11	28	35	-7
	Home	14	4	8	2	16	11	5
	Away	15	3	3	9	12	24	-12
Elche	Overall	29	6	11	12	38	46	-8
	Home	15	6	7	2	24	16	8
	Away	14	0	4	10	14	30	-16

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Vallecano	1-3-1	6	4	2
Elche	1-1-3	7	11	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Vallecano	1.36	0.88	1.40	1.17
Elche	1.48	1.91	1.40	1.67

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	54.4%	57.8%	-3.4pp
Draw	23.7%	26.0%	-2.3pp
Away	22.0%	21.1%	+0.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.14 (46.7%) · No: 1.88 (53.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.4% 1-1 11.8% 2-0 10.7% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.4%	7.4%	3.3%	1.0%
1	13.4%	11.8%	5.2%	1.5%
2	10.7%	9.4%	4.2%	1.2%
3	5.7%	5.0%	2.2%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.65	2.54
O/U 2.25	1.94	2.07
O/U 2.50	2.22	1.82 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.60	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.32	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.77	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.22	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	14.69
AH +1.25	1.08	13.66
AH +1.00	1.09	12.63
AH +0.75	1.17	6.73
AH +0.50	1.26	4.80
AH +0.25	1.31	4.20
AH +0.00	1.39	3.59
AH -0.25	1.62	2.62
AH -0.50	1.85	2.18
AH -0.75	2.11	1.90
AH -1.00	2.60	1.63
AH -1.25	3.04	1.49
AH -1.50	3.48	1.40

Model probs (cal): H 89.4% · D 7.5% · A 3.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (72.1%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (13.9%) | Market overround: 107.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.4% · Home by 2+ 47.7% · Draw 17.9% · Away by 1 7.5% · Away by 2+ 2.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.64 · Under 2.57)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.19)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sp Lisbon	Overall	26	20	5	1	68	15	53
	Home	12	10	1	1	36	4	32
	Away	14	10	4	0	32	11	21
Santa Clara	Overall	27	7	7	13	24	31	-7
	Home	14	5	2	7	13	14	-1
	Away	13	2	5	6	11	17	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sp Lisbon	4-1-0	13	3	10
Santa Clara	3-2-0	7	3	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sp Lisbon	2.01	1.00	1.62	1.19
Santa Clara	0.95	0.85	0.86	0.98

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	89.4%	77.2%	+12.2pp
Draw	7.5%	19.5%	-12.1pp
Away	3.1%	10.5%	-7.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.33 (42.9%) · No: 1.75 (57.1%)

Top scorelines

2-0 13.9% 1-0 12.8% 3-0 10.0% 2-1 9.2% 1-1 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.9%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.8%	8.5%	2.8%	0.6%
2	13.9%	9.2%	3.0%	0.7%
3	10.0%	6.6%	2.2%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.42	3.38
O/U 2.25	1.64	2.57
O/U 2.50	1.86	2.17
O/U 2.75	2.08	1.92
O/U 3.00	2.47	1.68
O/U 3.25	2.82	1.55
O/U 3.50	3.17	1.46

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.03	39.95
AH +1.25	1.03	38.46
AH +1.00	1.03	36.97
AH +0.75	1.07	15.45
AH +0.50	1.11	10.04
AH +0.25	1.12	9.14
AH +0.00	1.14	8.24
AH -0.25	1.26	4.81
AH -0.50	1.39	3.59
AH -0.75	1.47	3.15
AH -1.00	1.58	2.71
AH -1.25	1.84	2.19
AH -1.50	2.10	1.91

Model probs (cal): H 31.8% · D 27.3% · A 40.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.4%) | Market overround: 107.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.2% · Home by 2+ 20.4% · Draw 26.0% · Away by 1 18.4% · Away by 2+ 12.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.74 · Away 2.36)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bielefeld	Overall	27	7	7	13	39	39	0
	Home	13	5	3	5	24	17	7
	Away	14	2	4	8	15	22	-7
Darmstadt	Overall	27	13	11	3	49	30	19
	Home	14	10	4	0	29	10	19
	Away	13	3	7	3	20	20	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bielefeld	1-1-3	5	7	-2
Darmstadt	0-4-1	9	11	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bielefeld	1.05	1.42	1.13	1.59
Darmstadt	1.25	1.78	1.28	1.57

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.8%	44.4%	-12.6pp
Draw	27.3%	27.4%	-0.1pp
Away	40.9%	35.4%	+5.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.89 (53.0%) · No: 2.13 (47.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.4% 1-0 10.4% 2-1 8.9% 0-1 8.7% 2-0 7.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	8.7%	5.2%	2.0%
1	10.4%	12.4%	7.4%	2.9%
2	7.4%	8.9%	5.3%	2.1%
3	3.6%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.54	2.85
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.50	2.05	1.95 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.36	1.74
O/U 3.00	2.91	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.32	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.72	1.37

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.73
AH +1.25	1.17	7.02
AH +1.00	1.19	6.30
AH +0.75	1.32	4.10
AH +0.50	1.46	3.19
AH +0.25	1.56	2.77
AH +0.00	1.74	2.36
AH -0.25	2.04	1.96
AH -0.50	2.35	1.74
AH -0.75	2.82	1.55
AH -1.00	3.81	1.36
AH -1.25	4.36	1.30
AH -1.50	4.90	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 37.6% · D 25.2% · A 37.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.9%) | Market overround: 106.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.9% · Home by 2+ 23.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away by 1 16.9% · Away by 2+ 11.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.72 · Under 2.38)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.87 · Away 2.15)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Kaiserslautern	Overall	27	12	4	11	45	41	4
	Home	14	9	1	4	30	17	13
	Away	13	3	3	7	15	24	-9
Fortuna Dusseldorf	Overall	27	9	4	14	26	40	-14
	Home	14	5	3	6	15	22	-7
	Away	13	4	1	8	11	18	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Kaiserslautern	1-2-2	5	9	-4
Fortuna Dusseldorf	0-0-5	3	8	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Kaiserslautern	1.24	1.43	1.43	1.70
Fortuna Dusseldorf	1.24	1.29	1.23	1.46

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	37.6%	41.4%	-3.8pp
Draw	25.2%	27.6%	-2.4pp
Away	37.2%	37.9%	-0.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.85 (54.1%) · No: 2.18 (45.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.9% 1-0 10.3% 2-1 9.3% 2-0 8.1% 0-1 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.6%	7.6%	4.4%	1.7%
1	10.3%	11.9%	6.9%	2.6%
2	8.1%	9.3%	5.4%	2.1%
3	4.2%	4.8%	2.8%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.48	3.07
O/U 2.25	1.72	2.38
O/U 2.50	1.96	2.04 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.23	1.81
O/U 3.00	2.70	1.59
O/U 3.25	3.08	1.48
O/U 3.50	3.46	1.41

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.93
AH +1.25	1.14	8.17
AH +1.00	1.16	7.42
AH +0.75	1.27	4.66
AH +0.50	1.39	3.56
AH +0.25	1.47	3.11
AH +0.00	1.60 VALUE	2.66
AH -0.25	1.87	2.15
AH -0.50	2.14	1.88
AH -0.75	2.51	1.66
AH -1.00	3.23	1.45
AH -1.25	3.71	1.37
AH -1.50	4.19	1.31

Model probs (cal): H 34.7% · D 24.6% · A 40.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.0%) | Market overround: 107.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.2% · Home by 2+ 21.9% · Draw 25.4% · Away by 1 17.9% · Away by 2+ 12.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.72 · Under 2.40)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.02)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Magdeburg	Overall	27	8	3	16	39	50	-11
	Home	13	2	2	9	16	26	-10
	Away	14	6	1	7	23	24	-1
Bochum	Overall	27	8	9	10	38	36	2
	Home	14	6	4	4	23	18	5
	Away	13	2	5	6	15	18	-3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Magdeburg	3-0-2	13	10	3
Bochum	1-3-1	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Magdeburg	2.25	1.78	1.75	1.78
Bochum	1.14	1.40	1.14	1.67

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	34.7%	47.8%	-13.1pp
Draw	24.6%	26.8%	-2.2pp
Away	40.7%	32.7%	+8.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.83 (54.7%) · No: 2.21 (45.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.0% 1-0 9.9% 2-1 9.1% 0-1 8.0% 2-0 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.6%	8.0%	4.8%	2.0%
1	9.9%	12.0%	7.3%	2.9%
2	7.5%	9.1%	5.5%	2.2%
3	3.8%	4.6%	2.8%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.48	3.09
O/U 2.25	1.72	2.40
O/U 2.50	1.95	2.05 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.22	1.82
O/U 3.00	2.68	1.60
O/U 3.25	3.06	1.49
O/U 3.50	3.44	1.41

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	7.90
AH +1.25	1.16	7.20
AH +1.00	1.18	6.49
AH +0.75	1.31	4.22
AH +0.50	1.44	3.28
AH +0.25	1.54	2.86
AH +0.00	1.69	2.44
AH -0.25	1.98	2.02
AH -0.50	2.27	1.79
AH -0.75	2.69	1.59
AH -1.00	3.56	1.39
AH -1.25	4.07	1.33
AH -1.50	4.57	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 40.0% · D 29.1% · A 30.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (39.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 107.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.7% · Home by 2+ 14.7% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 21.3% · Away by 2+ 17.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.83 · Under 2.20)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.14 · Away 1.88)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Genclerbirligi	Overall	27	6	7	14	28	37	-9
	Home	13	5	4	4	19	18	1
	Away	14	1	3	10	9	19	-10
Goztep	Overall	26	11	10	5	30	20	10
	Home	13	6	6	1	16	7	9
	Away	13	5	4	4	14	13	1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Genclerbirligi	0-2-3	0	4	-4
Goztep	0-3-2	3	8	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Genclerbirligi	0.89	1.71	1.05	1.55
Goztep	1.35	1.16	1.38	1.09

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.0%	32.3%	+7.7pp
Draw	29.1%	31.7%	-2.6pp
Away	30.9%	43.7%	-12.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.91 (52.5%) · No: 2.10 (47.5%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 0-1 10.2% 1-0 9.4% 1-2 8.4% 2-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.6%	10.2%	6.8%	3.0%
1	9.4%	12.6%	8.4%	3.8%
2	5.8%	7.8%	5.2%	2.3%
3	2.4%	3.2%	2.2%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.57	2.76
O/U 2.25	1.83	2.20
O/U 2.50	2.10 VALUE	1.91
O/U 2.75	2.42	1.70
O/U 3.00	3.01	1.50
O/U 3.25	3.43	1.41
O/U 3.50	3.85	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.22	5.59
AH +1.25	1.25	5.00
AH +1.00	1.29	4.40
AH +0.75	1.47	3.13
AH +0.50	1.64	2.55
AH +0.25	1.82	2.22
AH +0.00	2.14	1.88
AH -0.25	2.52	1.66
AH -0.50	2.91	1.52
AH -0.75	3.68	1.37
AH -1.00	5.46	1.22
AH -1.25	6.13	1.19
AH -1.50	6.80	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 47.7% · D 28.8% · A 23.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (45.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 107.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.4% · Home by 2+ 22.1% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 17.4% · Away by 2+ 10.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.92 · Under 2.09)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Kasimpasa	Overall	27	5	9	13	23	38	-15
	Home	13	2	5	6	10	18	-8
	Away	14	3	4	7	13	20	-7
Kayserispor	Overall	27	4	11	12	21	48	-27
	Home	13	3	3	7	10	26	-16
	Away	14	1	8	5	11	22	-11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Kasimpasa	1-2-2	4	7	-3
Kayserispor	2-1-2	4	5	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Kasimpasa	0.99	1.43	0.95	1.26
Kayserispor	1.22	1.26	1.01	1.60

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	47.7%	46.5%	+1.2pp
Draw	28.8%	29.4%	-0.6pp
Away	23.5%	31.6%	-8.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.01 (49.8%) · No: 1.99 (50.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 11.8% 2-1 9.0% 0-1 8.8% 2-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.3%	8.8%	4.7%	1.7%
1	11.8%	12.6%	6.7%	2.4%
2	8.5%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.63	2.58
O/U 2.25	1.92	2.09
O/U 2.50	2.20	1.83 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.57	1.64
O/U 3.00	3.26	1.44
O/U 3.25	3.70	1.37
O/U 3.50	4.15	1.32

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.39
AH +1.25	1.13	8.58
AH +1.00	1.15	7.76
AH +0.75	1.27	4.72
AH +0.50	1.39	3.57
AH +0.25	1.48	3.10
AH +0.00	1.62	2.62
AH -0.25	1.91	2.10
AH -0.50	2.20	1.83
AH -0.75	2.61	1.62
AH -1.00	3.47	1.41
AH -1.25	4.00	1.33
AH -1.50	4.53	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 39.0% · D 29.3% · A 31.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (37.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.2%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.4% · Home by 2+ 15.6% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 20.6% · Away by 2+ 14.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.79 · Under 2.27)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.94 · Away 2.06)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Montpellier	Overall	28	12	6	10	33	25	8
	Home	14	7	3	4	22	15	7
	Away	14	5	3	6	11	10	1
Troyes	Overall	28	17	6	5	49	28	21
	Home	15	12	1	2	35	17	18
	Away	13	5	5	3	14	11	3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Montpellier	1-2-2	3	3	0
Troyes	3-1-1	5	3	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Montpellier	1.04	1.17	0.92	1.32
Troyes	0.62	0.88	1.05	1.02

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	39.0%	37.0%	+2.0pp
Draw	29.3%	29.9%	-0.6pp
Away	31.7%	41.2%	-9.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.11 (47.3%) · No: 1.90 (52.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.2% 1-0 11.5% 0-1 11.1% 0-0 9.7% 2-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.7%	11.1%	6.4%	2.4%
1	11.5%	13.2%	7.5%	2.9%
2	6.8%	7.8%	4.5%	1.7%
3	2.7%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.79	2.27
O/U 2.25	2.11	1.90
O/U 2.50	2.43	1.70 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.90	1.53
O/U 3.00	3.85	1.35
O/U 3.25	4.35	1.30
O/U 3.50	4.84	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.17	7.00
AH +1.25	1.19	6.28
AH +1.00	1.22	5.56
AH +0.75	1.38	3.65
AH +0.50	1.54	2.87
AH +0.25	1.68	2.46
AH +0.00	1.94 VALUE	2.06
AH -0.25	2.32	1.75
AH -0.50	2.71	1.59
AH -0.75	3.40	1.42
AH -1.00	5.04	1.25
AH -1.25	5.73	1.21
AH -1.50	6.41	1.18

Model probs (cal): H 45.8% · D 26.7% · A 27.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (49.0%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (15.2%) | Market overround: 107.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.5% · Home by 2+ 23.5% · Draw 27.9% · Away by 1 15.7% · Away by 2+ 7.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.95 · Under 2.05)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.76 · Away 2.32)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Reims	Overall	28	12	10	6	41	26	15
	Home	13	7	3	3	19	10	9
	Away	15	5	7	3	22	16	6
Boulogne	Overall	28	9	7	12	30	38	-8
	Home	14	4	2	8	17	25	-8
	Away	14	5	5	4	13	13	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Reims	1-3-1	4	3	1
Boulogne	2-2-1	5	4	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Reims	1.23	1.11	1.15	0.99
Boulogne	0.69	1.06	0.96	1.00

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	45.8%	64.5%	-18.7pp
Draw	26.7%	25.8%	+0.9pp
Away	27.6%	17.0%	+10.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.38 (42.0%) · No: 1.73 (58.0%)

Top scorelines

1-0 15.2% 1-1 12.7% 0-0 11.2% 2-0 10.3% 0-1 9.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.2%	9.3%	3.9%	1.1%
1	15.2%	12.7%	5.3%	1.5%
2	10.3%	8.6%	3.6%	1.0%
3	4.6%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.95	2.05
O/U 2.25	2.31	1.76
O/U 2.50	2.67	1.60 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.26	1.44
O/U 3.00	4.49	1.29
O/U 3.25	5.04	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.59	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.58
AH +1.25	1.09	12.52
AH +1.00	1.10	11.45
AH +0.75	1.20	6.05
AH +0.50	1.30	4.33
AH +0.25	1.37	3.73
AH +0.00	1.47	3.12
AH -0.25	1.76	2.32
AH -0.50	2.04	1.96
AH -0.75	2.41	1.71
AH -1.00	3.17	1.46 VALUE
AH -1.25	3.71	1.37
AH -1.50	4.26	1.31

Model probs (cal): H 60.8% · D 14.6% · A 24.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (56.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.3%) | Market overround: 105.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.4% · Home by 2+ 31.8% · Draw 23.2% · Away by 1 13.4% · Away by 2+ 7.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.69 · Under 2.45)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.38 · Away 1.73)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sociedad	Overall	29	10	8	11	44	45	-1
	Home	14	7	3	4	27	21	6
	Away	15	3	5	7	17	24	-7
Levante	Overall	29	6	8	15	34	48	-14
	Home	15	3	5	7	18	26	-8
	Away	14	3	3	8	16	22	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sociedad	2-1-2	10	10	0
Levante	2-2-1	8	7	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sociedad	1.45	1.87	1.48	1.68
Levante	1.38	1.49	1.18	1.46

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	60.8%	63.7%	-2.9pp
Draw	14.6%	23.8%	-9.2pp
Away	24.6%	18.2%	+6.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.93 (51.9%) · No: 2.08 (48.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.3% 1-1 11.0% 2-0 10.0% 2-1 9.8% 0-0 6.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	6.2%	3.0%	1.0%
1	11.3%	11.0%	5.4%	1.8%
2	10.0%	9.8%	4.8%	1.6%
3	6.0%	5.8%	2.9%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.46	3.18
O/U 2.25	1.69	2.45
O/U 2.50	1.92	2.09 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.17	1.85
O/U 3.00	2.60	1.62
O/U 3.25	2.98	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.35	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.00
AH +1.25	1.08	13.06
AH +1.00	1.09	12.13
AH +0.75	1.17	6.74
AH +0.50	1.26	4.86
AH +0.25	1.30	4.30
AH +0.00	1.37	3.73
AH -0.25	1.57	2.75
AH -0.50	1.78	2.28
AH -0.75	1.99	2.01
AH -1.00	2.38	1.73 VALUE
AH -1.25	2.76	1.57
AH -1.50	3.14	1.47

Model probs (cal): H 36.5% · D 27.7% · A 35.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (38.9%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.7%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.3% · Home by 2+ 17.6% · Draw 26.7% · Away by 1 19.8% · Away by 2+ 14.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.87 · Under 2.15)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.88 · Away 2.13)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Cadiz	Overall	33	10	8	15	32	44	-12
	Home	16	6	2	8	16	21	-5
	Away	17	4	6	7	16	23	-7
Cordoba	Overall	33	11	9	13	43	51	-8
	Home	16	6	4	6	21	23	-2
	Away	17	5	5	7	22	28	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Cadiz	1-0-4	3	9	-6
Cordoba	0-1-4	5	14	-9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Cadiz	0.94	1.45	0.87	1.69
Cordoba	1.25	1.67	1.40	1.56

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.5%	35.1%	+1.3pp
Draw	27.7%	29.4%	-1.7pp
Away	35.8%	43.5%	-7.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.94 (51.6%) · No: 2.07 (48.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.7% 1-0 10.4% 0-1 9.6% 2-1 8.4% 0-0 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.9%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%
1	10.4%	12.7%	7.8%	3.2%
2	6.9%	8.4%	5.1%	2.1%
3	3.0%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.60	2.67
O/U 2.25	1.87	2.15
O/U 2.50	2.15	1.87 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.49	1.67
O/U 3.00	3.13	1.47
O/U 3.25	3.56	1.39
O/U 3.50	3.99	1.33

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.17	6.86
AH +1.25	1.19	6.19
AH +1.00	1.22	5.51
AH +0.75	1.37	3.68
AH +0.50	1.52	2.91
AH +0.25	1.66 VALUE	2.52
AH +0.00	1.88	2.13
AH -0.25	2.23	1.82
AH -0.50	2.57	1.64
AH -0.75	3.16	1.46
AH -1.00	4.47	1.29
AH -1.25	5.08	1.24
AH -1.50	5.69	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 57.1% · D 29.5% · A 13.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (57.1%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.7%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.2% · Home by 2+ 32.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away by 1 13.0% · Away by 2+ 6.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.34 · Away 1.75)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Kifisia	Overall	26	6	9	11	32	42	-10
	Home	13	4	4	5	17	18	-1
	Away	13	2	5	6	15	24	-9
Panserraikos	Overall	26	4	5	17	16	55	-39
	Home	13	3	2	8	8	24	-16
	Away	13	1	3	9	8	31	-23

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Kifisia	2-0-3	5	9	-4
Panserraikos	2-2-1	4	3	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Kifisia	1.15	1.09	1.25	1.38
Panserraikos	1.10	1.07	1.16	1.30

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	57.1%	61.7%	-4.6pp
Draw	29.5%	26.7%	+2.8pp
Away	13.4%	19.9%	-6.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.07 (48.3%) · No: 1.93 (51.7%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.7% 1-1 11.2% 2-0 10.9% 2-1 9.7% 0-0 7.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.4%	6.5%	2.9%	0.9%
1	12.7%	11.2%	5.0%	1.5%
2	10.9%	9.7%	4.3%	1.3%
3	6.3%	5.6%	2.5%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.82
O/U 2.25	1.81	2.24
O/U 2.50	2.07	1.94
O/U 2.75	2.38	1.73
O/U 3.00	2.94	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.35	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.76	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	16.08
AH +1.25	1.07	15.03
AH +1.00	1.08	13.99
AH +0.75	1.16	7.36
AH +0.50	1.24	5.21
AH +0.25	1.28	4.60
AH +0.00	1.34	3.98
AH -0.25	1.54	2.84
AH -0.50	1.75	2.33
AH -0.75	1.96	2.04
AH -1.00	2.34	1.75
AH -1.25	2.74	1.58
AH -1.50	3.13	1.47

Model probs (cal): H 38.0% · D 25.8% · A 36.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 104.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.4% · Home by 2+ 21.8% · Draw 25.6% · Away by 1 17.8% · Away by 2+ 12.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.75 · Under 2.34)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.97 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sassuolo	Overall	30	11	6	13	36	40	-4
	Home	15	6	2	7	17	21	-4
	Away	15	5	4	6	19	19	0
Cagliari	Overall	30	7	9	14	31	42	-11
	Home	15	4	4	7	16	18	-2
	Away	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sassuolo	2-1-2	7	5	2
Cagliari	0-2-3	3	7	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sassuolo	1.13	1.44	1.24	1.56
Cagliari	1.03	1.27	1.06	1.16

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	38.0%	50.0%	-12.0pp
Draw	25.8%	31.2%	-5.5pp
Away	36.2%	23.1%	+13.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.85 (53.9%) · No: 2.17 (46.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 1-0 10.2% 2-1 9.1% 0-1 8.1% 2-0 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.8%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%
1	10.2%	12.1%	7.2%	2.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.4%	2.1%
3	3.8%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.50	3.00
O/U 2.25	1.75	2.34
O/U 2.50	1.99 VALUE	2.01
O/U 2.75	2.27	1.79
O/U 3.00	2.76	1.57
O/U 3.25	3.15	1.46
O/U 3.50	3.54	1.39

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	8.07
AH +1.25	1.16	7.35
AH +1.00	1.18	6.63
AH +0.75	1.31	4.27
AH +0.50	1.43	3.31
AH +0.25	1.53	2.88
AH +0.00	1.68	2.46
AH -0.25	1.97	2.03
AH -0.50	2.26	1.79 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.69	1.59
AH -1.00	3.56	1.39
AH -1.25	4.07	1.33
AH -1.50	4.59	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 21.2% · D 19.2% · A 59.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (59.9%) | Most likely score: 1-2 (9.7%) | Market overround: 105.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 12.3% · Home by 2+ 7.7% · Draw 20.2% · Away by 1 22.5% · Away by 2+ 37.4%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: +1.00 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.07)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Freiburg	Overall	27	10	7	10	39	44	-5
	Home	13	7	4	2	24	16	8
	Away	14	3	3	8	15	28	-13
Bayern Munich	Overall	27	22	4	1	97	25	72
	Home	14	12	1	1	56	13	43
	Away	13	10	3	0	41	12	29

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Freiburg	2-1-2	7	8	-1
Bayern Munich	4-1-0	15	6	9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Freiburg	1.98	1.65	1.57	1.64
Bayern Munich	2.48	1.32	2.73	1.38

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	21.2%	14.6%	+6.6pp
Draw	19.2%	18.2%	+1.1pp
Away	59.5%	72.2%	-12.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.63 (61.5%) · No: 2.60 (38.5%)

Top scorelines

1-2 9.7% 1-1 9.0% 0-2 8.2% 0-1 7.6% 1-3 7.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	3.5%	7.6%	8.2%	6.0%
1	4.1%	9.0%	9.7%	7.1%
2	2.4%	5.3%	5.8%	4.2%
3	1.0%	2.1%	2.3%	1.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.23	5.29
O/U 2.25	1.38	3.61
O/U 2.50	1.53	2.87 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.64	2.56
O/U 3.00	1.81	2.24
O/U 3.25	2.06	1.94
O/U 3.50	2.31	1.76

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.60 VALUE	2.68
AH +1.25	1.73	2.37
AH +1.00	1.93	2.07
AH +0.75	2.21	1.82
AH +0.50	2.49	1.67
AH +0.25	2.99	1.50
AH +0.00	4.00	1.33
AH -0.25	4.51	1.29
AH -0.50	5.01	1.25
AH -0.75	6.79	1.17
AH -1.00	11.40	1.10
AH -1.25	12.19	1.09
AH -1.50	12.99	1.08

Model probs (cal): H 46.2% · D 25.2% · A 28.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (55.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.5%) | Market overround: 105.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.0% · Home by 2+ 30.2% · Draw 24.2% · Away by 1 13.7% · Away by 2+ 6.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.82 · Under 2.22)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.59 · Away 2.69)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Hamburg	Overall	27	7	9	11	31	40	-9
	Home	14	5	5	4	20	17	3
	Away	13	2	4	7	11	23	-12
Augsburg	Overall	27	9	4	14	33	50	-17
	Home	14	6	3	5	19	24	-5
	Away	13	3	1	9	14	26	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Hamburg	1-1-3	6	8	-2
Augsburg	2-0-3	8	11	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Hamburg	1.48	1.22	1.41	1.25
Augsburg	1.63	1.75	1.73	1.63

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.2%	44.4%	+1.7pp
Draw	25.2%	28.6%	-3.3pp
Away	28.6%	32.4%	-3.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.05 (48.9%) · No: 1.96 (51.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.5% 1-1 11.5% 2-0 10.5% 2-1 9.6% 0-0 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.5%	6.9%	3.2%	1.0%
1	12.5%	11.5%	5.3%	1.6%
2	10.5%	9.6%	4.4%	1.4%
3	5.8%	5.4%	2.5%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.56	2.79
O/U 2.25	1.82	2.22
O/U 2.50	2.08	1.92 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.40	1.72
O/U 3.00	2.98	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.39	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.80	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	14.51
AH +1.25	1.08	13.51
AH +1.00	1.09	12.52
AH +0.75	1.17	6.78
AH +0.50	1.26	4.86
AH +0.25	1.31	4.27
AH +0.00	1.37	3.68
AH -0.25	1.59 VALUE	2.69
AH -0.50	1.81	2.23
AH -0.75	2.05	1.95
AH -1.00	2.48	1.67
AH -1.25	2.90	1.53
AH -1.50	3.31	1.43

Model probs (cal): H 51.4% · D 22.8% · A 25.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (58.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (10.3%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.9% · Home by 2+ 34.7% · Draw 21.9% · Away by 1 12.6% · Away by 2+ 6.9%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.27 · Under 1.79)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.20 · Away 1.84)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Hoffenheim	Overall	27	15	5	7	54	39	15
	Home	13	8	1	4	28	15	13
	Away	14	7	4	3	26	24	2
Mainz	Overall	27	7	9	11	33	42	-9
	Home	14	4	5	5	17	17	0
	Away	13	3	4	6	16	25	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Hoffenheim	1-2-2	7	11	-4
Mainz	2-3-0	8	5	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Hoffenheim	1.84	1.57	1.67	1.51
Mainz	1.33	1.33	1.68	1.51

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	51.4%	58.8%	-7.5pp
Draw	22.8%	24.8%	-2.0pp
Away	25.8%	22.2%	+3.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.83 (54.7%) · No: 2.21 (45.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 10.3% 1-0 10.1% 2-1 9.9% 2-0 9.7% 3-1 6.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.2%	5.3%	2.7%	0.9%
1	10.1%	10.3%	5.3%	1.8%
2	9.7%	9.9%	5.1%	1.7%
3	6.3%	6.4%	3.3%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.36	3.74
O/U 2.25	1.57	2.77
O/U 2.50	1.77	2.31 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.96	2.05
O/U 3.00	2.27	1.79
O/U 3.25	2.59	1.63
O/U 3.50	2.92	1.52

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	14.40
AH +1.25	1.08	13.49
AH +1.00	1.09	12.58
AH +0.75	1.16	7.06
AH +0.50	1.24	5.11
AH +0.25	1.28	4.55
AH +0.00	1.33	3.99
AH -0.25	1.52	2.92
AH -0.50	1.71	2.41
AH -0.75	1.89	2.12
AH -1.00	2.20	1.84
AH -1.25	2.54	1.65
AH -1.50	2.88	1.53

Model probs (cal): H 80.2% · D 11.0% · A 8.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (76.1%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (11.3%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.4% · Home by 2+ 54.7% · Draw 14.8% · Away by 1 6.5% · Away by 2+ 2.6%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 1.76 · Under 2.31)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.63 · Away 2.58)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Leverkusen	Overall	27	13	7	7	52	36	16
	Home	13	7	3	3	26	12	14
	Away	14	6	4	4	26	24	2
Wolfsburg	Overall	27	5	6	16	35	57	-22
	Home	14	2	3	9	20	29	-9
	Away	13	3	3	7	15	28	-13

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Leverkusen	1-4-0	9	8	1
Wolfsburg	0-1-4	4	11	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Leverkusen	1.68	1.95	1.44	1.63
Wolfsburg	1.16	1.94	1.05	1.81

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	80.2%	71.4%	+8.7pp
Draw	11.0%	20.0%	-9.0pp
Away	8.8%	14.5%	-5.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.96 (50.9%) · No: 2.04 (49.1%)

Top scorelines

2-0 11.3% 3-0 9.8% 2-1 9.0% 1-0 8.7% 3-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	3.3%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.7%	6.9%	2.8%	0.7%
2	11.3%	9.0%	3.6%	1.0%
3	9.8%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.22	5.52
O/U 2.25	1.37	3.73
O/U 2.50	1.51	2.95
O/U 2.75	1.61	2.63
O/U 3.00	1.76	2.31
O/U 3.25	2.01	1.99
O/U 3.50	2.26	1.79

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.03	38.93
AH +1.25	1.03	37.65
AH +1.00	1.03	36.38
AH +0.75	1.06	16.56
AH +0.50	1.10	10.97
AH +0.25	1.11	10.16
AH +0.00	1.12	9.35
AH -0.25	1.22	5.61
AH -0.50	1.31	4.19
AH -0.75	1.36	3.74
AH -1.00	1.44	3.29
AH -1.25	1.63 VALUE	2.58
AH -1.50	1.83	2.21

Model probs (cal): H 53.8% · D 23.9% · A 22.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (62.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.5%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.1% · Home by 2+ 37.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away by 1 11.0% · Away by 2+ 4.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.72 · Under 2.39)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.01 · Away 1.99)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
M'gladbach	Overall	27	7	8	12	33	46	-13
	Home	13	4	4	5	16	21	-5
	Away	14	3	4	7	17	25	-8
Heidenheim	Overall	27	3	6	18	27	61	-34
	Home	14	2	5	7	18	34	-16
	Away	13	1	1	11	9	27	-18

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
M'gladbach	2-1-2	8	9	-1
Heidenheim	0-2-3	8	13	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
M'gladbach	1.50	1.69	1.26	2.14
Heidenheim	1.17	2.05	0.98	1.82

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	53.8%	63.5%	-9.7pp
Draw	23.9%	23.4%	+0.5pp
Away	22.4%	19.0%	+3.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.09 (47.8%) · No: 1.92 (52.2%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.5% 2-0 11.8% 1-1 10.3% 2-1 9.8% 3-0 7.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.6%	5.5%	2.3%	0.6%
1	12.5%	10.3%	4.3%	1.2%
2	11.8%	9.8%	4.0%	1.1%
3	7.4%	6.1%	2.5%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.48	3.08
O/U 2.25	1.72	2.39
O/U 2.50	1.96	2.04 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.22	1.82
O/U 3.00	2.69	1.59
O/U 3.25	3.07	1.48
O/U 3.50	3.45	1.41

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	20.69
AH +1.25	1.05	19.55
AH +1.00	1.06	18.41
AH +0.75	1.12	9.13
AH +0.50	1.19	6.30
AH +0.25	1.22	5.62
AH +0.00	1.25	4.93
AH -0.25	1.43	3.33
AH -0.50	1.60	2.66
AH -0.75	1.76	2.32
AH -1.00	2.01	1.99
AH -1.25	2.35	1.74
AH -1.50	2.69	1.59

Model probs (cal): H 22.4% · D 32.8% · A 44.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (44.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.7%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 17.9% · Home by 2+ 11.2% · Draw 26.8% · Away by 1 23.1% · Away by 2+ 21.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.58 · Away 2.72)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Werder Bremen	Overall	27	7	7	13	30	47	-17
	Home	13	4	4	5	14	23	-9
	Away	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
RB Leipzig	Overall	27	15	5	7	53	35	18
	Home	14	9	2	3	34	18	16
	Away	13	6	3	4	19	17	2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Werder Bremen	3-0-2	8	5	3
RB Leipzig	3-1-1	11	5	6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Werder Bremen	1.33	0.98	1.20	1.15
RB Leipzig	1.95	1.32	2.04	1.20

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	22.4%	28.5%	-6.1pp
Draw	32.8%	25.5%	+7.3pp
Away	44.8%	51.8%	-7.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.5%) · No: 1.98 (50.5%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.7% 0-1 11.8% 1-0 9.1% 1-2 8.8% 0-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.5%	11.8%	8.2%	3.8%
1	9.1%	12.7%	8.8%	4.1%
2	4.9%	6.8%	4.8%	2.2%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.7%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.52
O/U 2.25	1.94	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.81 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.62	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.34	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.79	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.25	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.27	4.76
AH +1.25	1.31	4.21
AH +1.00	1.38	3.66
AH +0.75	1.58	2.72
AH +0.50	1.79 VALUE	2.27
AH +0.25	2.04	1.96
AH +0.00	2.52	1.66
AH -0.25	2.98	1.51
AH -0.50	3.44	1.41
AH -0.75	4.52	1.28
AH -1.00	7.34	1.16
AH -1.25	8.14	1.14
AH -1.50	8.94	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 36.5% · D 28.4% · A 35.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.3% · Home by 2+ 21.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away by 1 17.9% · Away by 2+ 12.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.36)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Waregem	Overall	30	8	8	14	38	47	-9
	Home	15	6	3	6	19	19	0
	Away	15	2	5	8	19	28	-9
Cercle Brugge	Overall	30	7	10	13	39	47	-8
	Home	15	1	5	9	19	31	-12
	Away	15	6	5	4	20	16	4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Waregem	1-0-4	4	9	-5
Cercle Brugge	4-1-0	9	3	6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Waregem	1.21	1.44	1.39	1.62
Cercle Brugge	0.87	1.54	1.06	1.26

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.5%	44.2%	-7.7pp
Draw	28.4%	28.1%	+0.4pp
Away	35.1%	36.0%	-0.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.84 (54.2%) · No: 2.18 (45.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 1-0 10.1% 2-1 9.1% 0-1 8.1% 2-0 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.7%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%
1	10.1%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.4%	2.2%
3	3.8%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.49	3.03
O/U 2.25	1.74	2.36
O/U 2.50	1.98	2.02 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.25	1.80
O/U 3.00	2.73	1.58
O/U 3.25	3.12	1.47
O/U 3.50	3.51	1.40

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	8.01
AH +1.25	1.16	7.30
AH +1.00	1.18	6.58
AH +0.75	1.31	4.25
AH +0.50	1.44	3.30
AH +0.25	1.53	2.88
AH +0.00	1.69	2.46
AH -0.25	1.98 VALUE	2.03
AH -0.50	2.26	1.79
AH -0.75	2.69	1.59
AH -1.00	3.56	1.39
AH -1.25	4.07	1.33
AH -1.50	4.58	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 0.0% · D 30.1% · A 69.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (53.0%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (16.3%) | Market overround: 109.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 14.0% · Home by 2+ 5.7% · Draw 27.3% · Away by 1 26.6% · Away by 2+ 26.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 2.00 · Under 2.00)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.85 · Away 2.18)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Arbroath	Overall	31	12	11	8	39	35	4
	Home	15	7	7	1	23	15	8
	Away	16	5	4	7	16	20	-4
St Johnstone	Overall	31	17	11	3	54	23	31
	Home	16	9	6	1	31	11	20
	Away	15	8	5	2	23	12	11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Arbroath	1-2-2	4	4	0
St Johnstone	1-4-0	2	1	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Arbroath	1.34	0.89	0.91	1.09
St Johnstone	1.02	0.73	1.48	0.81

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	0.0%	22.2%	-22.2pp
Draw	30.1%	29.1%	+1.0pp
Away	69.9%	57.8%	+12.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.52 (39.7%) · No: 1.66 (60.3%)

Top scorelines

0-1 16.3% 1-1 12.2% 0-2 11.6% 0-0 11.5% 1-2 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.5%	16.3%	11.6%	5.5%
1	8.6%	12.2%	8.6%	4.1%
2	3.2%	4.5%	3.2%	1.5%
3	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	2.00	2.00
O/U 2.25	2.36	1.73
O/U 2.50	2.73	1.58 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.35	1.42
O/U 3.00	4.67	1.27
O/U 3.25	5.23	1.24
O/U 3.50	5.79	1.21

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.36	3.78
AH +1.25	1.44	3.28
AH +1.00	1.56	2.78
AH +0.75	1.85	2.18
AH +0.50	2.13	1.89
AH +0.25	2.59	1.63
AH +0.00	3.70	1.37
AH -0.25	4.39	1.29
AH -0.50	5.08	1.24
AH -0.75	7.33	1.16
AH -1.00	15.09	1.07
AH -1.25	16.31	1.07
AH -1.50	17.54	1.06

Model probs (cal): H 25.7% · D 29.5% · A 44.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (44.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 109.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 17.7% · Home by 2+ 11.4% · Draw 26.3% · Away by 1 23.0% · Away by 2+ 21.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.87 · Under 2.16)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.60 · Away 2.67)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ayr	Overall	30	7	14	9	34	38	-4
	Home	14	3	6	5	15	17	-2
	Away	16	4	8	4	19	21	-2
Partick	Overall	31	16	11	4	47	32	15
	Home	16	11	5	0	27	11	16
	Away	15	5	6	4	20	21	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ayr	0-2-3	4	10	-6
Partick	2-3-0	10	7	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ayr	1.13	1.55	1.19	1.34
Partick	1.39	1.47	1.57	1.29

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	25.7%	35.2%	-9.5pp
Draw	29.5%	30.2%	-0.7pp
Away	44.8%	44.4%	+0.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.96 (51.1%) · No: 2.04 (48.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 0-1 11.3% 1-2 9.0% 1-0 8.7% 0-2 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	11.3%	8.1%	3.9%
1	8.7%	12.5%	9.0%	4.3%
2	4.8%	6.9%	5.0%	2.4%
3	1.8%	2.6%	1.8%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.68
O/U 2.25	1.87	2.16
O/U 2.50	2.14	1.88 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.48	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.11	1.47
O/U 3.25	3.54	1.39
O/U 3.50	3.96	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.28	4.62
AH +1.25	1.32	4.09
AH +1.00	1.39	3.56
AH +0.75	1.60	2.67
AH +0.50	1.81	2.24
AH +0.25	2.06	1.95
AH +0.00	2.53	1.65
AH -0.25	2.99	1.50
AH -0.50	3.44	1.41
AH -0.75	4.50	1.29
AH -1.00	7.23	1.16
AH -1.25	8.00	1.14
AH -1.50	8.78	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 50.0% · D 28.3% · A 21.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (56.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.5%) | Market overround: 110.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.5% · Home by 2+ 31.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away by 1 13.3% · Away by 2+ 7.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.37 · Away 1.73)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Dunfermline	Overall	29	11	7	11	42	34	8
	Home	15	6	4	5	21	16	5
	Away	14	5	3	6	21	18	3
Morton	Overall	31	8	12	11	32	41	-9
	Home	16	5	6	5	15	18	-3
	Away	15	3	6	6	17	23	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Dunfermline	2-1-2	7	9	-2
Morton	1-1-3	5	12	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Dunfermline	0.81	1.34	0.70	1.29
Morton	1.09	1.72	1.02	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	50.0%	54.5%	-4.5pp
Draw	28.3%	30.2%	-1.9pp
Away	21.7%	25.7%	-4.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.95 (51.4%) · No: 2.06 (48.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.5% 1-1 11.1% 2-0 10.2% 2-1 9.8% 0-0 6.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	6.2%	3.0%	1.0%
1	11.5%	11.1%	5.3%	1.7%
2	10.2%	9.8%	4.7%	1.5%
3	6.0%	5.8%	2.8%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.13
O/U 2.25	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.50	1.94 VALUE	2.07
O/U 2.75	2.20	1.84
O/U 3.00	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.25	3.02	1.49
O/U 3.50	3.40	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.30
AH +1.25	1.08	13.35
AH +1.00	1.09	12.40
AH +0.75	1.17	6.83
AH +0.50	1.26	4.92
AH +0.25	1.30	4.35
AH +0.00	1.36	3.78
AH -0.25	1.57	2.76
AH -0.50	1.77 VALUE	2.29
AH -0.75	1.99	2.01
AH -1.00	2.37	1.73
AH -1.25	2.75	1.57
AH -1.50	3.14	1.47

Model probs (cal): H 33.1% · D 35.9% · A 31.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.2%) | Market overround: 109.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.3% · Home by 2+ 17.3% · Draw 28.1% · Away by 1 19.6% · Away by 2+ 12.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.79 · Under 2.26)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.81 · Away 2.23)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ross County	Overall	31	6	10	15	28	48	-20
	Home	15	4	3	8	18	23	-5
	Away	16	2	7	7	10	25	-15
Airdrie Utd	Overall	30	6	9	15	24	39	-15
	Home	15	2	6	7	10	19	-9
	Away	15	4	3	8	14	20	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ross County	1-1-3	3	6	-3
Airdrie Utd	2-1-2	5	5	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ross County	0.79	1.10	0.74	1.44
Airdrie Utd	1.11	1.48	1.18	1.40

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	33.1%	54.5%	-21.4pp
Draw	35.9%	29.0%	+6.9pp
Away	31.0%	26.0%	+5.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.13 (47.0%) · No: 1.89 (53.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.2% 1-0 12.1% 0-1 10.6% 0-0 9.8% 2-1 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.8%	10.6%	5.8%	2.1%
1	12.1%	13.2%	7.1%	2.6%
2	7.5%	8.1%	4.4%	1.6%
3	3.1%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.79	2.26
O/U 2.25	2.12	1.90
O/U 2.50	2.44	1.69 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.92	1.52
O/U 3.00	3.88	1.35
O/U 3.25	4.37	1.30
O/U 3.50	4.87	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.89
AH +1.25	1.16	7.12
AH +1.00	1.19	6.35
AH +0.75	1.33	4.02
AH +0.50	1.48	3.10
AH +0.25	1.60	2.66
AH +0.00	1.81	2.23
AH -0.25	2.17	1.86
AH -0.50	2.52	1.66 VALUE
AH -0.75	3.12	1.47
AH -1.00	4.48	1.29
AH -1.25	5.12	1.24
AH -1.50	5.77	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 78.8% · D 18.5% · A 2.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (72.8%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (11.6%) | Market overround: 106.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.7% · Home by 2+ 50.1% · Draw 16.6% · Away by 1 7.6% · Away by 2+ 3.1%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.30)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Hibernian	Overall	31	12	12	7	48	35	13
	Home	15	7	6	2	27	14	13
	Away	16	5	6	5	21	21	0
Kilmarnock	Overall	31	6	9	16	35	60	-25
	Home	16	5	3	8	20	25	-5
	Away	15	1	6	8	15	35	-20

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Hibernian	1-3-1	7	9	-2
Kilmarnock	0-2-3	3	12	-9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Hibernian	1.26	1.14	1.25	1.57
Kilmarnock	0.86	2.44	1.22	2.02

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	78.8%	66.7%	+12.2pp
Draw	18.5%	23.1%	-4.6pp
Away	2.7%	17.0%	-14.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.98 (50.4%) · No: 2.02 (49.6%)

Top scorelines

2-0 11.6% 1-0 9.7% 2-1 9.4% 3-0 9.3% 1-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.0%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
1	9.7%	7.8%	3.2%	0.8%
2	11.6%	9.4%	3.8%	1.0%
3	9.3%	7.5%	3.0%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.27	4.68
O/U 2.25	1.44	3.28
O/U 2.50	1.61	2.65
O/U 2.75	1.74	2.36
O/U 3.00	1.94	2.06
O/U 3.25	2.22	1.82
O/U 3.50	2.50	1.67

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.03	32.52
AH +1.25	1.03	31.28
AH +1.00	1.03	30.05
AH +0.75	1.08	13.99
AH +0.50	1.12	9.37
AH +0.25	1.13	8.59
AH +0.00	1.15	7.82
AH -0.25	1.26	4.84
AH -0.50	1.37	3.67
AH -0.75	1.44	3.26
AH -1.00	1.54 VALUE	2.84
AH -1.25	1.77	2.30
AH -1.50	2.00	2.00

Model probs (cal): H 65.2% · D 21.4% · A 13.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (63.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.2%) | Market overround: 106.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 26.0% · Home by 2+ 37.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away by 1 10.4% · Away by 2+ 4.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.17)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.02)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Motherwell	Overall	31	14	12	5	49	23	26
	Home	16	10	5	1	27	6	21
	Away	15	4	7	4	22	17	5
Falkirk	Overall	31	12	7	12	39	40	-1
	Home	16	6	5	5	26	20	6
	Away	15	6	2	7	13	20	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Motherwell	2-1-2	8	4	4
Falkirk	1-2-2	2	3	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Motherwell	1.45	1.82	1.29	1.74
Falkirk	0.72	1.29	1.16	1.78

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	65.2%	55.2%	+9.9pp
Draw	21.4%	27.8%	-6.4pp
Away	13.4%	23.8%	-10.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.30 (43.5%) · No: 1.77 (56.5%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.2% 2-0 12.9% 1-1 10.4% 2-1 9.5% 3-0 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	5.7%	2.1%	0.5%
1	14.2%	10.4%	3.8%	0.9%
2	12.9%	9.5%	3.5%	0.8%
3	7.8%	5.7%	2.1%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.70
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.17
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.89 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.46	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.09	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.51	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.94	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.04	24.82
AH +1.25	1.04	23.52
AH +1.00	1.05	22.23
AH +0.75	1.11	10.24
AH +0.50	1.17	6.91
AH +0.25	1.19	6.14
AH +0.00	1.23	5.38
AH -0.25	1.40	3.48
AH -0.50	1.58 VALUE	2.73
AH -0.75	1.73	2.37
AH -1.00	1.98	2.02
AH -1.25	2.33	1.75
AH -1.50	2.67	1.60

Model probs (cal): H 75.0% · D 17.6% · A 7.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (70.4%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (11.0%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.8% · Home by 2+ 47.6% · Draw 17.4% · Away by 1 8.5% · Away by 2+ 3.7%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 1.92 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.86 · Away 2.16)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Rangers	Overall	31	17	12	2	56	26	30
	Home	16	10	5	1	32	14	18
	Away	15	7	7	1	24	12	12
Dundee United	Overall	31	8	13	10	40	48	-8
	Home	16	5	6	5	18	20	-2
	Away	15	3	7	5	22	28	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Rangers	3-1-1	7	5	2
Dundee United	2-2-1	9	8	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Rangers	2.01	1.23	1.98	1.05
Dundee United	1.95	1.55	1.69	1.74

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	75.0%	81.0%	-6.0pp
Draw	17.6%	16.5%	+1.0pp
Away	7.4%	9.1%	-1.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.89 (52.8%) · No: 2.12 (47.2%)

Top scorelines

2-0 11.0% 2-1 9.6% 1-0 9.3% 3-0 8.6% 1-1 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	3.9%	3.5%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.3%	8.1%	3.6%	1.0%
2	11.0%	9.6%	4.2%	1.2%
3	8.6%	7.5%	3.3%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.27	4.75
O/U 2.25	1.43	3.32
O/U 2.50	1.60	2.68 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.72	2.38
O/U 3.00	1.92	2.08
O/U 3.25	2.20	1.84
O/U 3.50	2.47	1.68

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.04	26.68
AH +1.25	1.04	25.55
AH +1.00	1.04	24.42
AH +0.75	1.09	12.00
AH +0.50	1.14	8.18
AH +0.25	1.15	7.47
AH +0.00	1.17	6.76
AH -0.25	1.30	4.37
AH -0.50	1.42	3.38
AH -0.75	1.50	2.99
AH -1.00	1.62	2.61
AH -1.25	1.86	2.16
AH -1.50	2.10	1.91

Model probs (cal): H 45.0% · D 32.0% · A 23.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.7%) | Market overround: 106.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.6% · Home by 2+ 22.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away by 1 16.5% · Away by 2+ 8.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.82 · Away 2.22)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
St Mirren	Overall	31	6	9	16	25	47	-22
	Home	15	4	5	6	8	16	-8
	Away	16	2	4	10	17	31	-14
Aberdeen	Overall	31	8	6	17	31	46	-15
	Home	15	4	5	6	23	21	2
	Away	16	4	1	11	8	25	-17

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
St Mirren	1-2-2	4	7	-3
Aberdeen	0-1-4	1	10	-9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
St Mirren	0.94	1.53	1.03	1.49
Aberdeen	0.58	2.17	0.77	1.82

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	45.0%	46.0%	-0.9pp
Draw	32.0%	29.2%	+2.8pp
Away	23.0%	30.9%	-7.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.21 (45.3%) · No: 1.83 (54.7%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.7% 1-1 12.7% 0-0 9.9% 2-0 9.5% 0-1 9.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.9%	9.2%	4.3%	1.3%
1	13.7%	12.7%	5.9%	1.8%
2	9.5%	8.8%	4.1%	1.3%
3	4.4%	4.1%	1.9%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.80	2.24
O/U 2.25	2.13	1.89
O/U 2.50	2.45	1.69 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.94	1.52
O/U 3.00	3.91	1.34
O/U 3.25	4.41	1.29
O/U 3.50	4.92	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	11.53
AH +1.25	1.10	10.58
AH +1.00	1.12	9.63
AH +0.75	1.23	5.42
AH +0.50	1.34	3.97
AH +0.25	1.41	3.43
AH +0.00	1.53	2.89
AH -0.25	1.82 VALUE	2.22
AH -0.50	2.10	1.91
AH -0.75	2.49	1.67
AH -1.00	3.29	1.44
AH -1.25	3.83	1.35
AH -1.50	4.37	1.30

Model probs (cal): H 43.0% · D 26.6% · A 30.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (38.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.9% · Home by 2+ 16.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away by 1 20.5% · Away by 2+ 17.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.06 · Away 1.95)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Gaziantep	Overall	27	8	9	10	36	46	-10
	Home	13	4	4	5	17	22	-5
	Away	14	4	5	5	19	24	-5
Alanyaspor	Overall	27	6	13	8	33	32	1
	Home	14	5	4	5	17	12	5
	Away	13	1	9	3	16	20	-4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Gaziantep	1-1-3	7	14	-7
Alanyaspor	1-2-2	9	7	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Gaziantep	1.43	1.75	1.30	1.65
Alanyaspor	1.43	1.07	1.37	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	43.0%	36.6%	+6.3pp
Draw	26.6%	29.4%	-2.8pp
Away	30.5%	42.3%	-11.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.80 (55.6%) · No: 2.25 (44.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 0-1 9.0% 1-0 8.7% 1-2 8.4% 2-1 8.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	9.0%	6.3%	2.9%
1	8.7%	12.1%	8.4%	3.9%
2	5.9%	8.2%	5.7%	2.6%
3	2.6%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.14
O/U 2.25	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.50	1.94	2.07
O/U 2.75	2.19	1.84
O/U 3.00	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.25	3.02	1.50
O/U 3.50	3.39	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.22	5.65
AH +1.25	1.25	5.07
AH +1.00	1.29	4.49
AH +0.75	1.45	3.21
AH +0.50	1.62	2.62
AH +0.25	1.78	2.28
AH +0.00	2.06	1.95
AH -0.25	2.41	1.71
AH -0.50	2.76	1.57
AH -0.75	3.43	1.41
AH -1.00	4.91	1.26
AH -1.25	5.52	1.22
AH -1.50	6.12	1.20

Model probs (cal): H 15.0% · D 25.1% · A 60.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (47.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.3%) | Market overround: 105.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.8% · Home by 2+ 10.2% · Draw 25.9% · Away by 1 23.6% · Away by 2+ 23.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.17)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.67 · Away 2.50)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Mallorca	Overall	29	7	7	15	34	47	-13
	Home	14	6	4	4	21	18	3
	Away	15	1	3	11	13	29	-16
Real Madrid	Overall	29	22	3	4	63	26	37
	Home	15	13	0	2	36	12	24
	Away	14	9	3	2	27	14	13

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Mallorca	1-1-3	5	8	-3
Real Madrid	3-0-2	10	7	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Mallorca	1.48	1.09	1.53	1.60
Real Madrid	1.82	1.21	1.82	0.86

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	15.0%	18.0%	-3.0pp
Draw	25.1%	23.4%	+1.7pp
Away	60.0%	63.7%	-3.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.97 (50.7%) · No: 2.03 (49.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.3% 0-1 11.6% 1-2 9.2% 0-2 8.7% 1-0 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	11.6%	8.7%	4.3%
1	8.3%	12.3%	9.2%	4.6%
2	4.4%	6.5%	4.9%	2.4%
3	1.6%	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.70
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.17
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.89 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.46	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.09	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.51	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.94	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.31	4.25
AH +1.25	1.36	3.75
AH +1.00	1.44 VALUE	3.25
AH +0.75	1.67	2.50
AH +0.50	1.89	2.12
AH +0.25	2.18	1.85
AH +0.00	2.75	1.57
AH -0.25	3.23	1.45
AH -0.50	3.71	1.37
AH -0.75	4.93	1.25
AH -1.00	8.16	1.14
AH -1.25	8.99	1.13
AH -1.50	9.81	1.11

Model probs (cal): H 44.7% · D 30.2% · A 25.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.4%) | Market overround: 109.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.4% · Home by 2+ 20.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away by 1 17.5% · Away by 2+ 9.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.97 · Under 2.03)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.09)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Albacete	Overall	33	11	11	11	41	42	-1
	Home	16	6	4	6	19	23	-4
	Away	17	5	7	5	22	19	3
Burgos	Overall	33	15	9	9	38	27	11
	Home	17	8	6	3	22	11	11
	Away	16	7	3	6	16	16	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Albacete	2-3-0	8	3	5
Burgos	3-2-0	8	1	7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Albacete	1.19	1.38	1.15	1.25
Burgos	1.19	0.89	1.07	1.15

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	44.7%	43.5%	+1.2pp
Draw	30.2%	33.3%	-3.1pp
Away	25.1%	32.2%	-7.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.33 (42.9%) · No: 1.75 (57.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.4% 1-1 13.1% 0-0 11.3% 0-1 10.3% 2-0 9.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.3%	10.3%	4.7%	1.4%
1	14.4%	13.1%	5.9%	1.8%
2	9.1%	8.3%	3.8%	1.1%
3	3.9%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.97	2.03
O/U 2.25	2.33	1.75
O/U 2.50	2.69	1.59
O/U 2.75	3.29	1.44
O/U 3.00	4.56	1.28
O/U 3.25	5.11	1.24
O/U 3.50	5.66	1.21

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.10	10.99
AH +1.25	1.11	10.03
AH +1.00	1.12	9.07
AH +0.75	1.24	5.12
AH +0.50	1.36	3.76
AH +0.25	1.45	3.23
AH +0.00	1.59	2.69
AH -0.25	1.91 VALUE	2.09
AH -0.50	2.23	1.81
AH -0.75	2.70	1.59
AH -1.00	3.72	1.37
AH -1.25	4.32	1.30
AH -1.50	4.92	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 58.3% · D 21.7% · A 19.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (58.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (10.3%) | Market overround: 106.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.8% · Home by 2+ 34.7% · Draw 21.8% · Away by 1 12.7% · Away by 2+ 7.0%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.25 · Under 1.80)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.20 · Away 1.84)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
PSV Eindhoven	Overall	28	22	2	4	78	37	41
	Home	14	10	2	2	43	21	22
	Away	14	12	0	2	35	16	19
Utrecht	Overall	28	11	8	9	42	31	11
	Home	14	7	3	4	23	12	11
	Away	14	4	5	5	19	19	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
PSV Eindhoven	3-0-2	9	8	1
Utrecht	2-2-1	8	6	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
PSV Eindhoven	2.52	1.32	2.31	1.42
Utrecht	2.12	1.24	1.70	1.32

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	58.3%	66.7%	-8.3pp
Draw	21.7%	21.6%	+0.1pp
Away	19.9%	17.8%	+2.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.82 (55.1%) · No: 2.22 (44.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 10.3% 1-0 10.0% 2-1 9.9% 2-0 9.6% 3-1 6.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.1%	5.3%	2.7%	0.9%
1	10.0%	10.3%	5.3%	1.8%
2	9.6%	9.9%	5.1%	1.8%
3	6.2%	6.4%	3.3%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.36	3.79
O/U 2.25	1.56	2.80
O/U 2.50	1.76	2.32 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.94	2.06
O/U 3.00	2.25	1.80
O/U 3.25	2.57	1.64
O/U 3.50	2.89	1.53

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.25
AH +1.25	1.08	13.35
AH +1.00	1.09	12.44
AH +0.75	1.17	7.01
AH +0.50	1.25	5.08
AH +0.25	1.28	4.52
AH +0.00	1.34	3.97
AH -0.25	1.52	2.91
AH -0.50	1.71	2.41
AH -0.75	1.89	2.12
AH -1.00	2.20	1.84
AH -1.25	2.54	1.65 VALUE
AH -1.50	2.88	1.53

Model probs (cal): H 45.1% · D 29.4% · A 25.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.2%) | Market overround: 107.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.6% · Home by 2+ 24.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away by 1 16.5% · Away by 2+ 10.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.82 · Under 2.21)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.82 · Away 2.22)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Nacional	Overall	27	5	7	15	29	39	-10
	Home	13	3	2	8	17	21	-4
	Away	14	2	5	7	12	18	-6
Estrela	Overall	27	6	10	11	33	45	-12
	Home	14	4	5	5	20	21	-1
	Away	13	2	5	6	13	24	-11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Nacional	0-2-3	4	9	-5
Estrela	1-2-2	7	6	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Nacional	1.56	1.33	1.34	1.33
Estrela	1.59	1.30	1.31	1.52

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	45.1%	48.8%	-3.7pp
Draw	29.4%	29.5%	-0.2pp
Away	25.5%	29.0%	-3.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.95 (51.3%) · No: 2.05 (48.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.2% 1-0 11.4% 2-1 9.3% 2-0 8.7% 0-1 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.5%	8.0%	4.3%	1.5%
1	11.4%	12.2%	6.5%	2.3%
2	8.7%	9.3%	5.0%	1.8%
3	4.4%	4.7%	2.5%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.56	2.78
O/U 2.25	1.82	2.21
O/U 2.50	2.09	1.92
O/U 2.75	2.41	1.71
O/U 3.00	2.99	1.50
O/U 3.25	3.40	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.82	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	9.97
AH +1.25	1.12	9.15
AH +1.00	1.14	8.32
AH +0.75	1.25	5.02
AH +0.50	1.36	3.77
AH +0.25	1.44	3.28
AH +0.00	1.56	2.80
AH -0.25	1.82	2.22
AH -0.50	2.09	1.92
AH -0.75	2.45	1.69
AH -1.00	3.15	1.46
AH -1.25	3.64	1.38
AH -1.50	4.13	1.32

Model probs (cal): H 53.9% · D 25.4% · A 20.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (59.1%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.8%) | Market overround: 105.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.8% · Home by 2+ 34.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away by 1 12.3% · Away by 2+ 6.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.20 · Away 1.84)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Strasbourg	Overall	27	11	7	9	43	33	10
	Home	13	7	3	3	21	9	12
	Away	14	4	4	6	22	24	-2
Nice	Overall	27	7	6	14	32	52	-20
	Home	14	4	5	5	17	25	-8
	Away	13	3	1	9	15	27	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Strasbourg	2-3-0	7	4	3
Nice	1-1-3	5	12	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Strasbourg	1.88	1.41	1.71	1.48
Nice	1.17	1.66	1.29	1.43

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	53.9%	54.3%	-0.4pp
Draw	25.4%	26.8%	-1.4pp
Away	20.7%	24.4%	-3.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.99 (50.1%) · No: 2.01 (49.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.8% 2-0 10.8% 1-1 10.8% 2-1 9.8% 3-0 6.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	5.9%	2.7%	0.8%
1	11.8%	10.8%	4.9%	1.5%
2	10.8%	9.8%	4.5%	1.4%
3	6.6%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.13
O/U 2.25	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.50	1.94	2.07 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.19	1.84
O/U 3.00	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.25	3.02	1.50
O/U 3.50	3.40	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	16.64
AH +1.25	1.07	15.61
AH +1.00	1.07	14.59
AH +0.75	1.15	7.71
AH +0.50	1.22	5.45
AH +0.25	1.26	4.84
AH +0.00	1.31	4.22
AH -0.25	1.50	2.99
AH -0.50	1.69 VALUE	2.44
AH -0.75	1.88	2.14
AH -1.00	2.20	1.84
AH -1.25	2.56	1.64
AH -1.50	2.92	1.52

Model probs (cal): H 31.3% · D 33.9% · A 34.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (37.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.3%) | Market overround: 107.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.6% · Home by 2+ 13.5% · Draw 28.8% · Away by 1 21.7% · Away by 2+ 15.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.12)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.09 · Away 1.92)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Asteras Tripolis	Overall	26	3	8	15	22	41	-19
	Home	13	2	5	6	16	19	-3
	Away	13	1	3	9	6	22	-16
Larisa	Overall	26	4	11	11	22	39	-17
	Home	13	2	6	5	12	21	-9
	Away	13	2	5	6	10	18	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Asteras Tripolis	0-1-4	3	8	-5
Larisa	0-3-2	2	6	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Asteras Tripolis	0.73	1.52	0.80	1.33
Larisa	0.90	1.26	1.20	1.05

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.3%	41.2%	-9.9pp
Draw	33.9%	32.8%	+1.1pp
Away	34.8%	33.3%	+1.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.21 (45.3%) · No: 1.83 (54.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.3% 0-1 12.3% 1-0 11.6% 0-0 10.7% 1-2 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.7%	12.3%	7.1%	2.7%
1	11.6%	13.3%	7.7%	2.9%
2	6.3%	7.3%	4.2%	1.6%
3	2.3%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.89	2.12
O/U 2.25	2.24	1.81
O/U 2.50	2.58	1.63
O/U 2.75	3.13	1.47
O/U 3.00	4.26	1.31
O/U 3.25	4.79	1.26
O/U 3.50	5.32	1.23

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.49
AH +1.25	1.21	5.79
AH +1.00	1.25	5.08
AH +0.75	1.42	3.39
AH +0.50	1.59	2.69
AH +0.25	1.77	2.31
AH +0.00	2.09	1.92 VALUE
AH -0.25	2.51	1.66
AH -0.50	2.94	1.52
AH -0.75	3.78	1.36
AH -1.00	5.89	1.20
AH -1.25	6.65	1.18
AH -1.50	7.41	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 17.6% · D 20.2% · A 62.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (55.8%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.6%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 13.3% · Home by 2+ 6.2% · Draw 24.7% · Away by 1 25.5% · Away by 2+ 30.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Verona	Overall	30	3	9	18	22	52	-30
	Home	14	1	4	9	12	23	-11
	Away	16	2	5	9	10	29	-19
Fiorentina	Overall	30	6	11	13	35	44	-9
	Home	15	3	6	6	19	20	-1
	Away	15	3	5	7	16	24	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Verona	1-0-4	3	9	-6
Fiorentina	2-2-1	6	5	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Verona	0.86	1.12	0.86	1.31
Fiorentina	1.15	1.05	1.17	1.19

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	17.6%	23.8%	-6.2pp
Draw	20.2%	29.4%	-9.3pp
Away	62.3%	52.6%	+9.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.17 (46.1%) · No: 1.86 (53.9%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.6% 1-1 11.6% 0-2 11.1% 1-2 9.5% 0-0 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.3%	13.6%	11.1%	6.0%
1	7.1%	11.6%	9.5%	5.1%
2	3.0%	4.9%	4.0%	2.2%
3	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.64	2.55
O/U 2.25	1.93	2.08
O/U 2.50	2.21	1.82
O/U 2.75	2.59	1.63
O/U 3.00	3.29	1.44
O/U 3.25	3.74	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.19	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.43	3.30
AH +1.25	1.53	2.88
AH +1.00	1.69	2.46
AH +0.75	1.98	2.03
AH +0.50	2.26	1.79 VALUE
AH +0.25	2.75	1.57
AH +0.00	3.86	1.35
AH -0.25	4.49	1.29
AH -0.50	5.13	1.24
AH -0.75	7.27	1.16
AH -1.00	14.02	1.08
AH -1.25	15.10	1.07
AH -1.50	16.18	1.07

Model probs (cal): H 39.3% · D 32.1% · A 28.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.6%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.5%) | Market overround: 107.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.8% · Home by 2+ 21.8% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 16.7% · Away by 2+ 8.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.07)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.19)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Overall	30	9	7	14	32	43	-11
	Home	15	4	5	6	18	18	0
	Away	15	5	2	8	14	25	-11
Standard	Overall	30	11	7	12	27	35	-8
	Home	15	4	6	5	14	18	-4
	Away	15	7	1	7	13	17	-4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2-0-3	5	8	-3
Standard	3-1-1	6	3	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1.02	1.33	1.23	1.31
Standard	1.18	1.16	1.02	1.35

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	39.3%	48.8%	-9.5pp
Draw	32.1%	30.4%	+1.6pp
Away	28.6%	28.7%	-0.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.32 (43.1%) · No: 1.76 (56.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.5% 1-1 12.9% 0-0 11.0% 0-1 9.8% 2-0 9.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.0%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%
1	14.5%	12.9%	5.7%	1.7%
2	9.6%	8.5%	3.8%	1.1%
3	4.2%	3.7%	1.7%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.93	2.07
O/U 2.25	2.28	1.78
O/U 2.50	2.64	1.61 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.21	1.45
O/U 3.00	4.41	1.29
O/U 3.25	4.95	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.50	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	11.83
AH +1.25	1.10	10.84
AH +1.00	1.11	9.85
AH +0.75	1.22	5.45
AH +0.50	1.34	3.97
AH +0.25	1.42	3.41
AH +0.00	1.54	2.85
AH -0.25	1.84	2.19
AH -0.50	2.15	1.87
AH -0.75	2.56	1.64
AH -1.00	3.45	1.41
AH -1.25	4.02	1.33
AH -1.50	4.59	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 45.1% · D 24.7% · A 30.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.5%) | Market overround: 106.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.5% · Home by 2+ 24.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away by 1 16.8% · Away by 2+ 11.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.62 · Under 2.61)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.86 · Away 2.16)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Stuttgart	Overall	27	16	5	6	56	36	20
	Home	13	10	2	1	22	12	10
	Away	14	6	3	5	34	24	10
Dortmund	Overall	27	18	7	2	58	28	30
	Home	14	11	2	1	33	13	20
	Away	13	7	5	1	25	15	10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Stuttgart	3-2-0	15	7	8
Dortmund	3-1-1	11	8	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Stuttgart	2.30	1.88	2.05	1.54
Dortmund	1.47	1.36	1.60	1.30

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	45.1%	43.5%	+1.7pp
Draw	24.7%	25.8%	-1.1pp
Away	30.2%	36.8%	-6.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.76 (56.8%) · No: 2.31 (43.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.5% 1-0 9.4% 2-1 9.4% 2-0 7.7% 0-1 7.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.7%	7.0%	4.3%	1.7%
1	9.4%	11.5%	7.0%	2.9%
2	7.7%	9.4%	5.7%	2.3%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.41	3.46
O/U 2.25	1.62	2.61
O/U 2.50	1.84	2.19 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.05	1.95
O/U 3.00	2.42	1.70
O/U 3.25	2.77	1.57
O/U 3.50	3.12	1.47

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.51
AH +1.25	1.15	7.79
AH +1.00	1.16	7.08
AH +0.75	1.28	4.55
AH +0.50	1.40	3.51
AH +0.25	1.48	3.08
AH +0.00	1.61	2.65
AH -0.25	1.86 VALUE	2.16
AH -0.50	2.12	1.89
AH -0.75	2.48	1.68
AH -1.00	3.15	1.46
AH -1.25	3.61	1.38
AH -1.50	4.07	1.33

Model probs (cal): H 64.3% · D 24.5% · A 11.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (57.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.1%) | Market overround: 104.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.9% · Home by 2+ 32.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away by 1 12.9% · Away by 2+ 6.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.75 · Under 2.33)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.30 · Away 1.77)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Betis	Overall	29	11	11	7	44	37	7
	Home	14	7	4	3	26	16	10
	Away	15	4	7	4	18	21	-3
Espanol	Overall	29	10	7	12	36	44	-8
	Home	15	6	3	6	18	21	-3
	Away	14	4	4	6	18	23	-5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Betis	0-3-2	5	8	-3
Espanol	0-2-3	7	11	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Betis	1.16	1.50	1.34	1.48
Espanol	1.23	2.41	1.10	2.02

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	64.3%	58.1%	+6.1pp
Draw	24.5%	25.7%	-1.2pp
Away	11.2%	20.9%	-9.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.6%) · No: 1.98 (50.4%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.1% 1-1 11.1% 2-0 10.7% 2-1 9.8% 0-0 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.9%	6.3%	2.9%	0.9%
1	12.1%	11.1%	5.0%	1.5%
2	10.7%	9.8%	4.5%	1.4%
3	6.3%	5.8%	2.6%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.50	2.98
O/U 2.25	1.75	2.33
O/U 2.50	2.00	2.00
O/U 2.75	2.28	1.78
O/U 3.00	2.78	1.56
O/U 3.25	3.17	1.46
O/U 3.50	3.56	1.39

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	15.78
AH +1.25	1.07	14.76
AH +1.00	1.08	13.75
AH +0.75	1.16	7.33
AH +0.50	1.24	5.21
AH +0.25	1.28	4.60
AH +0.00	1.33	4.00
AH -0.25	1.54	2.87
AH -0.50	1.74	2.35
AH -0.75	1.94	2.06
AH -1.00	2.30	1.77
AH -1.25	2.68	1.59
AH -1.50	3.07	1.48

Model probs (cal): H 36.5% · D 27.7% · A 35.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 108.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.6% · Home by 2+ 18.4% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 19.4% · Away by 2+ 14.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.85 · Under 2.18)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.19)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Cultural Leonesa	Overall	33	7	8	18	30	55	-25
	Home	16	2	4	10	9	25	-16
	Away	17	5	4	8	21	30	-9
Valladolid	Overall	33	10	9	14	39	46	-7
	Home	17	6	4	7	20	19	1
	Away	16	4	5	7	19	27	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Cultural Leonesa	0-2-3	3	11	-8
Valladolid	2-1-2	10	8	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Cultural Leonesa	1.49	1.36	1.25	1.25
Valladolid	1.59	1.30	1.46	1.50

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.5%	36.4%	+0.1pp
Draw	27.7%	31.0%	-3.3pp
Away	35.8%	41.1%	-5.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.92 (52.1%) · No: 2.09 (47.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 10.4% 0-1 9.3% 2-1 8.5% 0-0 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.7%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%
1	10.4%	12.6%	7.7%	3.1%
2	7.0%	8.5%	5.2%	2.1%
3	3.2%	3.8%	2.3%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.58	2.73
O/U 2.25	1.85	2.18
O/U 2.50	2.11	1.90
O/U 2.75	2.44	1.69
O/U 3.00	3.05	1.49
O/U 3.25	3.48	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.90	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.08
AH +1.25	1.19	6.40
AH +1.00	1.21	5.71
AH +0.75	1.36	3.79
AH +0.50	1.50	2.98
AH +0.25	1.63	2.59
AH +0.00	1.84 VALUE	2.19
AH -0.25	2.17	1.85
AH -0.50	2.50	1.67
AH -0.75	3.06	1.49
AH -1.00	4.27	1.31
AH -1.25	4.85	1.26
AH -1.50	5.44	1.23

Model probs (cal): H 37.3% · D 28.3% · A 34.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.4% · Home by 2+ 18.1% · Draw 27.7% · Away by 1 19.3% · Away by 2+ 12.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.35)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.79 · Away 2.27)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
La Coruna	Overall	33	17	8	8	51	36	15
	Home	16	8	4	4	22	16	6
	Away	17	9	4	4	29	20	9
Malaga	Overall	33	16	8	9	55	40	15
	Home	17	10	6	1	35	19	16
	Away	16	6	2	8	20	21	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
La Coruna	3-1-1	7	5	2
Malaga	2-3-0	14	9	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
La Coruna	0.92	1.04	0.91	0.99
Malaga	2.04	1.23	1.79	1.20

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	37.3%	52.8%	-15.4pp
Draw	28.3%	29.2%	-0.9pp
Away	34.4%	26.7%	+7.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.08 (48.1%) · No: 1.93 (51.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 11.9% 0-1 10.2% 0-0 9.3% 2-1 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	10.2%	5.6%	2.1%
1	11.9%	13.0%	7.2%	2.6%
2	7.6%	8.3%	4.6%	1.7%
3	3.2%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.74	2.35
O/U 2.25	2.05	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.36	1.74 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.80	1.56
O/U 3.00	3.66	1.38
O/U 3.25	4.14	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.62	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	7.96
AH +1.25	1.16	7.19
AH +1.00	1.18	6.43
AH +0.75	1.33	4.07
AH +0.50	1.47	3.14
AH +0.25	1.59	2.71
AH +0.00	1.79	2.27
AH -0.25	2.13	1.89
AH -0.50	2.47	1.68 VALUE
AH -0.75	3.03	1.49
AH -1.00	4.29	1.30
AH -1.25	4.91	1.26
AH -1.50	5.52	1.22

Model probs (cal): H 51.7% · D 23.7% · A 24.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (56.7%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (10.6%) | Market overround: 105.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.9% · Home by 2+ 32.8% · Draw 22.5% · Away by 1 13.3% · Away by 2+ 7.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.59 · Under 2.69)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.32 · Away 1.76)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
AZ Alkmaar	Overall	28	12	6	10	47	45	2
	Home	13	6	5	2	29	21	8
	Away	15	6	1	8	18	24	-6
For Sittard	Overall	28	10	5	13	43	52	-9
	Home	14	6	3	5	23	24	-1
	Away	14	4	2	8	20	28	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
AZ Alkmaar	2-0-3	7	11	-4
For Sittard	3-0-2	8	9	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
AZ Alkmaar	1.89	1.41	1.52	1.56
For Sittard	1.44	1.47	1.41	1.66

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	51.7%	75.2%	-23.5pp
Draw	23.7%	18.5%	+5.2pp
Away	24.6%	11.8%	+12.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.83 (54.7%) · No: 2.21 (45.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 10.6% 1-0 10.2% 2-1 9.9% 2-0 9.5% 3-1 6.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.5%	5.7%	3.0%	1.0%
1	10.2%	10.6%	5.5%	1.9%
2	9.5%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%
3	5.9%	6.2%	3.2%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.38	3.60
O/U 2.25	1.59	2.69
O/U 2.50	1.80	2.25 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.00	2.00
O/U 3.00	2.34	1.75
O/U 3.25	2.68	1.60
O/U 3.50	3.01	1.50

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.32
AH +1.25	1.09	12.43
AH +1.00	1.09	11.54
AH +0.75	1.18	6.59
AH +0.50	1.26	4.80
AH +0.25	1.31	4.26
AH +0.00	1.37	3.72
AH -0.25	1.57	2.77
AH -0.50	1.76	2.31
AH -0.75	1.97	2.03
AH -1.00	2.32	1.76
AH -1.25	2.68	1.59
AH -1.50	3.05	1.49 VALUE

Model probs (cal): H 41.9% · D 22.9% · A 35.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.8%) | Market overround: 106.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.5% · Home by 2+ 20.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away by 1 18.4% · Away by 2+ 14.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.65 · Under 2.53)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.30)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Telstar	Overall	28	6	9	13	38	46	-8
	Home	14	3	5	6	24	25	-1
	Away	14	3	4	7	14	21	-7
Groningen	Overall	28	11	5	12	40	37	3
	Home	14	6	3	5	23	14	9
	Away	14	5	2	7	17	23	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Telstar	3-0-2	11	7	4
Groningen	2-1-2	10	7	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Telstar	2.44	2.00	1.84	2.07
Groningen	1.79	1.68	1.44	1.68

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.9%	37.9%	+4.0pp
Draw	22.9%	27.4%	-4.5pp
Away	35.2%	40.8%	-5.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.76 (56.7%) · No: 2.31 (43.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.8% 1-0 9.1% 2-1 8.9% 0-1 7.8% 1-2 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.0%	7.8%	5.1%	2.2%
1	9.1%	11.8%	7.7%	3.3%
2	6.9%	8.9%	5.8%	2.5%
3	3.5%	4.5%	2.9%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.43	3.33
O/U 2.25	1.65	2.53
O/U 2.50	1.88	2.14 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.11	1.90
O/U 3.00	2.50	1.67
O/U 3.25	2.86	1.54
O/U 3.50	3.22	1.45

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.17	7.05
AH +1.25	1.19	6.40
AH +1.00	1.21	5.75
AH +0.75	1.35	3.88
AH +0.50	1.48	3.06
AH +0.25	1.60	2.68
AH +0.00	1.77 VALUE	2.30
AH -0.25	2.07	1.94
AH -0.50	2.36	1.73
AH -0.75	2.83	1.55
AH -1.00	3.77	1.36
AH -1.25	4.29	1.30
AH -1.50	4.80	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 41.3% · D 26.9% · A 31.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.3%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.0%) | Market overround: 106.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.1% · Home by 2+ 22.2% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 17.0% · Away by 2+ 9.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.34)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.87 · Away 2.15)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Brest	Overall	27	10	6	11	34	39	-5
	Home	13	7	3	3	20	13	7
	Away	14	3	3	8	14	26	-12
Rennes	Overall	27	12	8	7	43	37	6
	Home	14	7	4	3	24	14	10
	Away	13	5	4	4	19	23	-4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Brest	3-0-2	5	5	0
Rennes	3-1-1	9	2	7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Brest	0.66	1.27	0.96	1.35
Rennes	1.66	0.76	1.41	1.13

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.3%	32.3%	+9.0pp
Draw	26.9%	28.6%	-1.7pp
Away	31.8%	45.4%	-13.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.13 (46.9%) · No: 1.88 (53.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.0% 1-1 12.7% 0-0 9.3% 0-1 9.2% 2-0 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	9.2%	4.5%	1.5%
1	13.0%	12.7%	6.3%	2.0%
2	9.0%	8.8%	4.3%	1.4%
3	4.2%	4.1%	2.0%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.74	2.34
O/U 2.25	2.06	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.37	1.73 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.81	1.55
O/U 3.00	3.68	1.37
O/U 3.25	4.16	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.65	1.27

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.47
AH +1.25	1.12	9.58
AH +1.00	1.13	8.69
AH +0.75	1.25	5.07
AH +0.50	1.36	3.76
AH +0.25	1.44 VALUE	3.25
AH +0.00	1.57	2.74
AH -0.25	1.87	2.15
AH -0.50	2.16	1.86
AH -0.75	2.57	1.64
AH -1.00	3.42	1.41
AH -1.25	3.96	1.34
AH -1.50	4.50	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 27.0% · D 34.4% · A 38.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (39.7%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.8%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.5% · Home by 2+ 11.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away by 1 23.1% · Away by 2+ 16.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 2.06 · Under 1.94)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.29 · Away 1.77)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Panetolikos	Overall	26	7	5	14	24	38	-14
	Home	13	4	1	8	15	23	-8
	Away	13	3	4	6	9	15	-6
Atromitos	Overall	26	7	8	11	26	30	-4
	Home	13	2	5	6	13	17	-4
	Away	13	5	3	5	13	13	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Panetolikos	1-2-2	2	4	-2
Atromitos	2-2-1	5	4	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Panetolikos	0.94	1.15	1.04	1.27
Atromitos	1.02	1.25	1.17	1.10

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	27.0%	36.0%	-9.0pp
Draw	34.4%	32.3%	+2.1pp
Away	38.7%	40.0%	-1.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.37 (42.3%) · No: 1.73 (57.7%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.8% 1-1 13.4% 0-0 12.1% 1-0 11.7% 0-2 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	12.1%	13.8%	7.9%	3.0%
1	11.7%	13.4%	7.7%	2.9%
2	5.7%	6.5%	3.7%	1.4%
3	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	2.06	1.94
O/U 2.25	2.45	1.69
O/U 2.50	2.83	1.55
O/U 2.75	3.50	1.40
O/U 3.00	4.95	1.25
O/U 3.25	5.53	1.22
O/U 3.50	6.11	1.20

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.20	6.02
AH +1.25	1.23	5.33
AH +1.00	1.28	4.63
AH +0.75	1.47	3.14
AH +0.50	1.66	2.52
AH +0.25	1.87	2.15
AH +0.00	2.29	1.77 VALUE
AH -0.25	2.78	1.56
AH -0.50	3.26	1.44
AH -0.75	4.32	1.30
AH -1.00	7.23	1.16
AH -1.25	8.10	1.14
AH -1.50	8.98	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 8.2% · D 26.9% · A 64.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (50.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.9%) | Market overround: 107.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 15.5% · Home by 2+ 9.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away by 1 24.0% · Away by 2+ 26.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.78 · Under 2.28)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.78 · Away 2.28)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Moreirense	Overall	27	10	5	12	31	39	-8
	Home	13	6	2	5	16	18	-2
	Away	14	4	3	7	15	21	-6
Sp Braga	Overall	26	13	7	6	53	27	26
	Home	13	7	3	3	28	13	15
	Away	13	6	4	3	25	14	11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Moreirense	1-1-3	3	7	-4
Sp Braga	2-1-2	5	5	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Moreirense	1.40	1.50	1.01	1.72
Sp Braga	1.40	1.51	1.68	1.26

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	8.2%	16.7%	-8.4pp
Draw	26.9%	25.6%	+1.3pp
Away	64.8%	65.6%	-0.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.94 (51.6%) · No: 2.07 (48.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.9% 0-1 11.4% 1-2 9.5% 0-2 9.2% 1-0 7.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.1%	11.4%	9.2%	4.9%
1	7.4%	11.9%	9.5%	5.1%
2	3.8%	6.1%	4.9%	2.6%
3	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.53	2.90
O/U 2.25	1.78	2.28
O/U 2.50	2.03	1.97
O/U 2.75	2.33	1.75
O/U 3.00	2.86	1.54
O/U 3.25	3.26	1.44
O/U 3.50	3.66	1.38

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.36	3.76
AH +1.25	1.43	3.31
AH +1.00	1.54 VALUE	2.86
AH +0.75	1.78	2.28
AH +0.50	2.02	1.98
AH +0.25	2.37	1.73
AH +0.00	3.06	1.49
AH -0.25	3.57	1.39
AH -0.50	4.08	1.32
AH -0.75	5.50	1.22
AH -1.00	9.37	1.12
AH -1.25	10.23	1.11
AH -1.50	11.09	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 36.7% · D 33.2% · A 30.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.4%) | Market overround: 108.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.8% · Home by 2+ 21.8% · Draw 26.0% · Away by 1 17.7% · Away by 2+ 11.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.82 · Under 2.22)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.95 · Away 2.05)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Rio Ave	Overall	27	7	9	11	28	46	-18
	Home	13	3	4	6	13	21	-8
	Away	14	4	5	5	15	25	-10
Alverca	Overall	27	7	8	12	27	45	-18
	Home	14	5	4	5	12	20	-8
	Away	13	2	4	7	15	25	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Rio Ave	3-1-1	5	3	2
Alverca	0-4-1	5	8	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Rio Ave	1.30	0.90	1.14	1.34
Alverca	0.99	1.85	0.94	1.75

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.7%	40.8%	-4.2pp
Draw	33.2%	30.6%	+2.7pp
Away	30.1%	36.7%	-6.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.92 (52.2%) · No: 2.09 (47.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.4% 1-0 10.9% 2-1 9.0% 0-1 8.5% 2-0 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.4%	8.5%	4.8%	1.8%
1	10.9%	12.4%	7.0%	2.7%
2	8.0%	9.0%	5.1%	1.9%
3	3.9%	4.4%	2.5%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.56	2.80
O/U 2.25	1.82	2.22
O/U 2.50	2.08	1.93
O/U 2.75	2.39	1.72
O/U 3.00	2.97	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.38	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.79	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.55
AH +1.25	1.15	7.80
AH +1.00	1.17	7.04
AH +0.75	1.29	4.44
AH +0.50	1.42	3.40
AH +0.25	1.51	2.96
AH +0.00	1.66 VALUE	2.52
AH -0.25	1.95	2.05
AH -0.50	2.24	1.81
AH -0.75	2.67	1.60
AH -1.00	3.54	1.39
AH -1.25	4.06	1.33
AH -1.50	4.58	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 36.8% · D 24.9% · A 38.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (43.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.9%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.2% · Home by 2+ 13.7% · Draw 25.1% · Away by 1 21.7% · Away by 2+ 21.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.67 · Under 2.49)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.35 · Away 1.74)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Trabzonspor	Overall	27	18	6	3	53	29	24
	Home	13	8	4	1	25	12	13
	Away	14	10	2	2	28	17	11
Galatasaray	Overall	26	20	4	2	62	18	44
	Home	14	11	3	0	38	11	27
	Away	12	9	1	2	24	7	17

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Trabzonspor	3-1-1	9	7	2
Galatasaray	4-0-1	12	4	8

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Trabzonspor	1.25	1.62	1.58	1.36
Galatasaray	1.57	1.34	1.52	1.21

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.8%	31.2%	+5.6pp
Draw	24.9%	27.8%	-2.9pp
Away	38.3%	48.8%	-10.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.78 (56.2%) · No: 2.28 (43.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.9% 0-1 9.3% 1-2 9.0% 1-0 7.8% 2-1 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.2%	9.3%	7.1%	3.6%
1	7.8%	11.9%	9.0%	4.5%
2	5.0%	7.5%	5.7%	2.9%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.44	3.26
O/U 2.25	1.67	2.49
O/U 2.50	1.90	2.12 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.13	1.88
O/U 3.00	2.55	1.65
O/U 3.25	2.91	1.52
O/U 3.50	3.28	1.44

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.27	4.71
AH +1.25	1.31	4.20
AH +1.00	1.37	3.68
AH +0.75	1.56	2.78
AH +0.50	1.75	2.33
AH +0.25	1.97	2.03
AH +0.00	2.35	1.74
AH -0.25	2.74	1.57
AH -0.50	3.14	1.47
AH -0.75	3.99	1.33
AH -1.00	5.98	1.20
AH -1.25	6.65	1.18
AH -1.50	7.32	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 0.0% · D 20.2% · A 79.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (48.2%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.2%) | Market overround: 107.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.3% · Home by 2+ 8.8% · Draw 26.7% · Away by 1 24.5% · Away by 2+ 23.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.73 · Under 2.37)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.69 · Away 2.44)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Nancy	Overall	28	7	7	14	24	40	-16
	Home	14	4	2	8	11	21	-10
	Away	14	3	5	6	13	19	-6
St Etienne	Overall	28	16	5	7	50	29	21
	Home	14	9	2	3	32	14	18
	Away	14	7	3	4	18	15	3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Nancy	0-3-2	3	8	-5
St Etienne	4-1-0	11	1	10

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Nancy	0.80	1.15	0.85	1.18
St Etienne	1.23	0.93	1.24	1.00

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	0.0%	26.7%	-26.7pp
Draw	20.2%	29.4%	-9.2pp
Away	79.8%	51.3%	+28.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.14 (46.8%) · No: 1.88 (53.2%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.2% 1-1 12.6% 0-2 9.4% 0-0 9.2% 1-2 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.2%	13.2%	9.4%	4.5%
1	8.8%	12.6%	9.0%	4.3%
2	4.2%	6.0%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.73	2.37
O/U 2.25	2.03	1.97
O/U 2.50	2.34	1.75 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.77	1.56
O/U 3.00	3.62	1.38
O/U 3.25	4.09	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.57	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.31	4.22
AH +1.25	1.37	3.70
AH +1.00	1.46	3.19
AH +0.75	1.69	2.44
AH +0.50	1.93	2.08
AH +0.25	2.25	1.80
AH +0.00	2.92	1.52
AH -0.25	3.46	1.41
AH -0.50	3.99	1.33
AH -0.75	5.43	1.23
AH -1.00	9.52	1.12
AH -1.25	10.45	1.11
AH -1.50	11.37	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 39.1% · D 24.0% · A 36.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (48.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.2%) | Market overround: 106.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.5% · Home by 2+ 25.7% · Draw 24.0% · Away by 1 16.4% · Away by 2+ 11.5%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.32 · Under 1.76)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.83 · Away 2.21)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Dresden	Overall	27	7	8	12	45	46	-1
	Home	13	4	3	6	25	20	5
	Away	14	3	5	6	20	26	-6
Hertha	Overall	27	12	8	7	42	33	9
	Home	14	5	5	4	14	15	-1
	Away	13	7	3	3	28	18	10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Dresden	2-1-2	6	6	0
Hertha	2-1-2	12	12	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Dresden	1.51	0.96	1.54	1.08
Hertha	1.68	1.56	1.45	1.32

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	39.1%	38.6%	+0.5pp
Draw	24.0%	28.6%	-4.6pp
Away	36.8%	39.6%	-2.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.73 (57.7%) · No: 2.36 (42.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.2% 2-1 9.5% 1-0 9.1% 2-0 7.7% 1-2 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.4%	6.6%	4.1%	1.7%
1	9.1%	11.2%	6.9%	2.8%
2	7.7%	9.5%	5.8%	2.4%
3	4.3%	5.3%	3.3%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.38	3.64
O/U 2.25	1.58	2.71
O/U 2.50	1.79	2.26
O/U 2.75	1.99	2.01
O/U 3.00	2.32	1.76
O/U 3.25	2.65	1.60
O/U 3.50	2.99	1.50

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.71
AH +1.25	1.14	7.99
AH +1.00	1.16	7.28
AH +0.75	1.27	4.67
AH +0.50	1.39	3.59
AH +0.25	1.46	3.16
AH +0.00	1.58 VALUE	2.73
AH -0.25	1.83	2.21
AH -0.50	2.08	1.93
AH -0.75	2.40	1.71
AH -1.00	3.02	1.49
AH -1.25	3.46	1.41
AH -1.50	3.90	1.35

Model probs (cal): H 64.9% · D 24.4% · A 10.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (58.7%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.5%) | Market overround: 107.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 26.1% · Home by 2+ 32.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away by 1 12.1% · Away by 2+ 5.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.98 · Under 2.03)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.27 · Away 1.79)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
St. Gilloise	Overall	30	19	9	2	50	17	33
	Home	15	14	1	0	32	5	27
	Away	15	5	8	2	18	12	6
St Truiden	Overall	30	18	3	9	47	35	12
	Home	15	10	1	4	23	19	4
	Away	15	8	2	5	24	16	8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
St. Gilloise	1-4-0	6	4	2
St Truiden	2-0-3	7	7	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
St. Gilloise	1.22	1.35	1.36	1.28
St Truiden	0.99	1.78	1.34	1.27

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	64.9%	58.8%	+6.1pp
Draw	24.4%	26.7%	-2.3pp
Away	10.7%	22.2%	-11.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.29 (43.7%) · No: 1.78 (56.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.5% 2-0 12.1% 1-1 11.2% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.7%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%
1	14.5%	11.2%	4.3%	1.1%
2	12.1%	9.4%	3.6%	0.9%
3	6.7%	5.2%	2.0%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.68	2.47
O/U 2.25	1.98	2.03
O/U 2.50	2.27	1.79 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.67	1.60
O/U 3.00	3.44	1.41
O/U 3.25	3.90	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.36	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	19.86
AH +1.25	1.06	18.66
AH +1.00	1.06	17.46
AH +0.75	1.13	8.47
AH +0.50	1.21	5.83
AH +0.25	1.24	5.13
AH +0.00	1.29	4.42
AH -0.25	1.50	3.01
AH -0.50	1.70	2.42
AH -0.75	1.90 VALUE	2.11
AH -1.00	2.27	1.79
AH -1.25	2.67	1.60
AH -1.50	3.07	1.48

Model probs (cal): H 50.5% · D 29.0% · A 20.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (52.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (15.4%) | Market overround: 104.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 26.1% · Home by 2+ 26.6% · Draw 26.8% · Away by 1 14.2% · Away by 2+ 6.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.13)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.64 · Away 2.56)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Lazio	Overall	30	11	10	9	31	28	3
	Home	15	7	4	4	21	17	4
	Away	15	4	6	5	10	11	-1
Parma	Overall	30	8	10	12	21	38	-17
	Home	15	3	5	7	11	21	-10
	Away	15	5	5	5	10	17	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Lazio	3-1-1	5	3	2
Parma	1-2-2	3	7	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Lazio	1.23	1.12	1.18	1.30
Parma	0.76	1.40	0.81	1.44

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	50.5%	55.6%	-5.1pp
Draw	29.0%	29.0%	+0.1pp
Away	20.5%	20.0%	+0.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.39 (41.8%) · No: 1.72 (58.2%)

Top scorelines

1-0 15.4% 1-1 12.2% 2-0 11.2% 0-0 10.6% 2-1 8.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.6%	8.4%	3.3%	0.9%
1	15.4%	12.2%	4.8%	1.3%
2	11.2%	8.8%	3.5%	0.9%
3	5.4%	4.3%	1.7%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.89	2.13
O/U 2.25	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.50	2.58	1.63 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.12	1.47
O/U 3.00	4.24	1.31
O/U 3.25	4.77	1.27
O/U 3.50	5.30	1.23

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	16.17
AH +1.25	1.07	15.02
AH +1.00	1.08	13.87
AH +0.75	1.17	6.99
AH +0.50	1.26	4.90
AH +0.25	1.31	4.24
AH +0.00	1.39	3.59
AH -0.25	1.64	2.56
AH -0.50	1.89	2.12
AH -0.75	2.19	1.84
AH -1.00	2.77	1.56
AH -1.25	3.26	1.44
AH -1.50	3.75	1.36

Model probs (cal): H 47.0% · D 23.6% · A 29.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (51.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.0%) | Market overround: 105.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.1% · Home by 2+ 28.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away by 1 15.2% · Away by 2+ 9.8%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.33 · Under 1.75)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.71 · Away 2.40)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ajax	Overall	28	12	12	4	53	35	18
	Home	14	9	3	2	28	11	17
	Away	14	3	9	2	25	24	1
Twente	Overall	28	12	11	5	47	30	17
	Home	14	7	4	3	22	14	8
	Away	14	5	7	2	25	16	9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ajax	1-4-0	9	8	1
Twente	4-0-1	10	5	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ajax	1.66	1.82	2.29	1.49
Twente	1.50	1.63	1.95	1.38

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	47.0%	43.5%	+3.6pp
Draw	23.6%	26.8%	-3.2pp
Away	29.3%	35.4%	-6.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.76 (56.7%) · No: 2.31 (43.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.0% 2-1 9.7% 1-0 9.5% 2-0 8.4% 1-2 6.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.4%	6.3%	3.6%	1.4%
1	9.5%	11.0%	6.4%	2.5%
2	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.2%
3	4.9%	5.7%	3.3%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.38	3.63
O/U 2.25	1.59	2.70
O/U 2.50	1.79	2.26 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.99	2.01
O/U 3.00	2.33	1.75
O/U 3.25	2.66	1.60
O/U 3.50	3.00	1.50

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.19
AH +1.25	1.12	9.42
AH +1.00	1.13	8.64
AH +0.75	1.23	5.31
AH +0.50	1.33	4.00
AH +0.25	1.40	3.53
AH +0.00	1.49	3.06
AH -0.25	1.71 VALUE	2.40
AH -0.50	1.94	2.06
AH -0.75	2.21	1.82
AH -1.00	2.71	1.59
AH -1.25	3.12	1.47
AH -1.50	3.52	1.40

Model probs (cal): H 23.7% · D 22.7% · A 53.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (47.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.3%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.6% · Home by 2+ 11.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away by 1 22.5% · Away by 2+ 25.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.60 · Under 2.67)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.69 · Away 2.45)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Excelsior	Overall	28	7	6	15	29	47	-18
	Home	14	4	2	8	14	19	-5
	Away	14	3	4	7	15	28	-13
Nijmegen	Overall	28	14	8	6	69	47	22
	Home	14	8	3	3	37	22	15
	Away	14	6	5	3	32	25	7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Excelsior	0-1-4	4	8	-4
Nijmegen	3-2-0	12	8	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Excelsior	1.43	1.58	1.23	1.50
Nijmegen	2.25	1.49	2.18	1.69

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	23.7%	28.6%	-4.8pp
Draw	22.7%	25.6%	-3.0pp
Away	53.6%	51.5%	+2.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.74 (57.4%) · No: 2.35 (42.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.3% 1-2 9.4% 0-1 9.2% 0-2 7.7% 2-1 7.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.5%	9.2%	7.7%	4.2%
1	6.8%	11.3%	9.4%	5.2%
2	4.2%	7.0%	5.8%	3.2%
3	1.7%	2.9%	2.4%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.39	3.57
O/U 2.25	1.60	2.67
O/U 2.50	1.81	2.24 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.01	1.99
O/U 3.00	2.36	1.74
O/U 3.25	2.70	1.59
O/U 3.50	3.04	1.49

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.33	3.99
AH +1.25	1.39	3.54
AH +1.00	1.48	3.09
AH +0.75	1.69	2.45
AH +0.50	1.91	2.10
AH +0.25	2.18	1.85
AH +0.00	2.68	1.60
AH -0.25	3.11	1.47
AH -0.50	3.53	1.39
AH -0.75	4.58	1.28
AH -1.00	7.13	1.16
AH -1.25	7.84	1.15
AH -1.50	8.55	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 37.7% · D 27.7% · A 34.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.3% · Home by 2+ 19.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away by 1 19.0% · Away by 2+ 14.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.44)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.83 · Away 2.21)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ath Madrid	Overall	29	17	6	6	49	28	21
	Home	15	13	1	1	34	12	22
	Away	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1
Barcelona	Overall	29	24	1	4	78	28	50
	Home	15	15	0	0	47	8	39
	Away	14	9	1	4	31	20	11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ath Madrid	4-0-1	11	7	4
Barcelona	5-0-0	14	3	11

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ath Madrid	1.83	1.58	1.64	1.35
Barcelona	1.88	0.93	1.77	1.34

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	37.7%	33.1%	+4.7pp
Draw	27.7%	26.4%	+1.2pp
Away	34.6%	46.5%	-11.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.80 (55.7%) · No: 2.26 (44.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 1-0 9.3% 2-1 8.7% 0-1 8.3% 1-2 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.4%	8.3%	5.4%	2.3%
1	9.3%	12.1%	7.8%	3.4%
2	6.7%	8.7%	5.7%	2.5%
3	3.3%	4.2%	2.7%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.46	3.16
O/U 2.25	1.70	2.44
O/U 2.50	1.93	2.08 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.18	1.85
O/U 3.00	2.62	1.62
O/U 3.25	3.00	1.50
O/U 3.50	3.37	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.17	6.78
AH +1.25	1.19	6.13
AH +1.00	1.22	5.49
AH +0.75	1.37	3.73
AH +0.50	1.51	2.96
AH +0.25	1.63 VALUE	2.59
AH +0.00	1.83	2.21
AH -0.25	2.14	1.88
AH -0.50	2.45	1.69
AH -0.75	2.96	1.51
AH -1.00	4.03	1.33
AH -1.25	4.58	1.28
AH -1.50	5.12	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 40.4% · D 26.4% · A 33.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (38.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.0% · Home by 2+ 17.3% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 20.0% · Away by 2+ 15.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.84 · Under 2.19)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.92 · Away 2.09)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Lille	Overall	27	14	5	8	42	34	8
	Home	13	7	3	3	20	14	6
	Away	14	7	2	5	22	20	2
Lens	Overall	27	19	2	6	54	24	30
	Home	14	12	0	2	31	9	22
	Away	13	7	2	4	23	15	8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Lille	4-1-0	7	3	4
Lens	2-1-2	12	7	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Lille	1.08	1.12	1.05	1.36
Lens	1.74	1.35	1.55	1.18

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.4%	38.5%	+2.0pp
Draw	26.4%	29.4%	-3.1pp
Away	33.2%	37.9%	-4.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.91 (52.4%) · No: 2.10 (47.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 10.1% 0-1 9.5% 2-1 8.3% 1-2 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.6%	9.5%	6.0%	2.5%
1	10.1%	12.6%	7.9%	3.3%
2	6.6%	8.3%	5.2%	2.2%
3	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.57	2.75
O/U 2.25	1.84	2.19
O/U 2.50	2.10	1.91 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.43	1.70
O/U 3.00	3.03	1.49
O/U 3.25	3.45	1.41
O/U 3.50	3.87	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.58
AH +1.25	1.20	5.92
AH +1.00	1.23	5.26
AH +0.75	1.39	3.57
AH +0.50	1.54	2.84
AH +0.25	1.68	2.47
AH +0.00	1.92	2.09
AH -0.25	2.26	1.79
AH -0.50	2.61	1.62
AH -0.75	3.22	1.45
AH -1.00	4.57	1.28
AH -1.25	5.18	1.24
AH -1.50	5.79	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 81.9% · D 11.4% · A 6.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (66.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.5%) | Market overround: 107.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 26.0% · Home by 2+ 40.5% · Draw 21.1% · Away by 1 9.2% · Away by 2+ 3.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.84 · Under 2.18)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.83 · Away 2.21)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Porto	Overall	27	23	3	1	54	11	43
	Home	13	11	2	0	27	4	23
	Away	14	12	1	1	27	7	20
Famalicao	Overall	27	13	6	8	33	22	11
	Home	14	8	2	4	23	9	14
	Away	13	5	4	4	10	13	-3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Porto	5-0-0	9	2	7
Famalicao	2-1-2	5	5	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Porto	1.47	0.84	1.69	0.85
Famalicao	1.09	1.44	1.14	1.26

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	81.9%	73.0%	+8.9pp
Draw	11.4%	22.2%	-10.8pp
Away	6.7%	11.9%	-5.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.40 (41.7%) · No: 1.71 (58.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.5% 2-0 13.8% 1-1 9.8% 2-1 9.3% 3-0 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.7%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
1	14.5%	9.8%	3.3%	0.7%
2	13.8%	9.3%	3.1%	0.7%
3	8.7%	5.9%	2.0%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.58	2.73
O/U 2.25	1.84	2.18
O/U 2.50	2.11	1.90
O/U 2.75	2.44	1.69
O/U 3.00	3.05	1.49
O/U 3.25	3.47	1.41
O/U 3.50	3.89	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.03	30.85
AH +1.25	1.04	29.42
AH +1.00	1.04	27.99
AH +0.75	1.09	12.13
AH +0.50	1.14	8.01
AH +0.25	1.16	7.16
AH +0.00	1.19	6.32
AH -0.25	1.35	3.89
AH -0.50	1.50	2.98
AH -0.75	1.63	2.59
AH -1.00	1.83	2.21
AH -1.25	2.15	1.87 VALUE
AH -1.50	2.47	1.68

Model probs (cal): H 66.1% · D 20.0% · A 13.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (61.0%) | Most likely score: 2-1 (9.9%) | Market overround: 106.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.4% · Home by 2+ 37.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away by 1 11.8% · Away by 2+ 6.5%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.06 · Under 1.95)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.04 · Away 1.96)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Go Ahead Eagles	Overall	28	7	11	10	45	45	0
	Home	14	5	6	3	28	20	8
	Away	14	2	5	7	17	25	-8
Zwolle	Overall	28	8	9	11	38	53	-15
	Home	14	7	3	4	18	17	1
	Away	14	1	6	7	20	36	-16

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Go Ahead Eagles	3-0-2	12	6	6
Zwolle	0-2-3	7	11	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Go Ahead Eagles	1.75	1.65	1.75	1.69
Zwolle	1.46	1.54	1.26	1.71

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	66.1%	51.3%	+14.8pp
Draw	20.0%	26.0%	-6.0pp
Away	13.9%	28.9%	-15.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.77 (56.6%) · No: 2.30 (43.4%)

Top scorelines

2-1 9.9% 1-1 9.6% 2-0 9.5% 1-0 9.2% 3-1 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.5%	4.6%	2.4%	0.8%
1	9.2%	9.6%	5.0%	1.7%
2	9.5%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%
3	6.6%	6.9%	3.6%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.30	4.28
O/U 2.25	1.48	3.07
O/U 2.50	1.66	2.51
O/U 2.75	1.81	2.23
O/U 3.00	2.06	1.95
O/U 3.25	2.35	1.74
O/U 3.50	2.65	1.61

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	15.34
AH +1.25	1.07	14.44
AH +1.00	1.08	13.53
AH +0.75	1.15	7.57
AH +0.50	1.22	5.46
AH +0.25	1.26	4.89
AH +0.00	1.30	4.33
AH -0.25	1.47	3.13
AH -0.50	1.64 VALUE	2.56
AH -0.75	1.79	2.26
AH -1.00	2.04	1.96
AH -1.25	2.35	1.74
AH -1.50	2.66	1.60

Model probs (cal): H 31.0% · D 27.6% · A 41.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (41.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.1% · Home by 2+ 19.3% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 18.9% · Away by 2+ 13.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.16)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.29)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Braunschweig	Overall	27	8	5	14	29	44	-15
	Home	14	5	3	6	16	23	-7
	Away	13	3	2	8	13	21	-8
Nurnberg	Overall	27	10	6	11	37	37	0
	Home	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
	Away	13	3	2	8	14	22	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Braunschweig	1-1-3	3	6	-3
Nurnberg	1-1-3	4	9	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Braunschweig	1.09	1.11	1.26	1.25
Nurnberg	1.18	1.79	1.43	1.73

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.0%	40.0%	-9.0pp
Draw	27.6%	28.1%	-0.5pp
Away	41.4%	38.5%	+3.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.93 (51.7%) · No: 2.07 (48.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 10.7% 0-1 9.2% 2-1 8.7% 0-0 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	9.2%	5.4%	2.1%
1	10.7%	12.6%	7.4%	2.9%
2	7.4%	8.7%	5.1%	2.0%
3	3.4%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.70
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.16
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.88 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.47	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.09	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.52	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.94	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.59
AH +1.25	1.17	6.87
AH +1.00	1.19	6.15
AH +0.75	1.33	4.00
AH +0.50	1.47	3.12
AH +0.25	1.59	2.70
AH +0.00	1.77 VALUE	2.29
AH -0.25	2.10	1.91
AH -0.50	2.42	1.71
AH -0.75	2.93	1.52
AH -1.00	4.03	1.33
AH -1.25	4.60	1.28
AH -1.50	5.17	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 25.2% · D 26.8% · A 48.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (41.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.9% · Home by 2+ 14.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away by 1 21.4% · Away by 2+ 19.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.71 · Under 2.41)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.24 · Away 1.81)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Greuther Furth	Overall	27	8	5	14	40	59	-19
	Home	13	4	4	5	19	26	-7
	Away	14	4	1	9	21	33	-12
Paderborn	Overall	27	15	6	6	45	31	14
	Home	14	9	2	3	27	19	8
	Away	13	6	4	3	18	12	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Greuther Furth	1-0-4	4	9	-5
Paderborn	2-2-1	8	5	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Greuther Furth	0.60	1.41	1.29	1.78
Paderborn	1.79	1.69	1.45	1.54

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	25.2%	26.0%	-0.8pp
Draw	26.8%	26.3%	+0.4pp
Away	48.1%	54.3%	-6.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.81 (55.3%) · No: 2.24 (44.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 0-1 9.5% 1-2 8.8% 1-0 8.3% 2-1 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	9.5%	6.9%	3.3%
1	8.3%	12.1%	8.8%	4.3%
2	5.3%	7.7%	5.6%	2.7%
3	2.3%	3.3%	2.4%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.12
O/U 2.25	1.71	2.41
O/U 2.50	1.95	2.06 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.20	1.83
O/U 3.00	2.66	1.60
O/U 3.25	3.04	1.49
O/U 3.50	3.41	1.41

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.25	5.05
AH +1.25	1.28	4.51
AH +1.00	1.34	3.97
AH +0.75	1.52	2.93
AH +0.50	1.70 VALUE	2.43
AH +0.25	1.90	2.12
AH +0.00	2.24	1.81
AH -0.25	2.62	1.62
AH -0.50	3.01	1.50
AH -0.75	3.80	1.36
AH -1.00	5.64	1.22
AH -1.25	6.30	1.19
AH -1.50	6.95	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 34.7% · D 24.6% · A 40.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.1%) | Market overround: 106.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.2% · Home by 2+ 21.6% · Draw 25.5% · Away by 1 18.0% · Away by 2+ 12.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.73 · Under 2.37)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.99 · Away 2.01)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Hannover	Overall	27	14	7	6	46	34	12
	Home	13	7	2	4	19	15	4
	Away	14	7	5	2	27	19	8
Elversberg	Overall	27	15	6	6	47	29	18
	Home	13	8	4	1	23	11	12
	Away	14	7	2	5	24	18	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Hannover	3-1-1	9	8	1
Elversberg	2-1-2	8	8	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Hannover	1.26	1.87	1.78	1.72
Elversberg	1.79	1.63	1.71	1.43

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	34.7%	46.0%	-11.3pp
Draw	24.6%	27.4%	-2.8pp
Away	40.7%	33.1%	+7.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.84 (54.4%) · No: 2.19 (45.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.1% 1-0 10.0% 2-1 9.0% 0-1 8.1% 2-0 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.7%	8.1%	4.9%	2.0%
1	10.0%	12.1%	7.3%	3.0%
2	7.5%	9.0%	5.5%	2.2%
3	3.7%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.49	3.04
O/U 2.25	1.73	2.37
O/U 2.50	1.97	2.03 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.24	1.81
O/U 3.00	2.72	1.58
O/U 3.25	3.10	1.48
O/U 3.50	3.49	1.40

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.85
AH +1.25	1.16	7.14
AH +1.00	1.18	6.44
AH +0.75	1.31	4.19
AH +0.50	1.44	3.25
AH +0.25	1.54	2.84
AH +0.00	1.70	2.42
AH -0.25	1.99	2.01
AH -0.50	2.28	1.78
AH -0.75	2.72	1.58
AH -1.00	3.61	1.38
AH -1.25	4.12	1.32
AH -1.50	4.64	1.27

Model probs (cal): H 38.8% · D 24.7% · A 36.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (51.1%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.3%) | Market overround: 107.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.4% · Home by 2+ 26.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away by 1 15.2% · Away by 2+ 8.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.16)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.71 · Away 2.41)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Holstein Kiel	Overall	27	7	7	13	34	42	-8
	Home	13	4	3	6	16	16	0
	Away	14	3	4	7	18	26	-8
Preußen Münster	Overall	27	6	8	13	31	47	-16
	Home	14	3	6	5	19	22	-3
	Away	13	3	2	8	12	25	-13

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Holstein Kiel	1-2-2	10	14	-4
Preußen Münster	0-2-3	2	10	-8

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Holstein Kiel	1.11	2.39	1.17	1.83
Preußen Münster	0.81	1.66	1.10	1.55

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	38.8%	52.5%	-13.7pp
Draw	24.7%	27.0%	-2.3pp
Away	36.5%	27.7%	+8.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.5%) · No: 1.98 (50.5%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.3% 1-1 12.0% 2-0 9.6% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	7.6%	3.7%	1.2%
1	12.3%	12.0%	5.9%	1.9%
2	9.6%	9.4%	4.6%	1.5%
3	5.0%	4.9%	2.4%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.69
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.16
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.88 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.47	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.10	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.52	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.95	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	11.99
AH +1.25	1.10	11.07
AH +1.00	1.11	10.16
AH +0.75	1.21	5.79
AH +0.50	1.31	4.24
AH +0.25	1.37	3.70
AH +0.00	1.46	3.17
AH -0.25	1.71	2.41
AH -0.50	1.96	2.05
AH -0.75	2.26	1.80
AH -1.00	2.83	1.55
AH -1.25	3.29	1.44
AH -1.50	3.75	1.36

Model probs (cal): H 85.4% · D 6.7% · A 8.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (64.4%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (10.8%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.0% · Home by 2+ 40.4% · Draw 20.1% · Away by 1 10.5% · Away by 2+ 5.0%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.20 · Under 1.84)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.88 · Away 2.13)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Schalke 04	Overall	27	15	7	5	38	24	14
	Home	13	9	3	1	22	13	9
	Away	14	6	4	4	16	11	5
Karlsruhe	Overall	27	10	7	10	43	51	-8
	Home	13	7	3	3	26	22	4
	Away	14	3	4	7	17	29	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Schalke 04	1-3-1	4	5	-1
Karlsruhe	1-1-3	5	11	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Schalke 04	1.30	1.41	1.29	1.29
Karlsruhe	0.71	2.08	1.05	1.67

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	85.4%	66.7%	+18.7pp
Draw	6.7%	22.5%	-15.8pp
Away	8.0%	16.7%	-8.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.90 (52.5%) · No: 2.11 (47.5%)

Top scorelines

2-0 10.8% 1-0 10.4% 2-1 9.9% 1-1 9.5% 3-0 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.0%	4.5%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.4%	9.5%	4.3%	1.3%
2	10.8%	9.9%	4.5%	1.4%
3	7.5%	6.9%	3.2%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.34	3.91
O/U 2.25	1.54	2.86
O/U 2.50	1.73	2.37
O/U 2.75	1.91	2.10
O/U 3.00	2.20	1.84
O/U 3.25	2.51	1.66
O/U 3.50	2.83	1.55

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	19.88
AH +1.25	1.06	18.83
AH +1.00	1.06	17.79
AH +0.75	1.12	9.20
AH +0.50	1.18	6.43
AH +0.25	1.21	5.78
AH +0.00	1.24	5.14
AH -0.25	1.40	3.51
AH -0.50	1.55	2.81
AH -0.75	1.68	2.47
AH -1.00	1.88	2.13
AH -1.25	2.18	1.85
AH -1.50	2.48	1.68

Model probs (cal): H 36.1% · D 26.3% · A 37.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (40.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 108.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.3% · Home by 2+ 14.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away by 1 21.5% · Away by 2+ 18.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.20 · Away 1.83)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Karagumruk	Overall	27	4	5	18	24	47	-23
	Home	13	3	3	7	12	19	-7
	Away	14	1	2	11	12	28	-16
Rizespor	Overall	26	7	9	10	32	36	-4
	Home	13	5	2	6	13	17	-4
	Away	13	2	7	4	19	19	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Karagumruk	1-2-2	4	5	-1
Rizespor	1-2-2	8	8	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Karagumruk	1.46	1.29	1.41	1.47
Rizespor	1.49	1.55	1.08	1.57

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.1%	36.2%	-0.0pp
Draw	26.3%	29.2%	-2.9pp
Away	37.5%	43.5%	-5.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.88 (53.1%) · No: 2.13 (46.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 0-1 10.1% 1-0 9.0% 1-2 8.6% 2-1 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	10.1%	7.0%	3.2%
1	9.0%	12.5%	8.6%	4.0%
2	5.6%	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%
3	2.3%	3.2%	2.2%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.83
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.24
O/U 2.50	2.06	1.94 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.37	1.73
O/U 3.00	2.93	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.34	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.75	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.23	5.33
AH +1.25	1.27	4.76
AH +1.00	1.31	4.18
AH +0.75	1.49	3.02
AH +0.50	1.67	2.48
AH +0.25	1.86	2.16
AH +0.00	2.20	1.83
AH -0.25	2.59	1.63
AH -0.50	2.99	1.50
AH -0.75	3.79	1.36
AH -1.00	5.67	1.21
AH -1.25	6.35	1.19
AH -1.50	7.03	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 45.8% · D 28.9% · A 25.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.9% · Home by 2+ 17.5% · Draw 27.5% · Away by 1 19.7% · Away by 2+ 13.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.19)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Samsunspor	Overall	26	8	11	7	29	31	-2
	Home	13	4	6	3	11	13	-2
	Away	13	4	5	4	18	18	0
Konyaspor	Overall	27	7	9	11	31	39	-8
	Home	14	4	6	4	16	15	1
	Away	13	3	3	7	15	24	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Samsunspor	1-2-2	3	6	-3
Konyaspor	3-1-1	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Samsunspor	0.61	1.15	0.97	1.15
Konyaspor	1.31	0.83	1.26	1.03

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	45.8%	44.4%	+1.3pp
Draw	28.9%	31.8%	-3.0pp
Away	25.4%	31.9%	-6.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.04 (49.0%) · No: 1.96 (51.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 11.4% 0-1 10.2% 0-0 8.9% 2-1 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.9%	10.2%	5.8%	2.2%
1	11.4%	13.0%	7.4%	2.8%
2	7.2%	8.3%	4.7%	1.8%
3	3.1%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.25	2.00	2.00
O/U 2.50	2.30	1.77
O/U 2.75	2.72	1.58
O/U 3.00	3.52	1.40
O/U 3.25	3.99	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.46	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.43
AH +1.25	1.18	6.70
AH +1.00	1.20	5.97
AH +0.75	1.35	3.87
AH +0.50	1.50	3.02
AH +0.25	1.62	2.60
AH +0.00	1.84	2.19
AH -0.25	2.19	1.84
AH -0.50	2.54	1.65
AH -0.75	3.13	1.47
AH -1.00	4.47	1.29
AH -1.25	5.10	1.24
AH -1.50	5.72	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 41.7% · D 33.2% · A 25.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.8%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.9% · Home by 2+ 19.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away by 1 18.0% · Away by 2+ 9.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.97 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Getafe	Overall	29	11	5	13	25	31	-6
	Home	14	5	3	6	12	11	1
	Away	15	6	2	7	13	20	-7
Ath Bilbao	Overall	29	11	5	13	32	41	-9
	Home	15	8	2	5	19	17	2
	Away	14	3	3	8	13	24	-11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Getafe	3-0-2	5	3	2
Ath Bilbao	2-1-2	5	7	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Getafe	1.32	1.18	1.10	1.04
Ath Bilbao	1.75	1.37	1.69	1.59

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.7%	33.1%	+8.7pp
Draw	33.2%	34.9%	-1.7pp
Away	25.0%	37.9%	-12.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.28 (43.9%) · No: 1.78 (56.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.8% 1-1 13.1% 0-0 11.0% 0-1 10.4% 2-0 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.0%	10.4%	5.0%	1.6%
1	13.8%	13.1%	6.2%	2.0%
2	8.7%	8.3%	3.9%	1.2%
3	3.7%	3.5%	1.7%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.93	2.08
O/U 2.25	2.28	1.78
O/U 2.50	2.63 VALUE	1.61
O/U 2.75	3.20	1.45
O/U 3.00	4.39	1.29
O/U 3.25	4.93	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.47	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.07
AH +1.25	1.12	9.16
AH +1.00	1.14	8.26
AH +0.75	1.26	4.80
AH +0.50	1.39	3.58
AH +0.25	1.48	3.06
AH +0.00	1.64 VALUE	2.55
AH -0.25	1.97	2.03
AH -0.50	2.30	1.77
AH -0.75	2.80	1.56
AH -1.00	3.90	1.35
AH -1.25	4.51	1.28
AH -1.50	5.12	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 59.0% · D 23.7% · A 17.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (61.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.3%) | Market overround: 108.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.6% · Home by 2+ 35.6% · Draw 22.6% · Away by 1 11.4% · Away by 2+ 4.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.23)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.09 · Away 1.92)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Eibar	Overall	33	14	9	10	37	31	6
	Home	17	11	4	2	28	12	16
	Away	16	3	5	8	9	19	-10
Ceuta	Overall	33	14	6	13	42	52	-10
	Home	16	11	1	4	25	18	7
	Away	17	3	5	9	17	34	-17

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Eibar	4-1-0	6	1	5
Ceuta	1-1-3	6	13	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Eibar	1.57	0.58	1.37	0.76
Ceuta	1.07	1.56	1.14	1.66

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	59.0%	59.3%	-0.3pp
Draw	23.7%	29.0%	-5.3pp
Away	17.3%	20.6%	-3.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.17 (46.1%) · No: 1.85 (53.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.3% 2-0 12.0% 1-1 10.7% 2-1 9.6% 0-0 7.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.4%	5.9%	2.4%	0.6%
1	13.3%	10.7%	4.3%	1.1%
2	12.0%	9.6%	3.9%	1.0%
3	7.2%	5.8%	2.3%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.81
O/U 2.25	1.81	2.23
O/U 2.50	2.07	1.93
O/U 2.75	2.38	1.72
O/U 3.00	2.95	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.36	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.77	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	20.61
AH +1.25	1.05	19.43
AH +1.00	1.06	18.26
AH +0.75	1.13	8.95
AH +0.50	1.19	6.16
AH +0.25	1.22	5.46
AH +0.00	1.27	4.77
AH -0.25	1.45	3.22
AH -0.50	1.64	2.57
AH -0.75	1.80 VALUE	2.24
AH -1.00	2.09	1.92
AH -1.25	2.45	1.69
AH -1.50	2.81	1.55

Model probs (cal): H 79.0% · D 10.8% · A 10.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (69.4%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (11.3%) | Market overround: 106.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.3% · Home by 2+ 46.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away by 1 8.8% · Away by 2+ 3.8%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.04 · Under 1.96)

Rec AH line: -1.25 (Home 1.92 · Away 2.09)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Heerenveen	Overall	28	11	8	9	49	46	3
	Home	14	6	5	3	27	22	5
	Away	14	5	3	6	22	24	-2
Heracles	Overall	28	5	4	19	33	70	-37
	Home	14	4	3	7	22	29	-7
	Away	14	1	1	12	11	41	-30

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Heerenveen	2-1-2	10	7	3
Heracles	0-2-3	2	12	-10

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Heerenveen	1.75	1.63	1.68	1.70
Heracles	0.92	2.20	1.03	2.11

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	79.0%	68.0%	+11.0pp
Draw	10.8%	21.3%	-10.5pp
Away	10.2%	17.2%	-7.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.94 (51.5%) · No: 2.06 (48.5%)

Top scorelines

2-0 11.3% 1-0 10.0% 2-1 9.7% 3-0 8.6% 1-1 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.4%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.0%	8.5%	3.6%	1.0%
2	11.3%	9.7%	4.1%	1.2%
3	8.6%	7.3%	3.1%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.30	4.34
O/U 2.25	1.48	3.10
O/U 2.50	1.65	2.53 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.80	2.25
O/U 3.00	2.04	1.96
O/U 3.25	2.33	1.75
O/U 3.50	2.63	1.62

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.04	26.19
AH +1.25	1.04	25.04
AH +1.00	1.04	23.89
AH +0.75	1.09	11.65
AH +0.50	1.14	7.94
AH +0.25	1.16	7.22
AH +0.00	1.18	6.51
AH -0.25	1.31	4.21
AH -0.50	1.44	3.26
AH -0.75	1.53	2.88
AH -1.00	1.67	2.50
AH -1.25	1.92 VALUE	2.09
AH -1.50	2.17	1.85

Model probs (cal): H 23.7% · D 22.7% · A 53.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (41.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.0%) | Market overround: 106.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.9% · Home by 2+ 14.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away by 1 21.3% · Away by 2+ 19.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.69 · Under 2.46)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.22 · Away 1.82)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Volendam	Overall	28	7	6	15	30	48	-18
	Home	14	6	4	4	23	19	4
	Away	14	1	2	11	7	29	-22
Feyenoord	Overall	28	16	5	7	61	40	21
	Home	15	10	2	3	35	21	14
	Away	13	6	3	4	26	19	7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Volendam	1-0-4	4	10	-6
Feyenoord	3-1-1	13	6	7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Volendam	1.07	2.16	1.21	2.06
Feyenoord	1.61	1.38	2.16	1.23

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	23.7%	16.7%	+7.1pp
Draw	22.7%	20.4%	+2.2pp
Away	53.6%	69.4%	-15.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.79 (55.9%) · No: 2.27 (44.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.0% 0-1 9.2% 1-2 8.8% 1-0 8.2% 2-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.3%
1	8.2%	12.0%	8.8%	4.3%
2	5.3%	7.8%	5.7%	2.8%
3	2.3%	3.4%	2.5%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.46	3.19
O/U 2.25	1.69	2.46
O/U 2.50	1.92	2.09 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.17	1.86
O/U 3.00	2.60	1.63
O/U 3.25	2.97	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.34	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.25	5.08
AH +1.25	1.28 VALUE	4.54
AH +1.00	1.33	4.00
AH +0.75	1.51	2.95
AH +0.50	1.69	2.44
AH +0.25	1.88	2.13
AH +0.00	2.22	1.82
AH -0.25	2.59	1.63
AH -0.50	2.97	1.51
AH -0.75	3.74	1.36
AH -1.00	5.51	1.22
AH -1.25	6.15	1.19
AH -1.50	6.79	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 9.6% · D 28.4% · A 62.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (45.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.9%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 17.4% · Home by 2+ 12.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away by 1 22.4% · Away by 2+ 22.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.69 · Under 2.46)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.62 · Away 2.60)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Angers	Overall	27	9	5	13	24	37	-13
	Home	13	6	2	5	16	15	1
	Away	14	3	3	8	8	22	-14
Lyon	Overall	27	14	5	8	41	29	12
	Home	13	9	1	3	21	10	11
	Away	14	5	4	5	20	19	1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Angers	1-0-4	2	10	-8
Lyon	0-2-3	5	9	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Angers	0.96	1.73	1.12	1.51
Lyon	1.35	1.83	1.43	1.45

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	9.6%	21.8%	-12.2pp
Draw	28.4%	28.6%	-0.2pp
Away	62.0%	55.6%	+6.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.81 (55.3%) · No: 2.24 (44.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.9% 0-1 9.8% 1-2 9.2% 1-0 7.6% 0-2 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	9.8%	7.6%	4.0%
1	7.6%	11.9%	9.2%	4.8%
2	4.6%	7.2%	5.6%	2.9%
3	1.9%	2.9%	2.2%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.46	3.19
O/U 2.25	1.69	2.46
O/U 2.50	1.92 VALUE	2.09
O/U 2.75	2.17	1.86
O/U 3.00	2.60	1.63
O/U 3.25	2.97	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.34	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.30	4.36
AH +1.25	1.35	3.87
AH +1.00	1.42	3.38
AH +0.75	1.62	2.60
AH +0.50	1.83 VALUE	2.21
AH +0.25	2.08	1.93
AH +0.00	2.53	1.65
AH -0.25	2.95	1.51
AH -0.50	3.38	1.42
AH -0.75	4.37	1.30
AH -1.00	6.77	1.17
AH -1.25	7.48	1.15
AH -1.50	8.20	1.14

Model probs (cal): H 24.7% · D 30.0% · A 45.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (40.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.4% · Home by 2+ 13.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 22.0% · Away by 2+ 18.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.95 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.22 · Away 1.82)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Cremonese	Overall	30	6	9	15	25	44	-19
	Home	14	2	6	6	12	21	-9
	Away	16	4	3	9	13	23	-10
Bologna	Overall	30	12	6	12	38	36	2
	Home	15	5	2	8	14	18	-4
	Away	15	7	4	4	24	18	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Cremonese	1-0-4	4	11	-7
Bologna	3-0-2	4	4	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Cremonese	1.03	1.24	1.14	1.44
Bologna	1.05	1.22	1.02	1.19

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	24.7%	27.8%	-3.1pp
Draw	30.0%	29.4%	+0.6pp
Away	45.3%	48.8%	-3.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.00 (50.0%) · No: 2.00 (50.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 0-1 11.1% 1-0 9.8% 0-0 8.5% 1-2 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.5%	11.1%	7.3%	3.2%
1	9.8%	12.9%	8.4%	3.7%
2	5.7%	7.4%	4.9%	2.1%
3	2.2%	2.9%	1.9%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.52
O/U 2.25	1.95	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.75	2.62	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.35	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.80	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.25	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.22	5.51
AH +1.25	1.26	4.91
AH +1.00	1.30	4.30
AH +0.75	1.49	3.06
AH +0.50	1.67	2.49
AH +0.25	1.87 VALUE	2.16
AH +0.00	2.22	1.82
AH -0.25	2.64	1.61
AH -0.50	3.05	1.49
AH -0.75	3.91	1.34
AH -1.00	6.02	1.20
AH -1.25	6.74	1.17
AH -1.50	7.47	1.15

Model probs (cal): H 12.6% · D 19.0% · A 68.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (55.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.0%) | Market overround: 106.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 13.8% · Home by 2+ 7.7% · Draw 23.2% · Away by 1 24.1% · Away by 2+ 31.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.65 · Under 2.54)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.97 · Away 2.03)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Livingston	Overall	31	1	12	18	31	61	-30
	Home	15	1	6	8	19	28	-9
	Away	16	0	6	10	12	33	-21
Hearts	Overall	31	20	6	5	53	25	28
	Home	16	12	4	0	29	9	20
	Away	15	8	2	5	24	16	8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Livingston	0-2-3	4	11	-7
Hearts	2-0-3	9	8	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Livingston	0.73	1.67	0.81	1.78
Hearts	1.87	1.36	1.65	1.39

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	12.6%	15.9%	-3.2pp
Draw	19.0%	23.2%	-4.2pp
Away	68.4%	67.1%	+1.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.87 (53.4%) · No: 2.15 (46.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.0% 0-1 10.7% 1-2 9.8% 0-2 9.6% 1-0 6.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.0%	10.7%	9.6%	5.7%
1	6.1%	11.0%	9.8%	5.9%
2	3.1%	5.6%	5.0%	3.0%
3	1.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.43	3.34
O/U 2.25	1.65	2.54
O/U 2.50	1.87	2.15
O/U 2.75	2.10	1.91
O/U 3.00	2.50	1.67
O/U 3.25	2.85	1.54
O/U 3.50	3.21	1.45

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.45	3.20
AH +1.25	1.55	2.82
AH +1.00	1.70 VALUE	2.43
AH +0.75	1.97	2.03
AH +0.50	2.24	1.81
AH +0.25	2.67	1.60
AH +0.00	3.57	1.39
AH -0.25	4.11	1.32
AH -0.50	4.65	1.27
AH -0.75	6.37	1.19
AH -1.00	11.15	1.10
AH -1.25	12.05	1.09
AH -1.50	12.94	1.08

Model probs (cal): H 41.1% · D 33.4% · A 25.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (50.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.3%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.4% · Home by 2+ 25.5% · Draw 26.7% · Away by 1 15.1% · Away by 2+ 7.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.70 · Away 2.42)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Union Berlin	Overall	27	8	7	12	31	46	-15
	Home	13	4	5	4	18	21	-3
	Away	14	4	2	8	13	25	-12
St Pauli	Overall	27	6	6	15	24	44	-20
	Home	13	4	4	5	14	20	-6
	Away	14	2	2	10	10	24	-14

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Union Berlin	2-0-3	3	9	-6
St Pauli	2-1-2	4	5	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Union Berlin	1.12	1.55	1.05	1.45
St Pauli	1.19	1.83	1.23	1.72

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.1%	47.6%	-6.5pp
Draw	33.4%	31.2%	+2.1pp
Away	25.5%	27.1%	-1.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.25 (44.4%) · No: 1.80 (55.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.3% 1-1 12.4% 2-0 10.4% 0-0 9.8% 2-1 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.8%	8.5%	3.7%	1.1%
1	14.3%	12.4%	5.4%	1.6%
2	10.4%	9.0%	3.9%	1.1%
3	5.0%	4.4%	1.9%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.25	2.12	1.89
O/U 2.50	2.44 VALUE	1.69
O/U 2.75	2.92	1.52
O/U 3.00	3.89	1.35
O/U 3.25	4.39	1.30
O/U 3.50	4.88	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.67
AH +1.25	1.09	12.64
AH +1.00	1.09	11.60
AH +0.75	1.19	6.21
AH +0.50	1.29	4.45
AH +0.25	1.35	3.86
AH +0.00	1.44	3.26
AH -0.25	1.70 VALUE	2.42
AH -0.50	1.97	2.03
AH -0.75	2.29	1.78
AH -1.00	2.93	1.52
AH -1.25	3.43	1.41
AH -1.50	3.93	1.34

Model probs (cal): H 50.3% · D 30.3% · A 19.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (49.9%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.5%) | Market overround: 107.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.9% · Home by 2+ 25.1% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 15.6% · Away by 2+ 8.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.73 · Under 2.37)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.74 · Away 2.36)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Levadeiakos	Overall	26	12	6	8	51	37	14
	Home	13	8	2	3	32	15	17
	Away	13	4	4	5	19	22	-3
Aris	Overall	26	6	12	8	20	27	-7
	Home	13	2	9	2	10	11	-1
	Away	13	4	3	6	10	16	-6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Levadeiakos	1-0-4	2	12	-10
Aris	0-3-2	2	6	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Levadeiakos	0.64	1.34	0.87	1.30
Aris	1.16	1.05	1.10	1.04

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	50.3%	42.0%	+8.2pp
Draw	30.3%	32.3%	-2.0pp
Away	19.5%	33.3%	-13.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.16 (46.3%) · No: 1.86 (53.7%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.5% 1-1 12.4% 2-0 9.9% 0-0 9.2% 2-1 9.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.2%	8.4%	3.9%	1.2%
1	13.5%	12.4%	5.7%	1.7%
2	9.9%	9.1%	4.2%	1.3%
3	4.8%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.73	2.37
O/U 2.25	2.04	1.97
O/U 2.50	2.34	1.74
O/U 2.75	2.78	1.56
O/U 3.00	3.62	1.38
O/U 3.25	4.10	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.58	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	12.46
AH +1.25	1.10	11.49
AH +1.00	1.11	10.52
AH +0.75	1.21	5.83
AH +0.50	1.31	4.24
AH +0.25	1.37	3.68
AH +0.00	1.47	3.12
AH -0.25	1.74 VALUE	2.36
AH -0.50	2.00	2.00
AH -0.75	2.34	1.75
AH -1.00	3.00	1.50
AH -1.25	3.49	1.40
AH -1.50	3.99	1.33

Model probs (cal): H 32.1% · D 28.7% · A 39.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (39.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 108.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.6% · Home by 2+ 14.8% · Draw 26.3% · Away by 1 21.3% · Away by 2+ 18.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.23)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.14 · Away 1.88)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Volos NFC	Overall	26	9	4	13	26	38	-12
	Home	13	5	4	4	14	17	-3
	Away	13	4	0	9	12	21	-9
OFI Crete	Overall	26	10	2	14	34	45	-11
	Home	13	6	0	7	20	17	3
	Away	13	4	2	7	14	28	-14

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Volos NFC	1-2-2	6	8	-2
OFI Crete	2-1-2	7	8	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Volos NFC	1.12	1.26	0.93	1.29
OFI Crete	0.98	2.21	1.13	1.76

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	32.1%	44.4%	-12.3pp
Draw	28.7%	30.8%	-2.1pp
Away	39.2%	33.3%	+5.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.89 (52.9%) · No: 2.12 (47.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 0-1 10.0% 1-0 9.2% 1-2 8.5% 2-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.4%	10.0%	6.8%	3.1%
1	9.2%	12.5%	8.5%	3.8%
2	5.8%	7.8%	5.3%	2.4%
3	2.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.81
O/U 2.25	1.81	2.23
O/U 2.50	2.07	1.93
O/U 2.75	2.38	1.72
O/U 3.00	2.95	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.36	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.77	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.22	5.55
AH +1.25	1.25	4.96
AH +1.00	1.30	4.37
AH +0.75	1.47	3.12
AH +0.50	1.65	2.55
AH +0.25	1.83	2.21
AH +0.00	2.14	1.88
AH -0.25	2.52	1.66 VALUE
AH -0.50	2.91	1.52
AH -0.75	3.67	1.37
AH -1.00	5.44	1.23
AH -1.25	6.10	1.20
AH -1.50	6.77	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 47.2% · D 28.5% · A 24.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.1% · Home by 2+ 18.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away by 1 19.4% · Away by 2+ 13.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.81 · Away 2.23)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Antalyaspor	Overall	27	6	7	14	25	43	-18
	Home	13	3	3	7	18	31	-13
	Away	14	3	4	7	7	12	-5
Eyupspor	Overall	27	5	7	15	19	38	-19
	Home	14	3	4	7	11	19	-8
	Away	13	2	3	8	8	19	-11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Antalyaspor	0-3-2	1	3	-2
Eyupspor	1-2-2	5	8	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Antalyaspor	0.74	1.18	1.01	1.49
Eyupspor	0.94	1.50	0.88	1.54

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	47.2%	47.6%	-0.4pp
Draw	28.5%	32.5%	-4.0pp
Away	24.2%	27.9%	-3.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.04 (49.0%) · No: 1.96 (51.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 11.5% 0-1 10.1% 0-0 8.9% 2-1 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.9%	10.1%	5.7%	2.1%
1	11.5%	13.0%	7.3%	2.8%
2	7.4%	8.3%	4.7%	1.8%
3	3.2%	3.6%	2.0%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.25	2.00	2.00
O/U 2.50	2.30	1.77
O/U 2.75	2.72	1.58
O/U 3.00	3.52	1.40
O/U 3.25	3.99	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.46	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.66
AH +1.25	1.17	6.92
AH +1.00	1.19	6.17
AH +0.75	1.34	3.97
AH +0.50	1.48	3.08
AH +0.25	1.60	2.66
AH +0.00	1.81	2.23
AH -0.25	2.15	1.87 VALUE
AH -0.50	2.49	1.67
AH -0.75	3.06	1.48
AH -1.00	4.34	1.30
AH -1.25	4.95	1.25
AH -1.50	5.57	1.22

Model probs (cal): H 32.5% · D 34.5% · A 33.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (36.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.4%) | Market overround: 106.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.6% · Home by 2+ 14.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away by 1 20.8% · Away by 2+ 13.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.07)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.94 · Away 2.07)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Valencia	Overall	29	9	8	12	32	42	-10
	Home	14	6	5	3	19	15	4
	Away	15	3	3	9	13	27	-14
Celta	Overall	29	10	11	8	41	35	6
	Home	15	4	5	6	23	21	2
	Away	14	6	6	2	18	14	4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Valencia	3-0-2	7	5	2
Celta	2-1-2	9	8	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Valencia	1.01	1.19	0.93	1.09
Celta	1.58	1.37	1.41	1.17

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	32.5%	43.5%	-11.0pp
Draw	34.5%	30.8%	+3.8pp
Away	33.0%	32.3%	+0.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.25 (44.5%) · No: 1.80 (55.5%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.4% 1-0 12.4% 0-1 11.9% 0-0 11.1% 2-1 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.1%	11.9%	6.4%	2.3%
1	12.4%	13.4%	7.2%	2.6%
2	7.0%	7.5%	4.1%	1.5%
3	2.6%	2.8%	1.5%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.94	2.07
O/U 2.25	2.29	1.77
O/U 2.50	2.65	1.61 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.23	1.45
O/U 3.00	4.44	1.29
O/U 3.25	4.98	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.53	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.39
AH +1.25	1.18	6.62
AH +1.00	1.21	5.85
AH +0.75	1.36	3.75
AH +0.50	1.52	2.92
AH +0.25	1.67	2.49
AH +0.00	1.94	2.07
AH -0.25	2.34	1.75 VALUE
AH -0.50	2.73	1.58
AH -0.75	3.46	1.41
AH -1.00	5.24	1.24
AH -1.25	5.97	1.20
AH -1.50	6.69	1.18

Model probs (cal): H 41.2% · D 29.7% · A 29.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.5% · Home by 2+ 20.0% · Draw 27.8% · Away by 1 18.1% · Away by 2+ 10.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.26)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.02)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Andorra	Overall	33	11	10	12	44	45	-1
	Home	16	5	6	5	19	19	0
	Away	17	6	4	7	25	26	-1
Santander	Overall	33	19	5	9	65	47	18
	Home	17	11	2	4	38	24	14
	Away	16	8	3	5	27	23	4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Andorra	2-2-1	9	5	4
Santander	3-0-2	9	11	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Andorra	1.29	1.30	1.50	1.22
Santander	1.47	1.72	1.39	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.2%	41.6%	-0.4pp
Draw	29.7%	28.6%	+1.1pp
Away	29.1%	38.5%	-9.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.15 (46.4%) · No: 1.87 (53.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 12.9% 0-1 9.9% 0-0 9.8% 2-1 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.8%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%
1	12.9%	13.0%	6.6%	2.2%
2	8.4%	8.5%	4.3%	1.4%
3	3.7%	3.7%	1.9%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.80	2.26
O/U 2.25	2.12	1.89
O/U 2.50	2.44	1.69 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.92	1.52
O/U 3.00	3.88	1.35
O/U 3.25	4.38	1.30
O/U 3.50	4.88	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.42
AH +1.25	1.13	8.57
AH +1.00	1.15	7.71
AH +0.75	1.28	4.62
AH +0.50	1.40	3.48
AH +0.25	1.50	3.00
AH +0.00	1.66 VALUE	2.51
AH -0.25	1.98	2.02
AH -0.50	2.30	1.77
AH -0.75	2.78	1.56
AH -1.00	3.83	1.35
AH -1.25	4.42	1.29
AH -1.50	5.01	1.25

Model probs (cal): H 39.5% · D 27.3% · A 33.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (38.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 106.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.0% · Home by 2+ 17.3% · Draw 26.4% · Away by 1 20.0% · Away by 2+ 15.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.82 · Under 2.22)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.08)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
NAC Breda	Overall	28	5	8	15	29	50	-21
	Home	14	4	4	6	18	21	-3
	Away	14	1	4	9	11	29	-18
Sparta Rotterdam	Overall	28	12	5	11	35	47	-12
	Home	14	6	4	4	17	20	-3
	Away	14	6	1	7	18	27	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
NAC Breda	1-1-3	5	14	-9
Sparta Rotterdam	1-1-3	5	10	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
NAC Breda	0.97	1.37	1.39	1.64
Sparta Rotterdam	1.51	1.81	1.51	1.72

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	39.5%	40.8%	-1.3pp
Draw	27.3%	29.4%	-2.1pp
Away	33.2%	36.0%	-2.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.90 (52.8%) · No: 2.12 (47.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 9.9% 0-1 9.5% 2-1 8.3% 1-2 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.5%	9.5%	6.0%	2.5%
1	9.9%	12.6%	8.0%	3.4%
2	6.6%	8.3%	5.3%	2.2%
3	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.56	2.79
O/U 2.25	1.82	2.22
O/U 2.50	2.08	1.92 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.40	1.71
O/U 3.00	2.98	1.50
O/U 3.25	3.39	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.81	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.50
AH +1.25	1.21	5.85
AH +1.00	1.24	5.20
AH +0.75	1.39	3.55
AH +0.50	1.55	2.83
AH +0.25	1.69	2.45
AH +0.00	1.93	2.08
AH -0.25	2.27	1.79
AH -0.50	2.62	1.62
AH -0.75	3.23	1.45
AH -1.00	4.58	1.28
AH -1.25	5.18	1.24
AH -1.50	5.79	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 41.3% · D 26.9% · A 31.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.1%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.7%) | Market overround: 105.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.0% · Home by 2+ 20.1% · Draw 28.3% · Away by 1 17.8% · Away by 2+ 9.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.13)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.95 · Away 2.06)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Le Havre	Overall	27	6	9	12	22	35	-13
	Home	14	5	6	3	15	12	3
	Away	13	1	3	9	7	23	-16
Auxerre	Overall	27	5	7	15	22	36	-14
	Home	14	4	3	7	13	15	-2
	Away	13	1	4	8	9	21	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Le Havre	0-1-4	2	8	-6
Auxerre	1-2-2	5	6	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Le Havre	0.82	1.31	0.97	1.30
Auxerre	1.28	1.33	0.86	1.53

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.3%	40.0%	+1.3pp
Draw	26.9%	31.5%	-4.6pp
Away	31.8%	34.2%	-2.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.24 (44.6%) · No: 1.80 (55.4%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.7% 1-1 13.1% 0-0 10.6% 0-1 10.1% 2-0 8.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.6%	10.1%	4.8%	1.5%
1	13.7%	13.1%	6.2%	2.0%
2	8.8%	8.4%	4.0%	1.3%
3	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.89	2.13
O/U 2.25	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.50	2.57	1.64
O/U 2.75	3.12	1.47
O/U 3.00	4.23	1.31
O/U 3.25	4.76	1.27
O/U 3.50	5.29	1.23

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.18
AH +1.25	1.12	9.27
AH +1.00	1.14	8.36
AH +0.75	1.26	4.86
AH +0.50	1.38	3.62
AH +0.25	1.47	3.11
AH +0.00	1.63 VALUE	2.60
AH -0.25	1.95	2.06
AH -0.50	2.27	1.79
AH -0.75	2.74	1.57
AH -1.00	3.78	1.36
AH -1.25	4.38	1.30
AH -1.50	4.97	1.25

Model probs (cal): H 48.0% · D 27.1% · A 24.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (54.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.5%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.4% · Home by 2+ 29.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away by 1 13.9% · Away by 2+ 6.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.61 · Away 2.65)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Lorient	Overall	27	9	10	8	37	41	-4
	Home	13	7	5	1	26	19	7
	Away	14	2	5	7	11	22	-11
Paris FC	Overall	27	7	10	10	32	43	-11
	Home	13	4	4	5	18	24	-6
	Away	14	3	6	5	14	19	-5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Lorient	1-3-1	8	8	0
Paris FC	2-3-0	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Lorient	1.37	1.15	1.25	1.25
Paris FC	1.09	1.38	1.21	1.14

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	48.0%	44.6%	+3.4pp
Draw	27.1%	30.3%	-3.2pp
Away	24.9%	31.0%	-6.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.16 (46.4%) · No: 1.87 (53.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.5% 1-1 11.8% 2-0 10.8% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.5%	7.4%	3.2%	0.9%
1	13.5%	11.8%	5.1%	1.5%
2	10.8%	9.4%	4.1%	1.2%
3	5.7%	5.0%	2.2%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.52
O/U 2.25	1.94	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.75	2.61	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.34	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.79	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.24	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	15.06
AH +1.25	1.08	14.02
AH +1.00	1.08	12.97
AH +0.75	1.17	6.85
AH +0.50	1.26	4.87
AH +0.25	1.31	4.26
AH +0.00	1.38	3.65
AH -0.25	1.61 VALUE	2.65
AH -0.50	1.84	2.19
AH -0.75	2.09	1.92
AH -1.00	2.57	1.64
AH -1.25	3.01	1.50
AH -1.50	3.45	1.41

Model probs (cal): H 41.3% · D 26.9% · A 31.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (45.7%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.2%) | Market overround: 106.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.0% · Home by 2+ 22.7% · Draw 25.7% · Away by 1 17.3% · Away by 2+ 11.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Metz	Overall	27	3	5	19	25	60	-35
	Home	13	2	3	8	13	23	-10
	Away	14	1	2	11	12	37	-25
Nantes	Overall	26	4	5	17	24	45	-21
	Home	14	2	2	10	14	26	-12
	Away	12	2	3	7	10	19	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Metz	0-1-4	3	11	-8
Nantes	1-0-4	5	8	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Metz	1.01	1.66	1.02	1.68
Nantes	1.22	1.46	1.22	1.40

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.3%	34.8%	+6.5pp
Draw	26.9%	30.3%	-3.4pp
Away	31.8%	41.0%	-9.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.91 (52.4%) · No: 2.10 (47.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.2% 1-0 10.9% 2-1 9.2% 0-1 8.2% 2-0 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	8.2%	4.6%	1.7%
1	10.9%	12.2%	6.9%	2.6%
2	8.1%	9.2%	5.1%	1.9%
3	4.1%	4.6%	2.6%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.54	2.85
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.50	2.05 VALUE	1.95
O/U 2.75	2.36	1.74
O/U 3.00	2.91	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.32	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.73	1.37

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.90
AH +1.25	1.14	8.13
AH +1.00	1.16	7.36
AH +0.75	1.28	4.59
AH +0.50	1.40	3.50
AH +0.25	1.49	3.05
AH +0.00	1.62 VALUE	2.60
AH -0.25	1.91	2.10
AH -0.50	2.19	1.84
AH -0.75	2.59	1.63
AH -1.00	3.39	1.42
AH -1.25	3.89	1.35
AH -1.50	4.40	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 63.3% · D 24.5% · A 12.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (60.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.2%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.5% · Home by 2+ 36.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away by 1 11.7% · Away by 2+ 5.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.63 · Under 2.59)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.08 · Away 1.93)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Frosinone	Overall	32	18	11	3	62	32	30
	Home	15	9	4	2	31	14	17
	Away	17	9	7	1	31	18	13
Padova	Overall	32	8	10	14	32	43	-11
	Home	16	3	7	6	18	22	-4
	Away	16	5	3	8	14	21	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Frosinone	3-2-0	12	6	6
Padova	0-1-4	4	10	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Frosinone	1.93	1.54	1.93	1.60
Padova	0.76	1.58	0.97	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	63.3%	66.7%	-3.4pp
Draw	24.5%	23.4%	+1.1pp
Away	12.2%	18.2%	-5.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.94 (51.5%) · No: 2.06 (48.5%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.2% 2-0 10.7% 1-1 10.3% 2-1 9.9% 3-0 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.8%	5.3%	2.5%	0.8%
1	11.2%	10.3%	4.8%	1.5%
2	10.7%	9.9%	4.6%	1.4%
3	6.9%	6.4%	2.9%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.41	3.43
O/U 2.25	1.63	2.59
O/U 2.50	1.84	2.18 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.06	1.94
O/U 3.00	2.44	1.70
O/U 3.25	2.79	1.56
O/U 3.50	3.14	1.47

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	17.37
AH +1.25	1.07	16.35
AH +1.00	1.07	15.33
AH +0.75	1.14	8.10
AH +0.50	1.21	5.72
AH +0.25	1.24	5.10
AH +0.00	1.29	4.48
AH -0.25	1.47	3.15
AH -0.50	1.64	2.55
AH -0.75	1.81	2.24
AH -1.00	2.08	1.93 VALUE
AH -1.25	2.41	1.71
AH -1.50	2.75	1.57

Model probs (cal): H 53.8% · D 23.9% · A 22.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (59.7%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.6%) | Market overround: 107.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.7% · Home by 2+ 35.0% · Draw 22.3% · Away by 1 12.1% · Away by 2+ 5.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.68 · Under 2.47)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.15 · Away 1.87)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ein Frankfurt	Overall	27	10	8	9	50	51	-1
	Home	13	7	2	4	23	18	5
	Away	14	3	6	5	27	33	-6
FC Koln	Overall	27	6	8	13	38	47	-9
	Home	14	4	4	6	25	24	1
	Away	13	2	4	7	13	23	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ein Frankfurt	2-1-2	6	5	1
FC Koln	0-3-2	7	10	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ein Frankfurt	1.40	1.41	1.50	1.31
FC Koln	1.12	1.28	1.14	1.42

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	53.8%	49.6%	+4.1pp
Draw	23.9%	28.0%	-4.1pp
Away	22.4%	29.4%	-7.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.98 (50.5%) · No: 2.02 (49.5%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.6% 2-0 10.8% 1-1 10.6% 2-1 9.9% 3-0 6.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	5.7%	2.6%	0.8%
1	11.6%	10.6%	4.8%	1.5%
2	10.8%	9.9%	4.5%	1.4%
3	6.7%	6.1%	2.8%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.45	3.22
O/U 2.25	1.68	2.47
O/U 2.50	1.91	2.10
O/U 2.75	2.15	1.87
O/U 3.00	2.58	1.63
O/U 3.25	2.94	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.31	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	16.92
AH +1.25	1.07	15.90
AH +1.00	1.07	14.87
AH +0.75	1.15	7.85
AH +0.50	1.22	5.55
AH +0.25	1.25	4.93
AH +0.00	1.30	4.31
AH -0.25	1.49 VALUE	3.05
AH -0.50	1.68	2.48
AH -0.75	1.85	2.17
AH -1.00	2.15	1.87
AH -1.25	2.51	1.66
AH -1.50	2.86	1.54

Model probs (cal): H 12.6% · D 19.0% · A 68.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (54.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (10.1%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 14.2% · Home by 2+ 9.4% · Draw 22.0% · Away by 1 22.7% · Away by 2+ 31.6%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.01 · Under 1.99)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.94 · Away 2.06)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Dundee	Overall	31	8	8	15	31	49	-18
	Home	15	6	4	5	23	24	-1
	Away	16	2	4	10	8	25	-17
Celtic	Overall	31	19	4	8	56	34	22
	Home	15	11	1	3	33	12	21
	Away	16	8	3	5	23	22	1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Dundee	1-1-3	3	7	-4
Celtic	2-1-2	6	8	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Dundee	0.80	1.86	0.90	1.76
Celtic	1.33	2.38	1.12	1.97

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	12.6%	16.9%	-4.3pp
Draw	19.0%	21.7%	-2.8pp
Away	68.4%	67.3%	+1.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.66 (60.2%) · No: 2.51 (39.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 10.1% 1-2 9.8% 0-1 8.3% 0-2 8.0% 1-3 6.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.3%	8.3%	8.0%	5.2%
1	5.2%	10.1%	9.8%	6.3%
2	3.1%	6.1%	5.9%	3.8%
3	1.3%	2.5%	2.4%	1.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.29	4.44
O/U 2.25	1.46	3.15
O/U 2.50	1.64	2.57 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.78	2.28
O/U 3.00	2.01	1.99
O/U 3.25	2.29	1.77
O/U 3.50	2.58	1.63

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.46	3.16
AH +1.25	1.55 VALUE	2.80
AH +1.00	1.69	2.44
AH +0.75	1.94	2.06
AH +0.50	2.19	1.84
AH +0.25	2.57	1.64
AH +0.00	3.30	1.44
AH -0.25	3.76	1.36
AH -0.50	4.23	1.31
AH -0.75	5.62	1.22
AH -1.00	9.09	1.12
AH -1.25	9.84	1.11
AH -1.50	10.59	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 50.4% · D 30.3% · A 19.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (54.7%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.1%) | Market overround: 108.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.2% · Home by 2+ 29.5% · Draw 24.7% · Away by 1 13.8% · Away by 2+ 6.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.12)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.60 · Away 2.66)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
PAOK	Overall	26	17	6	3	52	17	35
	Home	13	11	2	0	27	3	24
	Away	13	6	4	3	25	14	11
Panathinaikos	Overall	26	14	7	5	44	26	18
	Home	13	8	4	1	25	10	15
	Away	13	6	3	4	19	16	3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
PAOK	3-1-1	10	3	7
Panathinaikos	4-1-0	13	4	9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
PAOK	1.21	0.76	1.12	0.67
Panathinaikos	2.06	0.73	1.66	0.93

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	50.4%	59.5%	-9.2pp
Draw	30.3%	28.6%	+1.7pp
Away	19.3%	20.7%	-1.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.11 (47.4%) · No: 1.90 (52.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.1% 1-1 11.7% 2-0 10.7% 2-1 9.5% 0-0 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.1%	7.2%	3.2%	1.0%
1	13.1%	11.7%	5.2%	1.5%
2	10.7%	9.5%	4.2%	1.3%
3	5.8%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.62	2.62
O/U 2.25	1.89	2.12
O/U 2.50	2.17	1.85
O/U 2.75	2.53	1.66
O/U 3.00	3.19	1.46
O/U 3.25	3.63	1.38
O/U 3.50	4.06	1.33

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.07	14.81
AH +1.25	1.08	13.78
AH +1.00	1.09	12.76
AH +0.75	1.17	6.81
AH +0.50	1.26	4.86
AH +0.25	1.31	4.26
AH +0.00	1.38	3.66
AH -0.25	1.60	2.66
AH -0.50	1.83	2.21
AH -0.75	2.08	1.93
AH -1.00	2.54	1.65
AH -1.25	2.97	1.51
AH -1.50	3.39	1.42

Model probs (cal): H 31.2% · D 25.6% · A 43.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (36.9%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 105.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.5% · Home by 2+ 16.4% · Draw 26.4% · Away by 1 20.4% · Away by 2+ 16.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.82 · Under 2.22)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.99 · Away 2.01)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Pisa	Overall	30	2	12	16	23	54	-31
	Home	15	2	4	9	7	18	-11
	Away	15	0	8	7	16	36	-20
Torino	Overall	30	9	6	15	34	53	-19
	Home	15	6	2	7	19	23	-4
	Away	15	3	4	8	15	30	-15

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Pisa	1-0-4	3	12	-9
Torino	2-0-3	9	9	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Pisa	0.92	1.47	1.11	1.51
Torino	1.62	1.55	1.40	1.54

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.2%	32.5%	-1.3pp
Draw	25.6%	32.3%	-6.7pp
Away	43.2%	40.2%	+3.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.89 (52.8%) · No: 2.12 (47.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 9.7% 0-1 9.7% 2-1 8.2% 1-2 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.5%	9.7%	6.3%	2.7%
1	9.7%	12.6%	8.1%	3.5%
2	6.3%	8.2%	5.3%	2.3%
3	2.7%	3.5%	2.3%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.56	2.78
O/U 2.25	1.82	2.22
O/U 2.50	2.08 VALUE	1.92
O/U 2.75	2.40	1.71
O/U 3.00	2.98	1.50
O/U 3.25	3.40	1.42
O/U 3.50	3.81	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.19	6.16
AH +1.25	1.22	5.53
AH +1.00	1.26	4.90
AH +0.75	1.42	3.39
AH +0.50	1.58	2.73
AH +0.25	1.73 VALUE	2.37
AH +0.00	1.99	2.01
AH -0.25	2.35	1.74
AH -0.50	2.71	1.58
AH -0.75	3.37	1.42
AH -1.00	4.85	1.26
AH -1.25	5.48	1.22
AH -1.50	6.11	1.20

Model probs (cal): H 35.3% · D 30.9% · A 33.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.5%) | Market overround: 107.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.0% · Home by 2+ 20.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away by 1 17.6% · Away by 2+ 9.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.85 · Under 2.18)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.07)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Westerlo	Overall	30	10	9	11	36	40	-4
	Home	15	6	3	6	17	16	1
	Away	15	4	6	5	19	24	-5
Charleroi	Overall	30	9	7	14	38	42	-4
	Home	15	4	5	6	20	21	-1
	Away	15	5	2	8	18	21	-3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Westerlo	2-2-1	4	3	1
Charleroi	3-0-2	7	4	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Westerlo	1.47	0.81	1.30	1.08
Charleroi	1.05	1.19	0.96	1.24

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	35.3%	40.1%	-4.8pp
Draw	30.9%	29.4%	+1.4pp
Away	33.9%	37.7%	-3.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.21 (45.2%) · No: 1.82 (54.8%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.5% 1-1 13.0% 0-0 10.3% 0-1 9.9% 2-0 8.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.3%	9.9%	4.8%	1.5%
1	13.5%	13.0%	6.3%	2.0%
2	8.8%	8.5%	4.1%	1.3%
3	3.9%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.85	2.18
O/U 2.25	2.18	1.85
O/U 2.50	2.52	1.66 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.04	1.49
O/U 3.00	4.09	1.32
O/U 3.25	4.60	1.28
O/U 3.50	5.12	1.24

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.20
AH +1.25	1.12	9.30
AH +1.00	1.14	8.40
AH +0.75	1.26	4.89
AH +0.50	1.38	3.64
AH +0.25	1.47	3.13
AH +0.00	1.62 VALUE	2.62
AH -0.25	1.93	2.07
AH -0.50	2.25	1.80
AH -0.75	2.70	1.59
AH -1.00	3.70	1.37
AH -1.25	4.28	1.30
AH -1.50	4.87	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 42.6% · D 31.9% · A 25.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.9%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 106.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.0% · Home by 2+ 19.9% · Draw 27.2% · Away by 1 18.3% · Away by 2+ 11.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.43)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.70 · Away 2.44)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Oviedo	Overall	29	4	9	16	20	48	-28
	Home	14	3	5	6	6	14	-8
	Away	15	1	4	10	14	34	-20
Sevilla	Overall	29	8	7	14	37	49	-12
	Home	15	4	4	7	19	22	-3
	Away	14	4	3	7	18	27	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Oviedo	1-1-3	4	9	-5
Sevilla	1-2-2	6	10	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Oviedo	1.31	1.46	1.28	1.49
Sevilla	1.01	1.39	1.29	1.35

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	42.6%	35.1%	+7.5pp
Draw	31.9%	33.3%	-1.4pp
Away	25.5%	38.0%	-12.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.06 (48.6%) · No: 1.95 (51.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 1-0 12.0% 0-1 9.6% 0-0 8.9% 2-1 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.9%	9.6%	5.1%	1.8%
1	12.0%	12.9%	6.9%	2.5%
2	8.1%	8.6%	4.6%	1.7%
3	3.6%	3.9%	2.1%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.70	2.43
O/U 2.25	2.00	2.00
O/U 2.50	2.30 VALUE	1.77
O/U 2.75	2.71	1.58
O/U 3.00	3.51	1.40
O/U 3.25	3.98	1.34
O/U 3.50	4.45	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.69
AH +1.25	1.15	7.89
AH +1.00	1.16	7.10
AH +0.75	1.29	4.39
AH +0.50	1.43	3.35
AH +0.25	1.53	2.89
AH +0.00	1.70 VALUE	2.44
AH -0.25	2.01	1.99
AH -0.50	2.33	1.75
AH -0.75	2.82	1.55
AH -1.00	3.86	1.35
AH -1.25	4.44	1.29
AH -1.50	5.01	1.25

Model probs (cal): H 57.7% · D 23.2% · A 19.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (56.0%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.7%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.6% · Home by 2+ 31.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away by 1 13.5% · Away by 2+ 7.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.73 · Under 2.37)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.58 · Away 2.74)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Almeria	Overall	33	17	7	9	64	46	18
	Home	16	11	2	3	41	23	18
	Away	17	6	5	6	23	23	0
Leganes	Overall	33	9	12	12	37	35	2
	Home	16	5	5	6	19	16	3
	Away	17	4	7	6	18	19	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Almeria	3-0-2	11	6	5
Leganes	1-2-2	8	7	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Almeria	1.49	1.25	1.58	1.39
Leganes	1.27	1.80	0.97	1.44

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	57.7%	60.1%	-2.3pp
Draw	23.2%	26.8%	-3.7pp
Away	19.1%	21.4%	-2.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.96 (50.9%) · No: 2.04 (49.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.7% 1-1 11.2% 2-0 10.2% 2-1 9.8% 0-0 6.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.7%	6.4%	3.1%	1.0%
1	11.7%	11.2%	5.4%	1.7%
2	10.2%	9.8%	4.7%	1.5%
3	6.0%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.49	3.05
O/U 2.25	1.73	2.37
O/U 2.50	1.97	2.03
O/U 2.75	2.24	1.81
O/U 3.00	2.71	1.58
O/U 3.25	3.09	1.48
O/U 3.50	3.48	1.40

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.24
AH +1.25	1.08	13.28
AH +1.00	1.09	12.32
AH +0.75	1.17	6.78
AH +0.50	1.26	4.88
AH +0.25	1.30	4.31
AH +0.00	1.37	3.73
AH -0.25	1.58	2.74
AH -0.50	1.79	2.27
AH -0.75	2.01	1.99
AH -1.00	2.40	1.71
AH -1.25	2.79	1.56
AH -1.50	3.18	1.46

Model probs (cal): H 59.0% · D 23.7% · A 17.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (60.6%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.1%) | Market overround: 109.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.5% · Home by 2+ 35.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away by 1 11.6% · Away by 2+ 5.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.12 · Away 1.89)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Las Palmas	Overall	33	14	12	7	43	27	16
	Home	17	9	5	3	26	11	15
	Away	16	5	7	4	17	16	1
Huesca	Overall	33	8	8	17	33	50	-17
	Home	17	6	6	5	20	20	0
	Away	16	2	2	12	13	30	-17

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Las Palmas	3-0-2	9	5	4
Huesca	0-2-3	7	13	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Las Palmas	1.43	1.29	1.44	1.28
Huesca	1.06	2.00	1.18	1.67

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	59.0%	68.3%	-9.2pp
Draw	23.7%	26.2%	-2.6pp
Away	17.3%	14.7%	+2.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.14 (46.7%) · No: 1.88 (53.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.1% 2-0 11.8% 1-1 10.8% 2-1 9.7% 0-0 7.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	6.0%	2.5%	0.7%
1	13.1%	10.8%	4.4%	1.2%
2	11.8%	9.7%	4.0%	1.1%
3	7.1%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.54	2.85
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.50	2.06 VALUE	1.95
O/U 2.75	2.36	1.74
O/U 3.00	2.91	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.32	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.73	1.37

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	19.69
AH +1.25	1.06	18.55
AH +1.00	1.06	17.41
AH +0.75	1.13	8.65
AH +0.50	1.20	5.99
AH +0.25	1.23	5.31
AH +0.00	1.28	4.63
AH -0.25	1.46	3.16
AH -0.50	1.65	2.54
AH -0.75	1.82	2.21
AH -1.00	2.12	1.89 VALUE
AH -1.25	2.48	1.67
AH -1.50	2.85	1.54

Model probs (cal): H 51.6% · D 21.0% · A 27.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.0%) | Market overround: 108.1% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.0% · Home by 2+ 22.1% · Draw 24.0% · Away by 1 18.0% · Away by 2+ 14.9%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.15 · Under 1.87)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.76 · Away 2.31)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Fenerbahce	Overall	27	17	9	1	61	28	33
	Home	13	9	4	0	31	13	18
	Away	14	8	5	1	30	15	15
Besiktas	Overall	27	15	7	5	49	31	18
	Home	14	8	3	3	25	16	9
	Away	13	7	4	2	24	15	9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Fenerbahce	2-2-1	10	8	2
Besiktas	4-0-1	9	2	7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Fenerbahce	1.21	1.48	1.30	1.27
Besiktas	1.68	0.72	2.03	0.99

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	51.6%	51.2%	+0.4pp
Draw	21.0%	27.7%	-6.6pp
Away	27.4%	29.2%	-1.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.65 (60.7%) · No: 2.54 (39.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.0% 2-1 9.0% 1-0 7.8% 1-2 7.7% 0-1 6.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.8%	6.7%	4.7%	2.2%
1	7.8%	11.0%	7.7%	3.6%
2	6.4%	9.0%	6.3%	2.9%
3	3.5%	4.9%	3.4%	1.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.33	4.02
O/U 2.25	1.52	2.92
O/U 2.50	1.71	2.41
O/U 2.75	1.88	2.14
O/U 3.00	2.15	1.87
O/U 3.25	2.46	1.68
O/U 3.50	2.77	1.56

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.70
AH +1.25	1.20	6.10
AH +1.00	1.22	5.50
AH +0.75	1.36	3.80
AH +0.50	1.49	3.04
AH +0.25	1.60	2.67
AH +0.00	1.76	2.31
AH -0.25	2.04	1.96
AH -0.50	2.32	1.76 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.74	1.57
AH -1.00	3.57	1.39
AH -1.25	4.05	1.33
AH -1.50	4.52	1.28

Model probs (cal): H 63.3% · D 24.5% · A 12.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (58.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.4%) | Market overround: 109.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.6% · Home by 2+ 32.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away by 1 12.4% · Away by 2+ 5.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.16)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.27 · Away 1.79)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Palermo	Overall	32	17	10	5	52	27	25
	Home	16	11	4	1	31	10	21
	Away	16	6	6	4	21	17	4
Avellino	Overall	32	10	9	13	37	51	-14
	Home	16	7	4	5	22	24	-2
	Away	16	3	5	8	15	27	-12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Palermo	3-1-1	6	6	0
Avellino	1-2-2	5	6	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Palermo	1.10	1.09	1.27	1.36
Avellino	0.75	1.18	0.86	1.11

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	63.3%	66.4%	-3.2pp
Draw	24.5%	25.6%	-1.2pp
Away	12.2%	17.2%	-5.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.15 (46.4%) · No: 1.87 (53.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.4% 2-0 11.5% 1-1 11.2% 2-1 9.6% 0-0 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	6.5%	2.7%	0.8%
1	13.4%	11.2%	4.7%	1.3%
2	11.5%	9.6%	4.0%	1.1%
3	6.6%	5.5%	2.3%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.70
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.16
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.89 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.47	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.09	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.51	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.94	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	17.98
AH +1.25	1.06	16.86
AH +1.00	1.07	15.75
AH +0.75	1.14	7.98
AH +0.50	1.22	5.57
AH +0.25	1.26	4.91
AH +0.00	1.31	4.25
AH -0.25	1.51	2.96
AH -0.50	1.71	2.40
AH -0.75	1.91	2.10
AH -1.00	2.27	1.79 VALUE
AH -1.25	2.66	1.60
AH -1.50	3.04	1.49

Model probs (cal): H 35.1% · D 34.2% · A 30.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.7%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.7%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.7% · Home by 2+ 19.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away by 1 18.3% · Away by 2+ 10.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.67 · Away 2.50)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Olympiakos	Overall	26	17	7	2	45	11	34
	Home	13	9	3	1	24	5	19
	Away	13	8	4	1	21	6	15
AEK	Overall	26	18	6	2	49	17	32
	Home	13	11	1	1	25	5	20
	Away	13	7	5	1	24	12	12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Olympiakos	3-2-0	7	1	6
AEK	3-2-0	12	4	8

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Olympiakos	1.86	0.63	1.65	0.84
AEK	1.63	1.11	1.34	1.00

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	35.1%	56.8%	-21.7pp
Draw	34.2%	29.0%	+5.2pp
Away	30.7%	22.4%	+8.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.27 (44.0%) · No: 1.79 (56.0%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.7% 1-1 13.2% 0-0 11.0% 0-1 10.6% 2-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.0%	10.6%	5.1%	1.6%
1	13.7%	13.2%	6.3%	2.0%
2	8.5%	8.2%	3.9%	1.3%
3	3.5%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.93	2.08
O/U 2.25	2.28	1.78
O/U 2.50	2.64	1.61 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.21	1.45
O/U 3.00	4.41	1.29
O/U 3.25	4.95	1.25
O/U 3.50	5.49	1.22

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	9.76
AH +1.25	1.13	8.86
AH +1.00	1.14	7.97
AH +0.75	1.27	4.68
AH +0.50	1.40	3.50
AH +0.25	1.50	3.00
AH +0.00	1.67	2.50
AH -0.25	2.00	2.00
AH -0.50	2.34	1.75
AH -0.75	2.85	1.54 VALUE
AH -1.00	4.01	1.33
AH -1.25	4.63	1.28
AH -1.50	5.25	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 44.8% · D 25.3% · A 30.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (49.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.1%) | Market overround: 105.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.8% · Home by 2+ 27.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away by 1 15.8% · Away by 2+ 10.7%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.31 · Under 1.76)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.30)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Monaco	Overall	27	14	4	9	47	38	9
	Home	14	9	1	4	29	19	10
	Away	13	5	3	5	18	19	-1
Marseille	Overall	27	15	4	8	54	35	19
	Home	14	9	3	2	34	17	17
	Away	13	6	1	6	20	18	2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Monaco	5-0-0	12	4	8
Marseille	3-0-2	6	6	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Monaco	1.71	1.17	1.58	1.03
Marseille	1.14	1.30	1.54	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	44.8%	46.5%	-1.8pp
Draw	25.3%	26.8%	-1.6pp
Away	30.0%	32.5%	-2.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.74 (57.4%) · No: 2.35 (42.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.1% 2-1 9.6% 1-0 9.3% 2-0 8.0% 1-2 6.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.4%	6.4%	3.9%	1.5%
1	9.3%	11.1%	6.7%	2.7%
2	8.0%	9.6%	5.7%	2.3%
3	4.6%	5.5%	3.3%	1.3%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.38	3.66
O/U 2.25	1.58	2.72
O/U 2.50	1.79	2.27 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.98	2.02
O/U 3.00	2.31	1.76
O/U 3.25	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.50	2.97	1.51

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.35
AH +1.25	1.13	8.61
AH +1.00	1.15	7.87
AH +0.75	1.25	4.95
AH +0.50	1.36	3.77
AH +0.25	1.43	3.32
AH +0.00	1.53	2.88
AH -0.25	1.77 VALUE	2.30
AH -0.50	2.01	1.99
AH -0.75	2.31	1.76
AH -1.00	2.86	1.54
AH -1.25	3.28	1.44
AH -1.50	3.71	1.37

Model probs (cal): H 75.5% · D 16.7% · A 7.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (61.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (11.2%) | Market overround: 104.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.5% · Home by 2+ 37.3% · Draw 21.4% · Away by 1 11.4% · Away by 2+ 5.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.62 · Under 2.61)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.02 · Away 1.98)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Inter	Overall	30	22	3	5	66	24	42
	Home	15	11	2	2	39	13	26
	Away	15	11	1	3	27	11	16
Roma	Overall	30	17	3	10	40	23	17
	Home	15	10	2	3	23	9	14
	Away	15	7	1	7	17	14	3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Inter	2-2-1	6	3	3
Roma	2-1-2	9	7	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Inter	1.37	1.03	1.95	1.15
Roma	0.79	1.36	1.10	1.36

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	75.5%	60.1%	+15.5pp
Draw	16.7%	25.8%	-9.1pp
Away	7.7%	19.0%	-11.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.96 (51.1%) · No: 2.05 (48.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 11.2% 2-0 10.9% 1-1 10.1% 2-1 9.9% 3-0 7.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.7%	5.2%	2.4%	0.7%
1	11.2%	10.1%	4.6%	1.4%
2	10.9%	9.9%	4.5%	1.4%
3	7.1%	6.4%	2.9%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.41	3.46
O/U 2.25	1.62	2.61
O/U 2.50	1.84 VALUE	2.19
O/U 2.75	2.05	1.95
O/U 3.00	2.42	1.70
O/U 3.25	2.77	1.57
O/U 3.50	3.12	1.47

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	18.36
AH +1.25	1.06	17.31
AH +1.00	1.07	16.27
AH +0.75	1.13	8.47
AH +0.50	1.20	5.95
AH +0.25	1.23	5.31
AH +0.00	1.27	4.68
AH -0.25	1.44	3.25
AH -0.50	1.62	2.62
AH -0.75	1.77 VALUE	2.30
AH -1.00	2.02	1.98
AH -1.25	2.35	1.74
AH -1.50	2.68	1.60

Model probs (cal): H 34.7% · D 33.4% · A 31.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.4%) | Market overround: 105.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.8% · Home by 2+ 16.6% · Draw 29.3% · Away by 1 19.7% · Away by 2+ 11.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.99 · Under 2.01)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.80 · Away 2.26)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Alaves	Overall	29	8	7	14	30	41	-11
	Home	14	5	5	4	17	16	1
	Away	15	3	2	10	13	25	-12
Osasuna	Overall	29	10	7	12	34	35	-1
	Home	14	8	4	2	25	16	9
	Away	15	2	3	10	9	19	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Alaves	1-2-2	9	11	-2
Osasuna	2-1-2	6	7	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Alaves	1.41	1.55	1.40	1.41
Osasuna	1.35	1.05	1.29	1.17

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	34.7%	40.4%	-5.7pp
Draw	33.4%	31.2%	+2.1pp
Away	31.9%	33.8%	-1.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.30 (43.4%) · No: 1.77 (56.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.4% 1-0 13.4% 0-1 11.5% 0-0 11.5% 2-1 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.5%	11.5%	5.8%	1.9%
1	13.4%	13.4%	6.7%	2.2%
2	7.7%	7.8%	3.9%	1.3%
3	3.0%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.99	2.01
O/U 2.25	2.36	1.74
O/U 2.50	2.73	1.58 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.35	1.43
O/U 3.00	4.66	1.27
O/U 3.25	5.22	1.24
O/U 3.50	5.78	1.21

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.58
AH +1.25	1.15	7.73
AH +1.00	1.17	6.89
AH +0.75	1.31	4.20
AH +0.50	1.46	3.19
AH +0.25	1.58	2.72
AH +0.00	1.80	2.26
AH -0.25	2.17	1.86
AH -0.50	2.54	1.65
AH -0.75	3.17	1.46
AH -1.00	4.66	1.27
AH -1.25	5.35	1.23
AH -1.50	6.03	1.20

Model probs (cal): H 44.7% · D 30.2% · A 25.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (45.0%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.9%) | Market overround: 109.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.2% · Home by 2+ 20.7% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 17.4% · Away by 2+ 9.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.12)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Zaragoza	Overall	33	8	10	15	30	44	-14
	Home	16	4	5	7	14	21	-7
	Away	17	4	5	8	16	23	-7
Mirandes	Overall	33	7	8	18	33	53	-20
	Home	17	4	4	9	15	26	-11
	Away	16	3	4	9	18	27	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Zaragoza	3-1-1	7	3	4
Mirandes	1-2-2	5	8	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Zaragoza	1.50	0.93	1.27	1.00
Mirandes	1.48	1.68	1.47	1.57

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	44.7%	55.4%	-10.7pp
Draw	30.2%	30.3%	-0.1pp
Away	25.1%	24.0%	+1.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.26 (44.3%) · No: 1.80 (55.7%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.9% 1-1 13.0% 0-0 10.6% 0-1 10.0% 2-0 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.6%	10.0%	4.7%	1.5%
1	13.9%	13.0%	6.1%	1.9%
2	9.0%	8.5%	4.0%	1.2%
3	3.9%	3.7%	1.7%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.89	2.12
O/U 2.25	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.50	2.58	1.63 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.12	1.47
O/U 3.00	4.25	1.31
O/U 3.25	4.78	1.26
O/U 3.50	5.31	1.23

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.10	10.65
AH +1.25	1.11	9.72
AH +1.00	1.13	8.79
AH +0.75	1.25	5.04
AH +0.50	1.37	3.73
AH +0.25	1.45	3.20
AH +0.00	1.60	2.68
AH -0.25	1.91	2.10
AH -0.50	2.22	1.82 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.68	1.60
AH -1.00	3.66	1.38
AH -1.25	4.24	1.31
AH -1.50	4.83	1.26

Model probs (cal): H 21.3% · D 26.7% · A 52.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (43.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.8%) | Market overround: 105.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.3% · Home by 2+ 11.5% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 23.0% · Away by 2+ 20.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.99 · Under 2.01)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.45 · Away 1.69)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Udinese	Overall	30	11	6	13	35	42	-7
	Home	15	5	4	6	16	19	-3
	Away	15	6	2	7	19	23	-4
Como	Overall	30	16	9	5	53	22	31
	Home	16	9	5	2	31	11	20
	Away	14	7	4	3	22	11	11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Udinese	2-1-2	7	4	3
Como	5-0-0	14	3	11

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Udinese	1.24	1.12	1.15	1.17
Como	1.57	0.76	1.68	0.93

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	21.3%	20.0%	+1.3pp
Draw	26.7%	26.8%	-0.1pp
Away	52.1%	58.8%	-6.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.05 (48.9%) · No: 1.96 (51.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.8% 0-1 11.9% 1-0 9.5% 0-0 8.8% 1-2 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.8%	11.9%	8.1%	3.6%
1	9.5%	12.8%	8.7%	3.9%
2	5.1%	6.9%	4.7%	2.1%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.7%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.69	2.45
O/U 2.25	1.99	2.01
O/U 2.50	2.28	1.78 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.69	1.59
O/U 3.00	3.47	1.41
O/U 3.25	3.93	1.34
O/U 3.50	4.39	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.25	4.96
AH +1.25	1.29	4.39
AH +1.00	1.35	3.82
AH +0.75	1.56 VALUE	2.80
AH +0.50	1.76	2.32
AH +0.25	2.00	2.00
AH +0.00	2.45	1.69
AH -0.25	2.91	1.52
AH -0.50	3.36	1.42
AH -0.75	4.41	1.29
AH -1.00	7.12	1.16
AH -1.25	7.92	1.14
AH -1.50	8.71	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 33.0% · D 31.5% · A 35.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (38.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.7%) | Market overround: 108.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.0% · Home by 2+ 17.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away by 1 20.1% · Away by 2+ 15.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.87 · Under 2.15)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.93 · Away 2.08)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Cesena	Overall	32	12	7	13	41	47	-6
	Home	16	6	4	6	24	24	0
	Away	16	6	3	7	17	23	-6
Sudtirol	Overall	32	8	14	10	34	35	-1
	Home	16	5	5	6	17	16	1
	Away	16	3	9	4	17	19	-2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Cesena	1-2-2	6	9	-3
Sudtirol	1-1-3	7	7	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Cesena	1.39	1.25	1.35	1.35
Sudtirol	1.32	1.01	1.03	1.12

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	33.0%	47.2%	-14.2pp
Draw	31.5%	31.2%	+0.3pp
Away	35.5%	30.3%	+5.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.93 (51.8%) · No: 2.07 (48.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.7% 1-0 10.2% 0-1 9.8% 2-1 8.3% 1-2 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.9%	9.8%	6.1%	2.5%
1	10.2%	12.7%	7.9%	3.3%
2	6.6%	8.3%	5.1%	2.1%
3	2.9%	3.6%	2.2%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.60	2.68
O/U 2.25	1.87	2.15
O/U 2.50	2.14	1.88
O/U 2.75	2.48	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.11	1.47
O/U 3.25	3.54	1.39
O/U 3.50	3.97	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.58
AH +1.25	1.20	5.92
AH +1.00	1.23	5.26
AH +0.75	1.39	3.56
AH +0.50	1.55	2.83
AH +0.25	1.69	2.45
AH +0.00	1.93	2.08
AH -0.25	2.28	1.78 VALUE
AH -0.50	2.63	1.61
AH -0.75	3.26	1.44
AH -1.00	4.66	1.27
AH -1.25	5.28	1.23
AH -1.50	5.90	1.20

Model probs (cal): H 76.2% · D 12.7% · A 11.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (66.1%) | Most likely score: 2-0 (10.6%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.5% · Home by 2+ 42.6% · Draw 19.2% · Away by 1 10.0% · Away by 2+ 4.8%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.04 · Under 1.96)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.80 · Away 2.25)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Club Brugge	Overall	30	20	3	7	59	36	23
	Home	15	11	2	2	34	19	15
	Away	15	9	1	5	25	17	8
Anderlecht	Overall	30	12	8	10	43	39	4
	Home	15	8	4	3	25	14	11
	Away	15	4	4	7	18	25	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Club Brugge	4-1-0	12	6	6
Anderlecht	2-1-2	13	9	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Club Brugge	2.00	0.98	1.91	1.15
Anderlecht	1.72	1.54	1.36	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	76.2%	67.8%	+8.4pp
Draw	12.7%	22.7%	-9.9pp
Away	11.1%	17.4%	-6.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.86 (53.9%) · No: 2.17 (46.1%)

Top scorelines

2-0 10.6% 2-1 9.8% 1-0 9.6% 1-1 9.0% 3-0 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	4.4%	4.1%	1.9%	0.6%
1	9.6%	9.0%	4.2%	1.3%
2	10.6%	9.8%	4.6%	1.4%
3	7.7%	7.2%	3.4%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.30	4.33
O/U 2.25	1.48	3.09
O/U 2.50	1.65	2.53 VALUE
O/U 2.75	1.80	2.24
O/U 3.00	2.04	1.96
O/U 3.25	2.33	1.75
O/U 3.50	2.63	1.61

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	20.80
AH +1.25	1.05	19.76
AH +1.00	1.06	18.72
AH +0.75	1.11	9.70
AH +0.50	1.17	6.76
AH +0.25	1.20	6.11
AH +0.00	1.22	5.47
AH -0.25	1.37	3.71
AH -0.50	1.51	2.95
AH -0.75	1.62	2.60
AH -1.00	1.80	2.25
AH -1.25	2.07	1.93
AH -1.50	2.35	1.74

Model probs (cal): H 55.5% · D 27.2% · A 17.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (49.0%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.3%) | Market overround: 104.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.1% · Home by 2+ 23.8% · Draw 27.3% · Away by 1 15.8% · Away by 2+ 7.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.84 · Under 2.18)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.76 · Away 2.31)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Portsmouth	Overall	39	10	11	18	38	55	-17
	Home	19	6	4	9	19	20	-1
	Away	20	4	7	9	19	35	-16
Oxford	Overall	40	9	13	18	37	52	-15
	Home	20	5	8	7	18	25	-7
	Away	20	4	5	11	19	27	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Portsmouth	0-2-3	4	11	-7
Oxford	1-1-3	3	6	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Portsmouth	1.20	1.37	1.38	1.28
Oxford	0.44	1.76	0.78	1.48

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	55.5%	53.8%	+1.7pp
Draw	27.2%	28.6%	-1.3pp
Away	17.3%	22.2%	-5.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.27 (44.1%) · No: 1.79 (55.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.3% 1-1 12.6% 0-0 10.3% 2-0 10.0% 0-1 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.3%	9.0%	4.0%	1.2%
1	14.3%	12.6%	5.6%	1.6%
2	10.0%	8.8%	3.9%	1.1%
3	4.7%	4.1%	1.8%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.84	2.18
O/U 2.25	2.18	1.85
O/U 2.50	2.51	1.66
O/U 2.75	3.03	1.49
O/U 3.00	4.07	1.33
O/U 3.25	4.59	1.28
O/U 3.50	5.10	1.24

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	12.75
AH +1.25	1.09	11.74
AH +1.00	1.10	10.73
AH +0.75	1.21	5.84
AH +0.50	1.31	4.22
AH +0.25	1.38	3.64
AH +0.00	1.48	3.07
AH -0.25	1.76	2.31
AH -0.50	2.04	1.96
AH -0.75	2.40	1.71
AH -1.00	3.14	1.47
AH -1.25	3.67	1.38
AH -1.50	4.19	1.31

Model probs (cal): H 25.8% · D 27.9% · A 46.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (37.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 105.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.4% · Home by 2+ 14.9% · Draw 27.4% · Away by 1 21.1% · Away by 2+ 16.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.98 · Under 2.02)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.06 · Away 1.95)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Millwall	Overall	40	21	9	10	55	45	10
	Home	20	11	3	6	28	23	5
	Away	20	10	6	4	27	22	5
Norwich	Overall	40	16	7	17	53	47	6
	Home	20	8	2	10	24	24	0
	Away	20	8	5	7	29	23	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Millwall	3-1-1	8	5	3
Norwich	3-0-2	8	2	6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Millwall	1.16	0.84	1.17	1.12
Norwich	1.88	1.05	1.45	1.19

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	25.8%	46.3%	-20.5pp
Draw	27.9%	28.6%	-0.7pp
Away	46.4%	30.8%	+15.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.6%) · No: 1.98 (50.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 0-1 10.8% 1-0 10.5% 0-0 8.7% 1-2 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.7%	10.8%	6.7%	2.8%
1	10.5%	13.0%	8.0%	3.3%
2	6.3%	7.8%	4.8%	2.0%
3	2.5%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.68	2.46
O/U 2.25	1.98	2.02
O/U 2.50	2.27	1.78 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.68	1.60
O/U 3.00	3.45	1.41
O/U 3.25	3.91	1.34
O/U 3.50	4.37	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.19	6.19
AH +1.25	1.22	5.54
AH +1.00	1.26	4.89
AH +0.75	1.43	3.35
AH +0.50	1.59	2.68
AH +0.25	1.76	2.32
AH +0.00	2.06	1.95
AH -0.25	2.44	1.69 VALUE
AH -0.50	2.83	1.55
AH -0.75	3.58	1.39
AH -1.00	5.34	1.23
AH -1.25	6.03	1.20
AH -1.50	6.72	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 17.5% · D 27.9% · A 54.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (46.5%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.8%) | Market overround: 104.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.9% · Home by 2+ 9.0% · Draw 27.7% · Away by 1 24.5% · Away by 2+ 22.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.83 · Under 2.20)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.64 · Away 2.56)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Lecce	Overall	30	7	6	17	21	40	-19
	Home	15	4	4	7	11	19	-8
	Away	15	3	2	10	10	21	-11
Atalanta	Overall	30	13	11	6	41	27	14
	Home	16	9	5	2	25	13	12
	Away	14	4	6	4	16	14	2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Lecce	1-0-4	4	9	-5
Atalanta	2-2-1	7	6	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Lecce	0.79	1.54	0.80	1.20
Atalanta	1.40	1.22	1.56	1.28

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	17.5%	20.5%	-3.0pp
Draw	27.9%	27.2%	+0.7pp
Away	54.6%	57.1%	-2.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.22 (45.0%) · No: 1.82 (55.0%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.8% 1-1 12.8% 0-0 10.2% 1-0 9.5% 0-2 9.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.2%	13.8%	9.3%	4.2%
1	9.5%	12.8%	8.7%	3.9%
2	4.4%	6.0%	4.0%	1.8%
3	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.83	2.20
O/U 2.25	2.17	1.86
O/U 2.50	2.50	1.67 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.00	1.50
O/U 3.00	4.03	1.33
O/U 3.25	4.54	1.28
O/U 3.50	5.05	1.25

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.28	4.53
AH +1.25	1.34	3.98
AH +1.00	1.41	3.42
AH +0.75	1.64 VALUE	2.56
AH +0.50	1.87	2.15
AH +0.25	2.17	1.85
AH +0.00	2.80	1.55
AH -0.25	3.34	1.43
AH -0.50	3.88	1.35
AH -0.75	5.27	1.23
AH -1.00	9.29	1.12
AH -1.25	10.23	1.11
AH -1.50	11.17	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 13.7% · D 39.3% · A 46.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (43.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 109.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.1% · Home by 2+ 10.6% · Draw 27.9% · Away by 1 23.5% · Away by 2+ 19.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.56 · Away 2.79)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bari	Overall	32	7	10	15	30	50	-20
	Home	16	5	5	6	18	21	-3
	Away	16	2	5	9	12	29	-17
Modena	Overall	31	14	8	9	42	25	17
	Home	17	8	4	5	25	14	11
	Away	14	6	4	4	17	11	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bari	2-0-3	7	11	-4
Modena	2-1-2	7	5	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bari	1.16	2.01	1.25	1.70
Modena	1.33	0.94	1.42	1.02

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	13.7%	24.4%	-10.7pp
Draw	39.3%	30.3%	+9.0pp
Away	46.9%	54.6%	-7.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.16 (46.2%) · No: 1.86 (53.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 0-1 12.9% 1-0 10.0% 0-0 9.9% 1-2 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.9%	12.9%	8.4%	3.7%
1	10.0%	13.0%	8.5%	3.7%
2	5.0%	6.6%	4.3%	1.9%
3	1.7%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.81	2.24
O/U 2.25	2.13	1.88
O/U 2.50	2.46	1.69
O/U 2.75	2.95	1.51
O/U 3.00	3.93	1.34
O/U 3.25	4.43	1.29
O/U 3.50	4.93	1.25

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.25	5.03
AH +1.25	1.29	4.44
AH +1.00	1.35	3.85
AH +0.75	1.56	2.79
AH +0.50	1.77 VALUE	2.31
AH +0.25	2.02	1.98
AH +0.00	2.51	1.66
AH -0.25	2.99	1.50
AH -0.50	3.48	1.40
AH -0.75	4.62	1.28
AH -1.00	7.72	1.15
AH -1.25	8.58	1.13
AH -1.50	9.43	1.12

Model probs (cal): H 37.1% · D 33.2% · A 29.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.8%) | Market overround: 108.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.8% · Home by 2+ 18.2% · Draw 26.8% · Away by 1 19.4% · Away by 2+ 13.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.90 · Under 2.11)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.83 · Away 2.21)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Catanzaro	Overall	31	14	10	7	49	38	11
	Home	15	8	6	1	25	15	10
	Away	16	6	4	6	24	23	1
Monza	Overall	32	19	8	5	50	26	24
	Home	16	12	3	1	29	10	19
	Away	16	7	5	4	21	16	5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Catanzaro	2-2-1	12	11	1
Monza	2-2-1	9	6	3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Catanzaro	1.44	1.45	1.56	1.18
Monza	1.28	0.98	1.35	1.04

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	37.1%	36.1%	+1.0pp
Draw	33.2%	30.3%	+2.9pp
Away	29.7%	42.0%	-12.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.96 (51.0%) · No: 2.04 (49.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.8% 1-0 10.8% 0-1 9.6% 2-1 8.5% 0-0 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.1%	9.6%	5.7%	2.2%
1	10.8%	12.8%	7.6%	3.0%
2	7.1%	8.5%	5.0%	2.0%
3	3.2%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.62	2.61
O/U 2.25	1.90	2.11
O/U 2.50	2.18	1.85 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.54	1.65
O/U 3.00	3.21	1.45
O/U 3.25	3.65	1.38
O/U 3.50	4.08	1.32

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.27
AH +1.25	1.18	6.57
AH +1.00	1.21	5.86
AH +0.75	1.35	3.85
AH +0.50	1.50	3.01
AH +0.25	1.62	2.61
AH +0.00	1.83 VALUE	2.21
AH -0.25	2.17	1.86
AH -0.50	2.50	1.67
AH -0.75	3.06	1.48
AH -1.00	4.30	1.30
AH -1.25	4.89	1.26
AH -1.50	5.49	1.22

Model probs (cal): H 58.6% · D 28.4% · A 13.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (55.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.2%) | Market overround: 109.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.8% · Home by 2+ 29.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away by 1 13.5% · Away by 2+ 6.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.71 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.58 · Away 2.72)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Mantova	Overall	32	9	7	16	36	48	-12
	Home	16	7	3	6	24	25	-1
	Away	16	2	4	10	12	23	-11
Virtus Entella	Overall	32	8	10	14	31	45	-14
	Home	16	7	6	3	23	16	7
	Away	16	1	4	11	8	29	-21

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Mantova	2-1-2	9	6	3
Virtus Entella	3-0-2	7	6	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Mantova	1.10	1.32	1.10	1.12
Virtus Entella	1.53	1.03	1.32	1.18

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	58.6%	52.6%	+5.9pp
Draw	28.4%	30.3%	-1.9pp
Away	13.0%	26.0%	-13.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.23 (44.7%) · No: 1.81 (55.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.2% 1-1 11.8% 2-0 11.2% 2-1 9.3% 0-0 9.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.0%	7.4%	3.1%	0.8%
1	14.2%	11.8%	4.9%	1.3%
2	11.2%	9.3%	3.9%	1.1%
3	5.9%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.71	2.42
O/U 2.25	2.01	1.99
O/U 2.50	2.31	1.76
O/U 2.75	2.73	1.58
O/U 3.00	3.53	1.39
O/U 3.25	4.00	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.47	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	16.42
AH +1.25	1.07	15.31
AH +1.00	1.08	14.21
AH +0.75	1.16	7.27
AH +0.50	1.24	5.11
AH +0.25	1.29	4.47
AH +0.00	1.35	3.82
AH -0.25	1.58	2.72
AH -0.50	1.81 VALUE	2.23
AH -0.75	2.06	1.95
AH -1.00	2.52	1.66
AH -1.25	2.96	1.51
AH -1.50	3.39	1.42

Model probs (cal): H 25.2% · D 33.8% · A 41.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (37.7%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.7%) | Market overround: 108.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.2% · Home by 2+ 15.4% · Draw 26.7% · Away by 1 20.9% · Away by 2+ 16.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.86 · Under 2.16)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.06 · Away 1.94)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Reggiana	Overall	32	7	9	16	30	49	-19
	Home	15	4	6	5	16	19	-3
	Away	17	3	3	11	14	30	-16
Pescara	Overall	32	6	11	15	43	58	-15
	Home	16	5	5	6	25	22	3
	Away	16	1	6	9	18	36	-18

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Reggiana	0-1-4	1	13	-12
Pescara	2-2-1	11	6	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Reggiana	0.63	2.22	0.81	1.56
Pescara	2.14	1.29	1.59	1.49

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	25.2%	35.8%	-10.7pp
Draw	33.8%	30.3%	+3.5pp
Away	41.0%	42.6%	-1.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.93 (51.9%) · No: 2.08 (48.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.7% 0-1 10.1% 1-0 9.8% 1-2 8.2% 2-1 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.8%	10.1%	6.6%	2.8%
1	9.8%	12.7%	8.2%	3.6%
2	6.1%	7.9%	5.2%	2.2%
3	2.6%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.59	2.69
O/U 2.25	1.86	2.16
O/U 2.50	2.13	1.88
O/U 2.75	2.47	1.68
O/U 3.00	3.10	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.53	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.96	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.20	5.96
AH +1.25	1.23	5.34
AH +1.00	1.27	4.71
AH +0.75	1.44	3.29
AH +0.50	1.61	2.65
AH +0.25	1.77	2.30
AH +0.00	2.06	1.94
AH -0.25	2.43	1.70
AH -0.50	2.81	1.55
AH -0.75	3.53	1.40
AH -1.00	5.18	1.24
AH -1.25	5.84	1.21
AH -1.50	6.49	1.18

Model probs (cal): H 63.3% · D 24.5% · A 12.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (60.0%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.0%) | Market overround: 108.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.9% · Home by 2+ 35.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away by 1 12.0% · Away by 2+ 5.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.71 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.14 · Away 1.88)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Venezia	Overall	32	20	8	4	64	27	37
	Home	16	14	0	2	37	11	26
	Away	16	6	8	2	27	16	11
Juve Stabia	Overall	32	10	15	7	38	38	0
	Home	16	7	8	1	22	13	9
	Away	16	3	7	6	16	25	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Venezia	3-2-0	10	2	8
Juve Stabia	1-3-1	7	7	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Venezia	1.72	0.62	1.80	1.12
Juve Stabia	1.52	1.07	1.25	1.24

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	63.3%	70.4%	-7.2pp
Draw	24.5%	23.8%	+0.7pp
Away	12.2%	14.3%	-2.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.6%) · No: 1.98 (50.4%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.0% 2-0 11.1% 1-1 10.6% 2-1 9.8% 3-0 6.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	5.8%	2.6%	0.8%
1	12.0%	10.6%	4.7%	1.4%
2	11.1%	9.8%	4.4%	1.3%
3	6.8%	6.1%	2.7%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.12
O/U 2.25	1.71	2.42
O/U 2.50	1.94	2.06
O/U 2.75	2.20	1.83
O/U 3.00	2.65	1.61
O/U 3.25	3.03	1.49
O/U 3.50	3.41	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	17.61
AH +1.25	1.06	16.56
AH +1.00	1.07	15.50
AH +0.75	1.14	8.06
AH +0.50	1.21	5.67
AH +0.25	1.25	5.03
AH +0.00	1.29	4.40
AH -0.25	1.48	3.08
AH -0.50	1.67	2.50
AH -0.75	1.84	2.19
AH -1.00	2.14	1.88
AH -1.25	2.50	1.67 VALUE
AH -1.50	2.85	1.54

Model probs (cal): H 53.3% · D 26.5% · A 20.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (52.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.7%) | Market overround: 108.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.2% · Home by 2+ 27.9% · Draw 24.6% · Away by 1 14.9% · Away by 2+ 8.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.77 · Under 2.29)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.68 · Away 2.46)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
RAAL La Louviere	Overall	30	6	13	11	30	37	-7
	Home	15	3	7	5	12	16	-4
	Away	15	3	6	6	18	21	-3
Dender	Overall	30	3	10	17	24	51	-27
	Home	15	1	5	9	12	28	-16
	Away	15	2	5	8	12	23	-11

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
RAAL La Louviere	1-3-1	9	9	0
Dender	0-2-3	4	11	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
RAAL La Louviere	1.70	1.71	1.16	1.72
Dender	1.29	1.68	1.20	1.36

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	53.3%	56.8%	-3.6pp
Draw	26.5%	29.4%	-3.0pp
Away	20.3%	22.6%	-2.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.95 (51.2%) · No: 2.05 (48.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.7% 1-0 11.6% 2-1 9.6% 2-0 9.5% 0-1 7.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.1%	7.1%	3.6%	1.2%
1	11.6%	11.7%	5.9%	2.0%
2	9.5%	9.6%	4.8%	1.6%
3	5.2%	5.2%	2.6%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.52	2.91
O/U 2.25	1.77	2.29
O/U 2.50	2.03 VALUE	1.97
O/U 2.75	2.32	1.76
O/U 3.00	2.84	1.54
O/U 3.25	3.24	1.45
O/U 3.50	3.64	1.38

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	11.95
AH +1.25	1.10	11.06
AH +1.00	1.11	10.17
AH +0.75	1.21	5.85
AH +0.50	1.30	4.30
AH +0.25	1.36	3.77
AH +0.00	1.45	3.24
AH -0.25	1.68	2.46
AH -0.50	1.92	2.09
AH -0.75	2.20	1.84
AH -1.00	2.72	1.58
AH -1.25	3.15	1.46
AH -1.50	3.59	1.39

Model probs (cal): H 41.3% · D 32.4% · A 26.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.3%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.0%) | Market overround: 106.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.3% · Home by 2+ 17.0% · Draw 29.7% · Away by 1 19.2% · Away by 2+ 10.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 2.07 · Under 1.93)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.75 · Away 2.34)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Blackburn	Overall	40	12	10	18	37	49	-12
	Home	20	4	7	9	18	25	-7
	Away	20	8	3	9	19	24	-5
West Brom	Overall	40	11	11	18	42	56	-14
	Home	20	7	8	5	25	25	0
	Away	20	4	3	13	17	31	-14

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Blackburn	2-2-1	4	3	1
West Brom	1-1-3	3	7	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Blackburn	0.73	1.06	0.93	1.19
West Brom	0.89	0.93	0.96	1.34

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.3%	38.6%	+2.6pp
Draw	32.4%	31.7%	+0.6pp
Away	26.4%	36.4%	-10.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.38 (42.1%) · No: 1.73 (57.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.0% 1-1 13.4% 0-0 12.1% 0-1 11.6% 2-0 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	12.1%	11.6%	5.5%	1.8%
1	14.0%	13.4%	6.4%	2.0%
2	8.1%	7.7%	3.7%	1.2%
3	3.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	2.07	1.93
O/U 2.25	2.45	1.69
O/U 2.50	2.84	1.54 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.51	1.40
O/U 3.00	4.98	1.25
O/U 3.25	5.56	1.22
O/U 3.50	6.14	1.19

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.28
AH +1.25	1.14	8.38
AH +1.00	1.15	7.49
AH +0.75	1.29	4.43
AH +0.50	1.43	3.33
AH +0.25	1.54	2.84
AH +0.00	1.75 VALUE	2.34
AH -0.25	2.11	1.90
AH -0.50	2.48	1.67
AH -0.75	3.08	1.48
AH -1.00	4.51	1.28
AH -1.25	5.20	1.24
AH -1.50	5.88	1.20

Model probs (cal): H 40.5% · D 26.4% · A 33.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.6% · Home by 2+ 17.3% · Draw 27.3% · Away by 1 19.8% · Away by 2+ 14.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.96 · Under 2.04)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.87 · Away 2.15)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bristol City	Overall	40	15	9	16	51	51	0
	Home	20	7	4	9	28	27	1
	Away	20	8	5	7	23	24	-1
Sheffield United	Overall	40	15	6	19	57	57	0
	Home	20	8	4	8	33	26	7
	Away	20	7	2	11	24	31	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bristol City	1-1-3	3	7	-4
Sheffield United	2-2-1	5	3	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bristol City	1.00	1.78	1.26	1.66
Sheffield United	1.12	1.44	1.24	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.5%	35.0%	+5.4pp
Draw	26.4%	28.9%	-2.5pp
Away	33.1%	42.6%	-9.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.01 (49.9%) · No: 1.99 (50.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 1-0 11.0% 0-1 10.1% 0-0 8.6% 2-1 8.3%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	10.1%	5.9%	2.3%
1	11.0%	12.9%	7.6%	3.0%
2	7.1%	8.3%	4.8%	1.9%
3	3.0%	3.5%	2.1%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.67	2.50
O/U 2.25	1.96	2.04
O/U 2.50	2.25	1.80 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.00	3.39	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.85	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.30	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.16
AH +1.25	1.18	6.45
AH +1.00	1.21	5.74
AH +0.75	1.36	3.77
AH +0.50	1.51	2.96
AH +0.25	1.64 VALUE	2.56
AH +0.00	1.87	2.15
AH -0.25	2.22	1.82
AH -0.50	2.57	1.64
AH -0.75	3.17	1.46
AH -1.00	4.52	1.28
AH -1.25	5.15	1.24
AH -1.50	5.77	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 55.5% · D 27.2% · A 17.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (48.8%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (15.5%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.7% · Home by 2+ 23.2% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 15.7% · Away by 2+ 7.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 2.01 · Under 1.99)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.76 · Away 2.32)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Derby	Overall	40	17	9	14	58	51	7
	Home	20	8	6	6	27	25	2
	Away	20	9	3	8	31	26	5
Stoke	Overall	40	15	9	16	48	43	5
	Home	20	9	5	6	31	21	10
	Away	20	6	4	10	17	22	-5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Derby	3-0-2	6	5	1
Stoke	0-1-4	4	9	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Derby	1.17	1.42	1.29	1.38
Stoke	0.57	1.50	0.75	1.50

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	55.5%	52.4%	+3.1pp
Draw	27.2%	28.6%	-1.3pp
Away	17.3%	25.6%	-8.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.43 (41.1%) · No: 1.70 (58.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 15.5% 1-1 12.7% 0-0 11.7% 2-0 10.4% 0-1 9.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	11.7%	9.5%	3.9%	1.1%
1	15.5%	12.7%	5.2%	1.4%
2	10.4%	8.5%	3.5%	0.9%
3	4.6%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	2.01	1.99
O/U 2.25	2.38	1.73
O/U 2.50	2.75	1.57 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.38	1.42
O/U 3.00	4.72	1.27
O/U 3.25	5.29	1.23
O/U 3.50	5.85	1.21

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.90
AH +1.25	1.08	12.80
AH +1.00	1.09	11.71
AH +0.75	1.20	6.12
AH +0.50	1.30	4.36
AH +0.25	1.36	3.75
AH +0.00	1.47	3.13
AH -0.25	1.76	2.32
AH -0.50	2.05	1.95
AH -0.75	2.42	1.70
AH -1.00	3.21	1.45
AH -1.25	3.76	1.36
AH -1.50	4.31	1.30

Model probs (cal): H 72.7% · D 23.2% · A 4.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (59.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (15.4%) | Market overround: 106.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 26.6% · Home by 2+ 33.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away by 1 11.7% · Away by 2+ 4.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.75 · Under 2.34)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.23 · Away 1.81)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Ipswich	Overall	38	19	12	7	67	39	28
	Home	20	12	7	1	36	14	22
	Away	18	7	5	6	31	25	6
Birmingham	Overall	40	14	11	15	48	50	-2
	Home	20	9	8	3	33	20	13
	Away	20	5	3	12	15	30	-15

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Ipswich	2-3-0	8	5	3
Birmingham	3-0-2	6	5	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Ipswich	1.39	0.95	1.48	1.18
Birmingham	0.98	1.66	0.75	1.61

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	72.7%	61.7%	+11.0pp
Draw	23.2%	25.8%	-2.6pp
Away	4.1%	19.0%	-14.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.41 (41.6%) · No: 1.71 (58.4%)

Top scorelines

1-0 15.4% 2-0 12.7% 1-1 11.1% 0-0 9.3% 2-1 9.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
1	15.4%	11.1%	4.0%	1.0%
2	12.7%	9.2%	3.3%	0.8%
3	7.0%	5.0%	1.8%	0.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.75	2.34
O/U 2.25	2.06	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.37	1.73 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.81	1.55
O/U 3.00	3.69	1.37
O/U 3.25	4.17	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.65	1.27

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.05	22.13
AH +1.25	1.05	20.84
AH +1.00	1.05	19.55
AH +0.75	1.12	9.09
AH +0.50	1.19	6.18
AH +0.25	1.23	5.43
AH +0.00	1.27	4.68
AH -0.25	1.48	3.10
AH -0.50	1.68	2.47
AH -0.75	1.87	2.14
AH -1.00	2.23	1.81
AH -1.25	2.63	1.61
AH -1.50	3.03	1.49

Model probs (cal): H 40.5% · D 26.4% · A 33.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.7%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.2%) | Market overround: 106.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.4% · Home by 2+ 17.3% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 19.6% · Away by 2+ 12.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.23)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.81 · Away 2.24)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Preston	Overall	40	13	14	13	47	51	-4
	Home	20	8	6	6	26	24	2
	Away	20	5	8	7	21	27	-6
QPR	Overall	40	16	8	16	57	62	-5
	Home	20	10	2	8	37	32	5
	Away	20	6	6	8	20	30	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Preston	1-1-3	6	11	-5
QPR	2-2-1	6	7	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Preston	1.04	1.86	0.99	1.46
QPR	1.02	1.31	1.03	1.23

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.5%	42.0%	-1.5pp
Draw	26.4%	30.5%	-4.1pp
Away	33.1%	33.9%	-0.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.15 (46.6%) · No: 1.87 (53.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.2% 1-0 12.3% 0-1 10.7% 0-0 10.0% 2-1 8.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.0%	10.7%	5.8%	2.1%
1	12.3%	13.2%	7.1%	2.5%
2	7.5%	8.1%	4.4%	1.6%
3	3.1%	3.3%	1.8%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.81	2.23
O/U 2.25	2.14	1.88
O/U 2.50	2.47	1.68 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.96	1.51
O/U 3.00	3.95	1.34
O/U 3.25	4.46	1.29
O/U 3.50	4.96	1.25

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	8.00
AH +1.25	1.16	7.22
AH +1.00	1.18	6.43
AH +0.75	1.33	4.05
AH +0.50	1.47	3.12
AH +0.25	1.60	2.68
AH +0.00	1.81	2.24
AH -0.25	2.16	1.86
AH -0.50	2.52	1.66
AH -0.75	3.11	1.47
AH -1.00	4.48	1.29
AH -1.25	5.12	1.24
AH -1.50	5.77	1.21

Model probs (cal): H 0.0% · D 23.9% · A 76.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (49.9%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 106.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 15.6% · Home by 2+ 8.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away by 1 24.6% · Away by 2+ 25.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.97 · Under 2.04)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.75 · Away 2.33)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sheffield Weds	Overall	40	1	9	30	24	81	-57
	Home	20	0	5	15	10	41	-31
	Away	20	1	4	15	14	40	-26
Leicester	Overall	40	11	13	16	53	62	-9
	Home	20	7	5	8	28	30	-2
	Away	20	4	8	8	25	32	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sheffield Weds	0-1-4	3	10	-7
Leicester	0-4-1	5	6	-1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sheffield Weds	1.01	1.65	0.85	1.66
Leicester	1.70	1.13	1.19	1.56

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	0.0%	16.0%	-16.0pp
Draw	23.9%	23.8%	+0.1pp
Away	76.1%	66.2%	+9.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.10 (47.6%) · No: 1.91 (52.4%)

Top scorelines

0-1 12.9% 1-1 12.3% 0-2 9.7% 1-2 9.2% 0-0 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	12.9%	9.7%	4.8%
1	8.2%	12.3%	9.2%	4.6%
2	3.9%	5.9%	4.4%	2.2%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.67	2.49
O/U 2.25	1.97	2.04
O/U 2.50	2.26	1.79 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.65	1.60
O/U 3.00	3.41	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.87	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.32	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.34	3.95
AH +1.25	1.41 VALUE	3.47
AH +1.00	1.50	2.98
AH +0.75	1.75	2.33
AH +0.50	2.00	2.00
AH +0.25	2.35	1.74
AH +0.00	3.08	1.48
AH -0.25	3.62	1.38
AH -0.50	4.17	1.32
AH -0.75	5.70	1.21
AH -1.00	10.10	1.11
AH -1.25	11.04	1.10
AH -1.50	11.98	1.09

Model probs (cal): H 53.0% · D 28.8% · A 18.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.4%) | Market overround: 105.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.9% · Home by 2+ 22.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away by 1 16.5% · Away by 2+ 8.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.90 · Under 2.11)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.82 · Away 2.22)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Watford	Overall	40	14	14	12	51	48	3
	Home	20	10	6	4	29	20	9
	Away	20	4	8	8	22	28	-6
Charlton	Overall	40	12	12	16	37	48	-11
	Home	20	8	4	8	19	21	-2
	Away	20	4	8	8	18	27	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Watford	1-2-2	6	7	-1
Charlton	1-3-1	5	7	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Watford	1.26	1.95	1.29	1.52
Charlton	0.94	1.06	0.83	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	53.0%	54.3%	-1.3pp
Draw	28.8%	28.6%	+0.2pp
Away	18.2%	22.7%	-4.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.30 (43.5%) · No: 1.77 (56.5%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.4% 1-1 12.8% 0-0 10.8% 2-0 9.7% 0-1 9.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.8%	9.6%	4.3%	1.3%
1	14.4%	12.8%	5.7%	1.7%
2	9.7%	8.6%	3.8%	1.1%
3	4.3%	3.8%	1.7%	0.5%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.90	2.11
O/U 2.25	2.25	1.80
O/U 2.50	2.60	1.63 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.15	1.47
O/U 3.00	4.30	1.30
O/U 3.25	4.83	1.26
O/U 3.50	5.36	1.23

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	12.00
AH +1.25	1.10	11.01
AH +1.00	1.11	10.02
AH +0.75	1.22	5.53
AH +0.50	1.33	4.02
AH +0.25	1.41	3.46
AH +0.00	1.53	2.90
AH -0.25	1.82	2.22
AH -0.50	2.12	1.89 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.52	1.66
AH -1.00	3.37	1.42
AH -1.25	3.93	1.34
AH -1.50	4.48	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 46.5% · D 22.2% · A 31.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (43.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.4%) | Market overround: 107.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.4% · Home by 2+ 21.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away by 1 18.1% · Away by 2+ 12.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.81 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.70 · Away 2.42)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
AFC Wimbledon	Overall	40	14	8	18	49	59	-10
	Home	19	8	4	7	24	19	5
	Away	21	6	4	11	25	40	-15
Luton	Overall	40	16	10	14	54	50	4
	Home	21	11	6	4	33	22	11
	Away	19	5	4	10	21	28	-7

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
AFC Wimbledon	0-2-3	6	13	-7
Luton	1-1-3	4	7	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
AFC Wimbledon	1.14	1.95	1.16	1.72
Luton	0.76	1.53	0.81	1.58

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.5%	33.3%	+13.1pp
Draw	22.2%	29.4%	-7.2pp
Away	31.4%	44.4%	-13.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.90 (52.6%) · No: 2.11 (47.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.4% 1-0 10.6% 2-1 8.9% 0-1 8.6% 2-0 7.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	1.9%
1	10.6%	12.4%	7.2%	2.8%
2	7.7%	8.9%	5.2%	2.0%
3	3.7%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.82
O/U 2.25	1.81	2.24
O/U 2.50	2.07	1.94
O/U 2.75	2.38	1.73
O/U 3.00	2.94	1.51
O/U 3.25	3.35	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.76	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	8.07
AH +1.25	1.16	7.34
AH +1.00	1.18	6.61
AH +0.75	1.31	4.24
AH +0.50	1.44	3.28
AH +0.25	1.54 VALUE	2.85
AH +0.00	1.70	2.42
AH -0.25	2.00	2.00
AH -0.50	2.30	1.77
AH -0.75	2.76	1.57
AH -1.00	3.70	1.37
AH -1.25	4.23	1.31
AH -1.50	4.77	1.27

Model probs (cal): H 31.2% · D 23.1% · A 45.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (47.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.6%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.8% · Home by 2+ 11.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away by 1 22.6% · Away by 2+ 24.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.65 · Under 2.54)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.67 · Away 2.49)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Barnsley	Overall	38	13	12	13	60	61	-1
	Home	20	9	5	6	36	29	7
	Away	18	4	7	7	24	32	-8
Plymouth	Overall	40	18	5	17	61	56	5
	Home	21	9	3	9	29	30	-1
	Away	19	9	2	8	32	26	6

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Barnsley	1-2-2	8	11	-3
Plymouth	2-1-2	10	6	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Barnsley	1.21	1.29	1.04	1.40
Plymouth	1.74	1.61	1.42	1.35

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.2%	36.1%	-5.0pp
Draw	23.1%	28.4%	-5.3pp
Away	45.7%	43.5%	+2.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.79 (56.0%) · No: 2.27 (44.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.6% 0-1 9.7% 1-2 9.4% 0-2 7.8% 1-0 7.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.0%	9.7%	7.8%	4.2%
1	7.2%	11.6%	9.4%	5.0%
2	4.3%	7.0%	5.6%	3.0%
3	1.7%	2.8%	2.3%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.43	3.34
O/U 2.25	1.65	2.54
O/U 2.50	1.87	2.15
O/U 2.75	2.10	1.91
O/U 3.00	2.50	1.67
O/U 3.25	2.85	1.54
O/U 3.50	3.21	1.45

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.32	4.11
AH +1.25	1.38	3.64
AH +1.00	1.46	3.18
AH +0.75	1.67	2.49
AH +0.50	1.89	2.13
AH +0.25	2.15	1.87 VALUE
AH +0.00	2.65	1.61
AH -0.25	3.08	1.48
AH -0.50	3.52	1.40
AH -0.75	4.57	1.28
AH -1.00	7.16	1.16
AH -1.25	7.89	1.15
AH -1.50	8.61	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 57.0% · D 20.9% · A 22.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (45.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.4%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.1% · Home by 2+ 22.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away by 1 17.4% · Away by 2+ 11.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.84 · Under 2.20)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bolton	Overall	40	18	15	7	57	40	17
	Home	19	12	6	1	34	15	19
	Away	21	6	9	6	23	25	-2
Stockport	Overall	39	19	9	11	57	48	9
	Home	20	12	4	4	34	22	12
	Away	19	7	5	7	23	26	-3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bolton	1-3-1	9	6	3
Stockport	0-1-4	3	10	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bolton	1.86	1.59	1.42	1.12
Stockport	0.98	1.84	1.36	1.37

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	57.0%	51.0%	+6.0pp
Draw	20.9%	27.8%	-6.9pp
Away	22.1%	29.2%	-7.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.94 (51.6%) · No: 2.06 (48.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.4% 1-0 11.2% 2-1 9.1% 0-1 8.4% 2-0 8.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.6%	8.4%	4.6%	1.7%
1	11.2%	12.4%	6.8%	2.5%
2	8.2%	9.1%	5.0%	1.9%
3	4.0%	4.5%	2.5%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.57	2.75
O/U 2.25	1.84	2.20
O/U 2.50	2.10	1.91 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.43	1.70
O/U 3.00	3.02	1.49
O/U 3.25	3.44	1.41
O/U 3.50	3.86	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.03
AH +1.25	1.14	8.24
AH +1.00	1.15	7.46
AH +0.75	1.28	4.62
AH +0.50	1.40	3.52
AH +0.25	1.49	3.06
AH +0.00	1.62	2.60
AH -0.25	1.91	2.10
AH -0.50	2.19	1.84 VALUE
AH -0.75	2.60	1.62
AH -1.00	3.42	1.41
AH -1.25	3.94	1.34
AH -1.50	4.45	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 32.3% · D 29.8% · A 37.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (41.9%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.7% · Home by 2+ 11.7% · Draw 27.6% · Away by 1 22.9% · Away by 2+ 19.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.34)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.38 · Away 1.73)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Exeter	Overall	41	11	10	20	42	53	-11
	Home	20	7	6	7	23	24	-1
	Away	21	4	4	13	19	29	-10
Doncaster	Overall	40	14	8	18	42	61	-19
	Home	20	8	5	7	25	29	-4
	Away	20	6	3	11	17	32	-15

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Exeter	1-2-2	10	11	-1
Doncaster	3-1-1	4	2	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Exeter	1.06	1.76	1.03	1.46
Doncaster	0.87	0.86	1.13	1.31

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	32.3%	36.2%	-3.9pp
Draw	29.8%	29.9%	-0.0pp
Away	37.8%	42.2%	-4.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.09 (47.8%) · No: 1.92 (52.2%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 0-1 12.2% 1-0 10.0% 0-0 9.3% 1-2 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	12.2%	7.9%	3.4%
1	10.0%	13.0%	8.5%	3.7%
2	5.3%	6.9%	4.5%	2.0%
3	1.9%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.74	2.34
O/U 2.25	2.05	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.36	1.73 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.81	1.55
O/U 3.00	3.68	1.37
O/U 3.25	4.16	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.64	1.27

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.24	5.24
AH +1.25	1.27	4.64
AH +1.00	1.33	4.04
AH +0.75	1.53	2.90
AH +0.50	1.72	2.38
AH +0.25	1.95	2.06
AH +0.00	2.38	1.73
AH -0.25	2.83	1.55
AH -0.50	3.28	1.44
AH -0.75	4.30	1.30
AH -1.00	6.92	1.17
AH -1.25	7.72	1.15
AH -1.50	8.52	1.13

Model probs (cal): H 46.2% · D 22.1% · A 31.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.2%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.8% · Home by 2+ 20.2% · Draw 25.7% · Away by 1 18.6% · Away by 2+ 13.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.35)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.30)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Leyton Orient	Overall	40	14	8	18	55	62	-7
	Home	19	8	5	6	29	24	5
	Away	21	6	3	12	26	38	-12
Huddersfield	Overall	40	16	10	14	60	52	8
	Home	20	11	7	2	37	19	18
	Away	20	5	3	12	23	33	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Leyton Orient	2-1-2	7	8	-1
Huddersfield	0-1-4	1	6	-5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Leyton Orient	1.24	1.57	1.05	1.37
Huddersfield	0.82	1.68	1.35	1.39

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.2%	34.7%	+11.5pp
Draw	22.1%	31.1%	-9.0pp
Away	31.7%	42.6%	-10.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.84 (54.3%) · No: 2.19 (45.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.2% 1-0 9.9% 2-1 8.8% 0-1 8.4% 1-2 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.8%	8.4%	5.2%	2.2%
1	9.9%	12.2%	7.6%	3.1%
2	7.1%	8.8%	5.5%	2.3%
3	3.5%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.50	3.00
O/U 2.25	1.74	2.35
O/U 2.50	1.99 VALUE	2.01
O/U 2.75	2.26	1.79
O/U 3.00	2.76	1.57
O/U 3.25	3.14	1.47
O/U 3.50	3.53	1.39

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.32
AH +1.25	1.18	6.64
AH +1.00	1.20	5.96
AH +0.75	1.34	3.95
AH +0.50	1.48	3.10
AH +0.25	1.59 VALUE	2.70
AH +0.00	1.77	2.30
AH -0.25	2.07	1.93
AH -0.50	2.38	1.72
AH -0.75	2.86	1.54
AH -1.00	3.87	1.35
AH -1.25	4.41	1.29
AH -1.50	4.95	1.25

Model probs (cal): H 58.9% · D 24.2% · A 17.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 107.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.9% · Home by 2+ 22.9% · Draw 26.6% · Away by 1 16.9% · Away by 2+ 9.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.96 · Under 2.04)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.85 · Away 2.17)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Mansfield	Overall	38	13	13	12	49	41	8
	Home	20	8	6	6	31	21	10
	Away	18	5	7	6	18	20	-2
Burton	Overall	41	12	11	18	45	56	-11
	Home	21	8	4	9	25	27	-2
	Away	20	4	7	9	20	29	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Mansfield	1-3-1	4	4	0
Burton	1-1-3	4	7	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Mansfield	0.84	1.31	0.87	1.52
Burton	0.68	1.25	0.79	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	58.9%	48.0%	+10.9pp
Draw	24.2%	29.6%	-5.4pp
Away	17.0%	29.4%	-12.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.06 (48.6%) · No: 1.94 (51.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 12.4% 2-1 9.0% 2-0 8.9% 0-1 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	8.7%	4.4%	1.5%
1	12.4%	12.6%	6.4%	2.2%
2	8.9%	9.0%	4.6%	1.5%
3	4.3%	4.3%	2.2%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.67	2.49
O/U 2.25	1.96	2.04
O/U 2.50	2.26	1.80 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.65	1.61
O/U 3.00	3.40	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.86	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.31	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.24
AH +1.25	1.12	9.37
AH +1.00	1.13	8.51
AH +0.75	1.25	5.03
AH +0.50	1.36	3.75
AH +0.25	1.44	3.26
AH +0.00	1.57	2.76
AH -0.25	1.85	2.17
AH -0.50	2.14	1.88
AH -0.75	2.53	1.65
AH -1.00	3.32	1.43
AH -1.25	3.85	1.35
AH -1.50	4.37	1.30

Model probs (cal): H 40.5% · D 26.0% · A 33.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (36.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.6% · Home by 2+ 15.4% · Draw 27.2% · Away by 1 20.9% · Away by 2+ 16.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.02 · Away 1.98)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Northampton	Overall	40	9	8	23	33	57	-24
	Home	19	6	4	9	19	21	-2
	Away	21	3	4	14	14	36	-22
Wigan	Overall	40	11	13	16	41	54	-13
	Home	20	9	4	7	19	15	4
	Away	20	2	9	9	22	39	-17

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Northampton	0-1-4	3	12	-9
Wigan	0-2-3	6	13	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Northampton	0.74	2.40	0.83	2.10
Wigan	1.08	2.05	1.04	1.66

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.5%	35.2%	+5.3pp
Draw	26.0%	31.9%	-5.9pp
Away	33.5%	40.8%	-7.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.99 (50.3%) · No: 2.01 (49.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 0-1 10.5% 1-0 10.4% 0-0 8.4% 1-2 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.4%	10.5%	6.5%	2.7%
1	10.4%	12.9%	8.0%	3.3%
2	6.4%	7.9%	4.9%	2.0%
3	2.6%	3.2%	2.0%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.65	2.53
O/U 2.25	1.94	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.82
O/U 2.75	2.61	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.33	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.78	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.23	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.19	6.26
AH +1.25	1.22	5.61
AH +1.00	1.25	4.96
AH +0.75	1.42	3.39
AH +0.50	1.58	2.72
AH +0.25	1.74	2.35
AH +0.00	2.02	1.98
AH -0.25	2.40	1.71
AH -0.50	2.78	1.56
AH -0.75	3.49	1.40
AH -1.00	5.15	1.24
AH -1.25	5.81	1.21
AH -1.50	6.48	1.18

Model probs (cal): H 31.2% · D 23.1% · A 45.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (43.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.8%) | Market overround: 107.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.1% · Home by 2+ 13.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away by 1 21.8% · Away by 2+ 21.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.66 · Under 2.52)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.37 · Away 1.73)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Peterboro	Overall	39	15	5	19	58	54	4
	Home	18	8	3	7	35	22	13
	Away	21	7	2	12	23	32	-9
Cardiff	Overall	39	23	8	8	73	41	32
	Home	20	14	2	4	42	22	20
	Away	19	9	6	4	31	19	12

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Peterboro	0-2-3	4	8	-4
Cardiff	3-1-1	14	8	6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Peterboro	1.53	2.02	1.42	1.72
Cardiff	1.62	1.04	1.34	1.01

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	31.2%	24.4%	+6.8pp
Draw	23.1%	24.4%	-1.3pp
Away	45.7%	58.5%	-12.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.77 (56.5%) · No: 2.30 (43.5%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.8% 0-1 9.3% 1-2 9.0% 1-0 7.7% 2-1 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.0%	9.3%	7.1%	3.6%
1	7.7%	11.8%	9.0%	4.6%
2	4.9%	7.5%	5.8%	2.9%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.43	3.31
O/U 2.25	1.66	2.52
O/U 2.50	1.88	2.14 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.11	1.90
O/U 3.00	2.51	1.66
O/U 3.25	2.87	1.53
O/U 3.50	3.23	1.45

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.27	4.64
AH +1.25	1.32	4.13
AH +1.00	1.38	3.63
AH +0.75	1.57 VALUE	2.75
AH +0.50	1.76	2.31
AH +0.25	1.98	2.02
AH +0.00	2.37	1.73
AH -0.25	2.76	1.57
AH -0.50	3.16	1.46
AH -0.75	4.02	1.33
AH -1.00	6.03	1.20
AH -1.25	6.70	1.18
AH -1.50	7.37	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 33.3% · D 27.7% · A 39.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (41.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.8%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.9% · Home by 2+ 12.7% · Draw 27.0% · Away by 1 22.3% · Away by 2+ 19.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.94 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.31 · Away 1.77)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Reading	Overall	41	16	14	11	61	52	9
	Home	20	10	7	3	31	22	9
	Away	21	6	7	8	30	30	0
Lincoln	Overall	40	26	9	5	75	34	41
	Home	21	16	4	1	47	16	31
	Away	19	10	5	4	28	18	10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Reading	2-1-2	6	6	0
Lincoln	3-2-0	9	4	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Reading	0.97	1.52	1.34	1.45
Lincoln	1.28	0.95	1.10	1.26

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	33.3%	25.6%	+7.7pp
Draw	27.7%	29.5%	-1.8pp
Away	39.0%	52.9%	-13.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.00 (50.0%) · No: 2.00 (50.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.8% 0-1 11.3% 1-0 9.6% 1-2 8.6% 0-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.5%	11.3%	7.6%	3.4%
1	9.6%	12.8%	8.6%	3.8%
2	5.4%	7.3%	4.9%	2.2%
3	2.1%	2.7%	1.8%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.53
O/U 2.25	1.94	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.81
O/U 2.75	2.61	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.34	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.79	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.24	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.23	5.26
AH +1.25	1.27	4.67
AH +1.00	1.32	4.09
AH +0.75	1.51	2.94
AH +0.50	1.70 VALUE	2.42
AH +0.25	1.92	2.09
AH +0.00	2.31	1.77
AH -0.25	2.73	1.58
AH -0.50	3.16	1.46
AH -0.75	4.08	1.32
AH -1.00	6.38	1.19
AH -1.25	7.13	1.16
AH -1.50	7.88	1.15

Model probs (cal): H 64.5% · D 23.7% · A 11.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (52.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (14.0%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.4% · Home by 2+ 27.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away by 1 14.6% · Away by 2+ 7.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.35)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.66 · Away 2.52)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Stevenage	Overall	39	17	10	12	41	38	3
	Home	19	11	6	2	22	11	11
	Away	20	6	4	10	19	27	-8
Blackpool	Overall	41	13	9	19	48	63	-15
	Home	21	10	5	6	31	28	3
	Away	20	3	4	13	17	35	-18

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Stevenage	0-0-5	3	12	-9
Blackpool	0-2-3	3	9	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Stevenage	0.58	1.63	0.74	1.36
Blackpool	0.60	1.63	0.92	1.37

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	64.5%	55.2%	+9.3pp
Draw	23.7%	30.3%	-6.7pp
Away	11.8%	22.7%	-10.9pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.21 (45.2%) · No: 1.82 (54.8%)

Top scorelines

1-0 14.0% 1-1 12.1% 2-0 10.6% 0-0 9.3% 2-1 9.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	8.0%	3.5%	1.0%
1	14.0%	12.1%	5.3%	1.5%
2	10.6%	9.2%	4.0%	1.1%
3	5.3%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.74	2.35
O/U 2.25	2.05	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.36	1.74
O/U 2.75	2.80	1.56
O/U 3.00	3.66	1.38
O/U 3.25	4.14	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.62	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.31
AH +1.25	1.08	13.27
AH +1.00	1.09	12.23
AH +0.75	1.18	6.49
AH +0.50	1.27	4.64
AH +0.25	1.33	4.03
AH +0.00	1.41	3.43
AH -0.25	1.66	2.52
AH -0.50	1.91	2.10
AH -0.75	2.20	1.83
AH -1.00	2.77	1.57
AH -1.25	3.24	1.45
AH -1.50	3.71	1.37

Model probs (cal): H 64.5% · D 23.7% · A 11.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (59.9%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.5%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.1% · Home by 2+ 34.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away by 1 12.0% · Away by 2+ 5.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.75 · Under 2.34)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.16 · Away 1.87)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Wycombe	Overall	41	16	11	14	59	46	13
	Home	20	12	3	5	41	18	23
	Away	21	4	8	9	18	28	-10
Bradford	Overall	40	20	8	12	50	44	6
	Home	20	15	3	2	30	14	16
	Away	20	5	5	10	20	30	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Wycombe	1-2-2	5	6	-1
Bradford	0-0-5	3	12	-9

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Wycombe	1.23	1.01	0.97	1.30
Bradford	0.86	1.66	1.11	1.55

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	64.5%	48.1%	+16.5pp
Draw	23.7%	29.9%	-6.2pp
Away	11.8%	29.9%	-18.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.06 (48.4%) · No: 1.94 (51.6%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.5% 2-0 11.3% 1-1 10.8% 2-1 9.8% 0-0 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.9%	5.9%	2.6%	0.7%
1	12.5%	10.8%	4.6%	1.3%
2	11.3%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%
3	6.8%	5.9%	2.6%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.50	2.99
O/U 2.25	1.75	2.34
O/U 2.50	1.99	2.01
O/U 2.75	2.27	1.79
O/U 3.00	2.77	1.56
O/U 3.25	3.16	1.46
O/U 3.50	3.55	1.39

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	18.11
AH +1.25	1.06	17.03
AH +1.00	1.07	15.94
AH +0.75	1.14	8.18
AH +0.50	1.21	5.72
AH +0.25	1.25	5.07
AH +0.00	1.29	4.43
AH -0.25	1.48 VALUE	3.08
AH -0.50	1.67	2.49
AH -0.75	1.85	2.18
AH -1.00	2.16	1.87
AH -1.25	2.52	1.66
AH -1.50	2.88	1.53

Model probs (cal): H 28.8% · D 28.4% · A 42.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (42.7%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.1%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.4% · Home by 2+ 10.7% · Draw 28.2% · Away by 1 23.4% · Away by 2+ 19.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.85 · Under 2.17)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.47 · Away 1.68)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Barrow	Overall	40	8	9	23	38	64	-26
	Home	19	4	4	11	13	26	-13
	Away	21	4	5	12	25	38	-13
Chesterfield	Overall	40	17	14	9	62	52	10
	Home	20	9	7	4	33	22	11
	Away	20	8	7	5	29	30	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Barrow	0-0-5	5	17	-12
Chesterfield	3-1-1	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Barrow	1.26	2.02	1.37	1.99
Chesterfield	1.02	1.07	1.10	1.34

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	28.8%	30.3%	-1.5pp
Draw	28.4%	30.3%	-1.9pp
Away	42.8%	47.4%	-4.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.20 (45.5%) · No: 1.83 (54.5%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.1% 1-1 13.1% 0-0 10.3% 1-0 10.3% 0-2 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	10.3%	13.1%	8.4%	3.5%
1	10.3%	13.1%	8.3%	3.5%
2	5.1%	6.5%	4.2%	1.8%
3	1.7%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.85	2.17
O/U 2.25	2.19	1.84
O/U 2.50	2.52	1.66 VALUE
O/U 2.75	3.04	1.49
O/U 3.00	4.10	1.32
O/U 3.25	4.61	1.28
O/U 3.50	5.13	1.24

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.24	5.20
AH +1.25	1.28	4.59
AH +1.00	1.34	3.98
AH +0.75	1.54	2.85
AH +0.50	1.74	2.34
AH +0.25	1.99	2.01
AH +0.00	2.47	1.68
AH -0.25	2.95	1.51
AH -0.50	3.44	1.41
AH -0.75	4.57	1.28
AH -1.00	7.63	1.15
AH -1.25	8.49	1.13
AH -1.50	9.35	1.12

Model probs (cal): H 28.8% · D 28.4% · A 42.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (46.1%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (13.4%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 17.1% · Home by 2+ 9.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away by 1 24.2% · Away by 2+ 21.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.63 · Away 2.59)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Cheltenham	Overall	39	11	9	19	43	66	-23
	Home	18	7	3	8	22	24	-2
	Away	21	4	6	11	21	42	-21
Cambridge	Overall	40	20	13	7	57	30	27
	Home	20	13	6	1	35	13	22
	Away	20	7	7	6	22	17	5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Cheltenham	1-3-1	6	7	-1
Cambridge	3-1-1	7	2	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Cheltenham	1.01	1.21	1.14	1.44
Cambridge	1.05	0.72	0.97	0.95

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	28.8%	18.2%	+10.6pp
Draw	28.4%	27.5%	+0.9pp
Away	42.8%	62.1%	-19.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.18 (45.8%) · No: 1.85 (54.2%)

Top scorelines

0-1 13.4% 1-1 12.8% 0-0 9.8% 1-0 9.4% 0-2 9.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.8%	13.4%	9.1%	4.1%
1	9.4%	12.8%	8.7%	4.0%
2	4.5%	6.1%	4.2%	1.9%
3	1.4%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.25	2.12	1.89
O/U 2.50	2.45	1.69 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.93	1.52
O/U 3.00	3.89	1.35
O/U 3.25	4.39	1.29
O/U 3.50	4.89	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.28	4.58
AH +1.25	1.33	4.02
AH +1.00	1.40	3.47
AH +0.75	1.63 VALUE	2.59
AH +0.50	1.85	2.17
AH +0.25	2.15	1.87
AH +0.00	2.74	1.57
AH -0.25	3.26	1.44
AH -0.50	3.78	1.36
AH -0.75	5.11	1.24
AH -1.00	8.86	1.13
AH -1.25	9.78	1.11
AH -1.50	10.69	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 36.2% · D 27.9% · A 35.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (39.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.8% · Home by 2+ 13.5% · Draw 27.6% · Away by 1 21.8% · Away by 2+ 17.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.72 · Under 2.39)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.17 · Away 1.85)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Crawley Town	Overall	41	8	13	20	40	60	-20
	Home	20	5	8	7	26	26	0
	Away	21	3	5	13	14	34	-20
Grimsby	Overall	39	17	11	11	57	43	14
	Home	21	10	5	6	34	20	14
	Away	18	7	6	5	23	23	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Crawley Town	0-2-3	0	5	-5
Grimsby	3-0-2	5	4	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Crawley Town	0.81	1.65	1.08	1.52
Grimsby	1.25	0.83	1.10	1.24

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.2%	33.1%	+3.1pp
Draw	27.9%	28.7%	-0.8pp
Away	35.9%	46.5%	-10.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.05 (48.7%) · No: 1.95 (51.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 0-1 11.4% 1-0 10.4% 0-0 9.1% 1-2 8.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.1%	11.4%	7.2%	3.0%
1	10.4%	13.0%	8.2%	3.4%
2	5.9%	7.4%	4.7%	2.0%
3	2.2%	2.8%	1.8%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.72	2.39
O/U 2.25	2.02	1.98
O/U 2.50	2.33	1.75 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.75	1.57
O/U 3.00	3.58	1.39
O/U 3.25	4.05	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.52	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.21	5.81
AH +1.25	1.24	5.18
AH +1.00	1.28	4.54
AH +0.75	1.46	3.17
AH +0.50	1.64	2.56
AH +0.25	1.83 VALUE	2.21
AH +0.00	2.17	1.85
AH -0.25	2.59	1.63
AH -0.50	3.00	1.50
AH -0.75	3.84	1.35
AH -1.00	5.92	1.20
AH -1.25	6.66	1.18
AH -1.50	7.39	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 37.8% · D 26.6% · A 35.5% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (39.3%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 108.4% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.2% · Home by 2+ 18.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away by 1 19.6% · Away by 2+ 14.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.24)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.88 · Away 2.14)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Crewe	Overall	41	18	9	14	60	50	10
	Home	20	11	4	5	32	25	7
	Away	21	7	5	9	28	25	3
Salford	Overall	41	23	4	14	57	49	8
	Home	21	13	3	5	32	24	8
	Away	20	10	1	9	25	25	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Crewe	2-2-1	9	5	4
Salford	3-0-2	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Crewe	1.11	1.08	1.07	1.31
Salford	1.37	1.40	1.31	1.63

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	37.8%	37.3%	+0.5pp
Draw	26.6%	30.3%	-3.7pp
Away	35.5%	40.8%	-5.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.88 (53.1%) · No: 2.13 (46.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 1-0 10.0% 0-1 9.2% 2-1 8.5% 1-2 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	9.2%	5.8%	2.4%
1	10.0%	12.5%	7.8%	3.3%
2	6.8%	8.5%	5.3%	2.2%
3	3.1%	3.8%	2.4%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.55	2.83
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.24
O/U 2.50	2.06	1.94
O/U 2.75	2.37	1.73
O/U 3.00	2.93	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.34	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.74	1.36

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.17	6.74
AH +1.25	1.20	6.08
AH +1.00	1.23	5.42
AH +0.75	1.38	3.66
AH +0.50	1.53	2.90
AH +0.25	1.66	2.52
AH +0.00	1.88 VALUE	2.14
AH -0.25	2.21	1.83
AH -0.50	2.54	1.65
AH -0.75	3.12	1.47
AH -1.00	4.36	1.30
AH -1.25	4.95	1.25
AH -1.50	5.53	1.22

Model probs (cal): H 40.3% · D 26.4% · A 33.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (42.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.9% · Home by 2+ 19.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away by 1 18.5% · Away by 2+ 11.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.72 · Under 2.39)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.71 · Away 2.41)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Fleetwood Town	Overall	41	14	13	14	49	48	1
	Home	20	8	7	5	30	27	3
	Away	21	6	6	9	19	21	-2
Barnet	Overall	41	16	13	12	52	45	7
	Home	21	8	6	7	29	25	4
	Away	20	8	7	5	23	20	3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Fleetwood Town	2-2-1	5	4	1
Barnet	2-2-1	6	6	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Fleetwood Town	1.04	0.87	1.23	1.00
Barnet	1.33	1.42	1.04	1.48

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.3%	35.5%	+4.8pp
Draw	26.4%	30.3%	-3.9pp
Away	33.3%	42.6%	-9.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.07 (48.2%) · No: 1.93 (51.8%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 1-0 12.1% 0-1 9.8% 0-0 9.1% 2-1 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.1%	9.8%	5.2%	1.9%
1	12.1%	12.9%	6.9%	2.5%
2	8.0%	8.6%	4.6%	1.6%
3	3.5%	3.8%	2.0%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.72	2.39
O/U 2.25	2.03	1.97
O/U 2.50	2.33	1.75 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.76	1.57
O/U 3.00	3.59	1.39
O/U 3.25	4.07	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.54	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.59
AH +1.25	1.15	7.79
AH +1.00	1.17	7.00
AH +0.75	1.30	4.34
AH +0.50	1.43	3.31
AH +0.25	1.54 VALUE	2.86
AH +0.00	1.71	2.41
AH -0.25	2.03	1.97
AH -0.50	2.36	1.74
AH -0.75	2.86	1.54
AH -1.00	3.95	1.34
AH -1.25	4.54	1.28
AH -1.50	5.13	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 34.6% · D 25.2% · A 40.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (41.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.4%) | Market overround: 108.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.8% · Home by 2+ 13.5% · Draw 26.1% · Away by 1 21.9% · Away by 2+ 19.7%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.80 · Under 2.25)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.29 · Away 1.78)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Gillingham	Overall	40	11	13	16	46	60	-14
	Home	20	6	7	7	25	32	-7
	Away	20	5	6	9	21	28	-7
Accrington	Overall	40	14	9	17	40	44	-4
	Home	21	9	4	8	23	22	1
	Away	19	5	5	9	17	22	-5

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Gillingham	1-0-4	1	9	-8
Accrington	2-1-2	6	5	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Gillingham	0.61	1.23	0.97	1.61
Accrington	1.23	1.19	1.12	1.26

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	34.6%	51.0%	-16.4pp
Draw	25.2%	30.8%	-5.5pp
Away	40.1%	27.0%	+13.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.88 (53.1%) · No: 2.13 (46.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.4% 0-1 10.3% 1-0 8.8% 1-2 8.8% 2-1 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.3%	10.3%	7.2%	3.4%
1	8.8%	12.4%	8.8%	4.1%
2	5.3%	7.5%	5.3%	2.5%
3	2.1%	3.0%	2.1%	1.0%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.54	2.85
O/U 2.25	1.80	2.25
O/U 2.50	2.05 VALUE	1.95
O/U 2.75	2.36	1.74
O/U 3.00	2.91	1.52
O/U 3.25	3.32	1.43
O/U 3.50	3.72	1.37

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.25	5.07
AH +1.25	1.28	4.51
AH +1.00	1.34	3.96
AH +0.75	1.53	2.90
AH +0.50	1.71	2.40
AH +0.25	1.92	2.09
AH +0.00	2.29	1.78
AH -0.25	2.69	1.59
AH -0.50	3.10	1.48 VALUE
AH -0.75	3.96	1.34
AH -1.00	6.03	1.20
AH -1.25	6.72	1.17
AH -1.50	7.42	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 36.8% · D 26.8% · A 36.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (39.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.8%) | Market overround: 108.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 19.6% · Home by 2+ 13.8% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 21.7% · Away by 2+ 17.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.07)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.18 · Away 1.84)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Harrogate	Overall	41	8	9	24	32	61	-29
	Home	20	3	3	14	12	33	-21
	Away	21	5	6	10	20	28	-8
Bristol Rvs	Overall	41	15	4	22	43	60	-17
	Home	21	10	1	10	24	27	-3
	Away	20	5	3	12	19	33	-14

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Harrogate	2-1-2	5	4	1
Bristol Rvs	1-1-3	4	8	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Harrogate	1.23	1.17	1.09	1.50
Bristol Rvs	1.49	1.47	1.14	1.34

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.8%	36.6%	+0.2pp
Draw	26.8%	30.6%	-3.8pp
Away	36.4%	40.8%	-4.4pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.99 (50.4%) · No: 2.02 (49.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.8% 0-1 10.9% 1-0 9.8% 1-2 8.4% 0-0 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.4%	10.9%	7.1%	3.1%
1	9.8%	12.8%	8.4%	3.6%
2	5.8%	7.5%	4.9%	2.1%
3	2.3%	3.0%	1.9%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.65	2.55
O/U 2.25	1.93	2.07
O/U 2.50	2.22	1.82
O/U 2.75	2.59	1.63
O/U 3.00	3.31	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.75	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.20	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.22	5.62
AH +1.25	1.25	5.01
AH +1.00	1.29	4.40
AH +0.75	1.47	3.11
AH +0.50	1.65	2.53
AH +0.25	1.84	2.19
AH +0.00	2.18	1.84
AH -0.25	2.59	1.63
AH -0.50	2.99	1.50
AH -0.75	3.82	1.35
AH -1.00	5.82	1.21
AH -1.25	6.53	1.18
AH -1.50	7.24	1.16

Model probs (cal): H 78.0% · D 22.0% · A 0.0% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (59.2%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.7%) | Market overround: 108.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.3% · Home by 2+ 34.0% · Draw 23.0% · Away by 1 12.2% · Away by 2+ 5.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.78 · Under 2.28)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 2.20 · Away 1.83)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Notts County	Overall	41	22	7	12	68	44	24
	Home	20	12	3	5	40	21	19
	Away	21	10	4	7	28	23	5
Newport County	Overall	41	9	7	25	40	69	-29
	Home	21	4	4	13	19	34	-15
	Away	20	5	3	12	21	35	-14

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Notts County	2-1-2	7	5	2
Newport County	2-1-2	6	5	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Notts County	1.48	1.28	1.17	1.19
Newport County	0.78	1.36	0.84	1.68

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	78.0%	66.7%	+11.4pp
Draw	22.0%	24.8%	-2.8pp
Away	0.0%	17.1%	-17.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.09 (47.9%) · No: 1.92 (52.1%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.7% 2-0 11.3% 1-1 10.9% 2-1 9.7% 0-0 7.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.2%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
1	12.7%	10.9%	4.7%	1.3%
2	11.3%	9.7%	4.2%	1.2%
3	6.7%	5.8%	2.5%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.53	2.89
O/U 2.25	1.78	2.28
O/U 2.50	2.04	1.96
O/U 2.75	2.33	1.75
O/U 3.00	2.87	1.53
O/U 3.25	3.27	1.44
O/U 3.50	3.67	1.37

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.06	17.90
AH +1.25	1.06	16.81
AH +1.00	1.07	15.72
AH +0.75	1.14	8.05
AH +0.50	1.22	5.64
AH +0.25	1.25	4.99
AH +0.00	1.30	4.34
AH -0.25	1.49	3.03
AH -0.50	1.69	2.45
AH -0.75	1.87	2.14
AH -1.00	2.20	1.83 VALUE
AH -1.25	2.57	1.64
AH -1.50	2.94	1.51

Model probs (cal): H 40.9% · D 25.3% · A 33.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.9% · Home by 2+ 21.5% · Draw 26.2% · Away by 1 17.8% · Away by 2+ 11.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.85 · Under 2.17)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.96 · Away 2.04)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Oldham	Overall	40	17	13	10	51	34	17
	Home	20	9	7	4	25	15	10
	Away	20	8	6	6	26	19	7
Milton Keynes Dons	Overall	41	21	12	8	76	41	35
	Home	21	11	6	4	36	19	17
	Away	20	10	6	4	40	22	18

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Oldham	3-0-2	11	6	5
Milton Keynes Dons	2-2-1	7	5	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Oldham	1.76	1.40	1.89	1.27
Milton Keynes Dons	0.96	1.26	1.17	1.29

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	40.9%	37.7%	+3.1pp
Draw	25.3%	30.5%	-5.1pp
Away	33.8%	40.0%	-6.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.95 (51.4%) · No: 2.06 (48.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 1-0 11.1% 2-1 9.0% 0-1 8.7% 2-0 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.7%	8.7%	4.9%	1.8%
1	11.1%	12.5%	7.0%	2.6%
2	8.0%	9.0%	5.0%	1.9%
3	3.8%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.58	2.71
O/U 2.25	1.85	2.17
O/U 2.50	2.12	1.89
O/U 2.75	2.45	1.69
O/U 3.00	3.07	1.48
O/U 3.25	3.49	1.40
O/U 3.50	3.92	1.34

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.62
AH +1.25	1.15	7.85
AH +1.00	1.16	7.08
AH +0.75	1.29	4.44
AH +0.50	1.42	3.40
AH +0.25	1.51	2.95
AH +0.00	1.66 VALUE	2.51
AH -0.25	1.96	2.04
AH -0.50	2.25	1.80
AH -0.75	2.69	1.59
AH -1.00	3.59	1.39
AH -1.25	4.12	1.32
AH -1.50	4.65	1.27

Model probs (cal): H 41.9% · D 26.0% · A 32.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 106.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.4% · Home by 2+ 22.6% · Draw 26.2% · Away by 1 17.2% · Away by 2+ 10.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.88 · Under 2.13)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.89 · Away 2.12)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Swindon	Overall	41	21	8	12	65	47	18
	Home	20	10	5	5	33	22	11
	Away	21	11	3	7	32	25	7
Walsall	Overall	41	17	11	13	51	44	7
	Home	21	8	5	8	23	24	-1
	Away	20	9	6	5	28	20	8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Swindon	3-0-2	7	6	1
Walsall	2-3-0	10	6	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Swindon	1.43	1.20	1.55	1.04
Walsall	1.63	1.62	1.52	1.19

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	41.9%	48.8%	-6.9pp
Draw	26.0%	30.2%	-4.2pp
Away	32.1%	27.8%	+4.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.98 (50.4%) · No: 2.02 (49.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 1-0 11.6% 2-1 9.1% 0-1 8.5% 2-0 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.0%	8.5%	4.6%	1.6%
1	11.6%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%
2	8.5%	9.1%	4.9%	1.7%
3	4.1%	4.4%	2.4%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.61	2.65
O/U 2.25	1.88	2.13
O/U 2.50	2.16	1.86
O/U 2.75	2.51	1.66
O/U 3.00	3.16	1.46
O/U 3.25	3.59	1.39
O/U 3.50	4.02	1.33

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.12	9.44
AH +1.25	1.13	8.63
AH +1.00	1.15	7.82
AH +0.75	1.27	4.76
AH +0.50	1.38	3.60
AH +0.25	1.47	3.13
AH +0.00	1.60	2.65
AH -0.25	1.89	2.12
AH -0.50	2.17	1.85
AH -0.75	2.58	1.63
AH -1.00	3.39	1.42
AH -1.25	3.91	1.34
AH -1.50	4.43	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 28.8% · D 28.4% · A 42.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (42.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 107.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 18.7% · Home by 2+ 12.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away by 1 22.7% · Away by 2+ 19.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.99 · Under 2.01)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.37 · Away 1.73)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Tranmere	Overall	40	9	9	22	48	70	-22
	Home	20	4	5	11	20	33	-13
	Away	20	5	4	11	28	37	-9
Colchester	Overall	40	14	12	14	52	45	7
	Home	20	8	6	6	30	21	9
	Away	20	6	6	8	22	24	-2

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Tranmere	0-1-4	3	12	-9
Colchester	0-1-4	1	5	-4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Tranmere	1.01	1.53	1.19	1.59
Colchester	0.69	1.09	1.02	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	28.8%	30.3%	-1.5pp
Draw	28.4%	29.9%	-1.4pp
Away	42.8%	47.6%	-4.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.04 (48.9%) · No: 1.96 (51.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 0-1 11.8% 1-0 9.7% 0-0 8.8% 1-2 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.8%	11.8%	7.8%	3.5%
1	9.7%	12.9%	8.6%	3.8%
2	5.3%	7.1%	4.7%	2.1%
3	1.9%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.69	2.44
O/U 2.25	1.99	2.01
O/U 2.50	2.29	1.78
O/U 2.75	2.70	1.59
O/U 3.00	3.49	1.40
O/U 3.25	3.95	1.34
O/U 3.50	4.41	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.24	5.17
AH +1.25	1.28	4.58
AH +1.00	1.33	3.99
AH +0.75	1.53	2.89
AH +0.50	1.73	2.38
AH +0.25	1.95 VALUE	2.05
AH +0.00	2.37	1.73
AH -0.25	2.81	1.55
AH -0.50	3.26	1.44
AH -0.75	4.24	1.31
AH -1.00	6.76	1.17
AH -1.25	7.54	1.15
AH -1.50	8.32	1.14

Model probs (cal): H 36.7% · D 33.8% · A 29.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (41.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.5% · Home by 2+ 18.6% · Draw 27.5% · Away by 1 19.0% · Away by 2+ 12.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.71 · Under 2.40)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.77 · Away 2.31)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sampdoria	Overall	32	8	10	14	31	43	-12
	Home	16	7	5	4	20	17	3
	Away	16	1	5	10	11	26	-15
Empoli	Overall	32	8	12	12	43	47	-4
	Home	17	4	10	3	26	20	6
	Away	15	4	2	9	17	27	-10

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sampdoria	1-2-2	3	7	-4
Empoli	1-2-2	10	10	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sampdoria	0.66	1.44	0.91	1.39
Empoli	1.60	1.46	1.37	1.33

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	36.7%	45.2%	-8.5pp
Draw	33.8%	31.7%	+2.1pp
Away	29.4%	31.2%	-1.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.06 (48.6%) · No: 1.95 (51.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 11.8% 0-1 10.0% 0-0 9.0% 2-1 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.0%	10.0%	5.5%	2.0%
1	11.8%	13.0%	7.1%	2.6%
2	7.7%	8.4%	4.7%	1.7%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.71	2.40
O/U 2.25	2.02	1.98
O/U 2.50	2.32	1.76
O/U 2.75	2.74	1.57
O/U 3.00	3.56	1.39
O/U 3.25	4.03	1.33
O/U 3.50	4.50	1.29

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.14	8.06
AH +1.25	1.16	7.29
AH +1.00	1.18	6.52
AH +0.75	1.32	4.13
AH +0.50	1.46	3.18
AH +0.25	1.57	2.74
AH +0.00	1.77	2.31
AH -0.25	2.10	1.91
AH -0.50	2.43	1.70
AH -0.75	2.97	1.51
AH -1.00	4.17	1.32
AH -1.25	4.77	1.27
AH -1.50	5.37	1.23

Model probs (cal): H 75.5% · D 16.7% · A 7.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (64.4%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.7%) | Market overround: 105.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.2% · Home by 2+ 39.2% · Draw 21.1% · Away by 1 10.3% · Away by 2+ 4.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.71 · Under 2.41)

Rec AH line: -1.00 (Home 1.91 · Away 2.10)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Juventus	Overall	30	15	9	6	52	29	23
	Home	15	8	6	1	30	13	17
	Away	15	7	3	5	22	16	6
Genoa	Overall	30	8	9	13	36	42	-6
	Home	16	5	4	7	19	21	-2
	Away	14	3	5	6	17	21	-4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Juventus	2-2-1	9	6	3
Genoa	3-0-2	7	5	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Juventus	1.84	0.89	1.92	1.07
Genoa	1.16	0.97	1.27	1.16

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	75.5%	73.0%	+2.5pp
Draw	16.7%	21.9%	-5.2pp
Away	7.7%	10.8%	-3.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.14 (46.8%) · No: 1.88 (53.2%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.7% 2-0 12.3% 1-1 10.0% 2-1 9.7% 3-0 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	5.2%	2.0%	0.5%
1	12.7%	10.0%	4.0%	1.0%
2	12.3%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%
3	7.9%	6.3%	2.5%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.11
O/U 2.25	1.71	2.41
O/U 2.50	1.95	2.05
O/U 2.75	2.21	1.83
O/U 3.00	2.67	1.60
O/U 3.25	3.05	1.49
O/U 3.50	3.42	1.41

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.04	23.49
AH +1.25	1.05	22.29
AH +1.00	1.05	21.08
AH +0.75	1.11	10.10
AH +0.50	1.17	6.88
AH +0.25	1.19	6.15
AH +0.00	1.23	5.43
AH -0.25	1.39	3.57
AH -0.50	1.55	2.81
AH -0.75	1.69	2.45
AH -1.00	1.91	2.10
AH -1.25	2.23	1.81 VALUE
AH -1.50	2.55	1.64

Model probs (cal): H 49.2% · D 30.6% · A 20.2% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (50.9%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.0%) | Market overround: 108.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.3% · Home by 2+ 26.6% · Draw 25.2% · Away by 1 15.3% · Away by 2+ 8.6%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.83 · Under 2.20)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.72 · Away 2.40)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Gent	Overall	30	13	6	11	49	43	6
	Home	15	8	2	5	27	17	10
	Away	15	5	4	6	22	26	-4
Mechelen	Overall	30	12	9	9	39	37	2
	Home	15	6	6	3	19	16	3
	Away	15	6	3	6	20	21	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Gent	3-1-1	12	6	6
Mechelen	2-0-3	6	8	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Gent	1.76	0.78	1.66	1.48
Mechelen	0.82	1.78	1.16	1.63

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	49.2%	52.1%	-2.9pp
Draw	30.6%	27.8%	+2.7pp
Away	20.2%	28.6%	-8.3pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.99 (50.1%) · No: 2.01 (49.9%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.0% 1-1 12.0% 2-0 9.5% 2-1 9.5% 0-0 7.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.6%	7.6%	3.8%	1.3%
1	12.0%	12.0%	6.0%	2.0%
2	9.5%	9.5%	4.7%	1.6%
3	5.0%	5.0%	2.5%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.57	2.75
O/U 2.25	1.83	2.20
O/U 2.50	2.10	1.91 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.42	1.70
O/U 3.00	3.02	1.50
O/U 3.25	3.44	1.41
O/U 3.50	3.85	1.35

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	11.68
AH +1.25	1.10	10.79
AH +1.00	1.11	9.89
AH +0.75	1.21	5.69
AH +0.50	1.31	4.19
AH +0.25	1.38	3.66
AH +0.00	1.47	3.13
AH -0.25	1.72	2.40
AH -0.50	1.96	2.04
AH -0.75	2.27	1.79
AH -1.00	2.84	1.54
AH -1.25	3.30	1.43
AH -1.50	3.76	1.36

Model probs (cal): H 25.8% · D 27.9% · A 46.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (36.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.2%) | Market overround: 106.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 20.7% · Home by 2+ 14.6% · Draw 28.1% · Away by 1 21.2% · Away by 2+ 15.4%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.77 · Under 2.29)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 2.04 · Away 1.97)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Swansea	Overall	40	15	8	17	47	52	-5
	Home	20	10	5	5	28	22	6
	Away	20	5	3	12	19	30	-11
Middlesbrough	Overall	40	20	11	9	60	39	21
	Home	20	10	6	4	28	16	12
	Away	20	10	5	5	32	23	9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Swansea	2-1-2	7	9	-2
Middlesbrough	2-1-2	6	8	-2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Swansea	1.15	1.25	1.11	1.17
Middlesbrough	1.20	1.69	1.13	1.30

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	25.8%	26.2%	-0.5pp
Draw	27.9%	27.8%	+0.1pp
Away	46.4%	52.9%	-6.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.10 (47.6%) · No: 1.91 (52.4%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.2% 0-1 11.4% 1-0 11.1% 0-0 9.6% 1-2 7.8%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.6%	11.4%	6.7%	2.7%
1	11.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.1%
2	6.4%	7.6%	4.5%	1.8%
3	2.5%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.77	2.29
O/U 2.25	2.09	1.92
O/U 2.50	2.41	1.71 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.87	1.53
O/U 3.00	3.79	1.36
O/U 3.25	4.29	1.30
O/U 3.50	4.78	1.26

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.49
AH +1.25	1.21	5.80
AH +1.00	1.24	5.11
AH +0.75	1.41	3.44
AH +0.50	1.58 VALUE	2.73
AH +0.25	1.74	2.35
AH +0.00	2.04	1.97
AH -0.25	2.43	1.70
AH -0.50	2.83	1.55
AH -0.75	3.59	1.39
AH -1.00	5.42	1.23
AH -1.25	6.13	1.19
AH -1.50	6.84	1.17

Model probs (cal): H 46.3% · D 28.1% · A 25.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (46.4%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.6%) | Market overround: 109.0% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.7% · Home by 2+ 22.7% · Draw 26.5% · Away by 1 17.0% · Away by 2+ 10.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.95 · Under 2.06)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.87 · Away 2.15)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Castellon	Overall	33	15	9	9	53	39	14
	Home	16	10	3	3	32	18	14
	Away	17	5	6	6	21	21	0
Granada	Overall	33	10	12	11	41	38	3
	Home	17	5	8	4	24	18	6
	Away	16	5	4	7	17	20	-3

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Castellon	1-2-2	7	10	-3
Granada	3-1-1	9	5	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Castellon	1.55	1.64	1.44	1.43
Granada	1.35	0.96	1.26	0.97

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.3%	61.7%	-15.4pp
Draw	28.1%	26.7%	+1.4pp
Away	25.6%	20.6%	+5.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.04 (49.0%) · No: 1.96 (51.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.6% 1-0 12.2% 2-1 9.0% 2-0 8.8% 0-1 8.7%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.5%	8.7%	4.5%	1.5%
1	12.2%	12.6%	6.5%	2.2%
2	8.8%	9.0%	4.6%	1.6%
3	4.2%	4.3%	2.2%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.66	2.52
O/U 2.25	1.95	2.06
O/U 2.50	2.23	1.81 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.62	1.62
O/U 3.00	3.35	1.43
O/U 3.25	3.80	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.25	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	9.97
AH +1.25	1.12	9.12
AH +1.00	1.14	8.27
AH +0.75	1.25	4.94
AH +0.50	1.37	3.70
AH +0.25	1.45	3.21
AH +0.00	1.58	2.72
AH -0.25	1.87	2.15
AH -0.50	2.15	1.87
AH -0.75	2.55	1.64 VALUE
AH -1.00	3.36	1.42
AH -1.25	3.89	1.35
AH -1.50	4.41	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 29.0% · D 28.0% · A 43.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (49.5%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (12.2%) | Market overround: 108.6% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 15.9% · Home by 2+ 8.9% · Draw 25.7% · Away by 1 24.2% · Away by 2+ 25.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.89 · Under 2.13)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.74 · Away 2.35)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Kocaelispor	Overall	27	9	6	12	23	32	-9
	Home	14	6	3	5	14	11	3
	Away	13	3	3	7	9	21	-12
Buyuksehyr	Overall	27	12	7	8	44	30	14
	Home	14	5	6	3	23	17	6
	Away	13	7	1	5	21	13	8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Kocaelispor	1-0-4	2	10	-8
Buyuksehyr	3-1-1	6	5	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Kocaelispor	0.56	1.59	0.89	1.23
Buyuksehyr	1.44	1.32	1.80	1.32

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	29.0%	36.4%	-7.4pp
Draw	28.0%	31.2%	-3.3pp
Away	43.1%	41.0%	+2.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.02 (49.4%) · No: 1.98 (50.6%)

Top scorelines

0-1 12.2% 1-1 12.2% 0-2 9.3% 1-2 9.3% 0-0 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.0%	12.2%	9.3%	4.7%
1	8.0%	12.2%	9.3%	4.7%
2	4.0%	6.1%	4.6%	2.4%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.61	2.64
O/U 2.25	1.89	2.13
O/U 2.50	2.16	1.86
O/U 2.75	2.52	1.66
O/U 3.00	3.17	1.46
O/U 3.25	3.61	1.38
O/U 3.50	4.04	1.33

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.34	3.96
AH +1.25	1.40	3.48
AH +1.00	1.50	3.00
AH +0.75	1.74	2.35
AH +0.50	1.98	2.02
AH +0.25	2.32	1.76
AH +0.00	3.00	1.50 VALUE
AH -0.25	3.52	1.40
AH -0.50	4.04	1.33
AH -0.75	5.47	1.22
AH -1.00	9.44	1.12
AH -1.25	10.33	1.11
AH -1.50	11.22	1.10

Model probs (cal): H 46.5% · D 29.8% · A 23.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (51.7%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.6%) | Market overround: 107.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.7% · Home by 2+ 27.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away by 1 15.0% · Away by 2+ 8.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.88 · Under 2.13)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.69 · Away 2.45)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Carrarese	Overall	32	9	12	11	41	42	-1
	Home	16	6	6	4	21	14	7
	Away	16	3	6	7	20	28	-8
Spezia	Overall	32	7	9	16	31	46	-15
	Home	16	4	5	7	15	21	-6
	Away	16	3	4	9	16	25	-9

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Carrarese	2-2-1	9	5	4
Spezia	1-2-2	8	11	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Carrarese	1.38	1.00	1.13	0.95
Spezia	1.37	1.62	1.37	1.50

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.5%	50.0%	-3.5pp
Draw	29.8%	31.2%	-1.5pp
Away	23.7%	26.7%	-3.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.05 (48.7%) · No: 1.95 (51.3%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.6% 1-1 12.0% 2-0 9.9% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 8.0%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.0%	7.6%	3.7%	1.2%
1	12.6%	12.0%	5.7%	1.8%
2	9.9%	9.4%	4.5%	1.4%
3	5.2%	4.9%	2.4%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.61	2.64
O/U 2.25	1.88	2.13
O/U 2.50	2.16	1.86
O/U 2.75	2.51	1.66
O/U 3.00	3.17	1.46
O/U 3.25	3.60	1.38
O/U 3.50	4.03	1.33

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.09	12.53
AH +1.25	1.09	11.59
AH +1.00	1.10	10.65
AH +0.75	1.20	5.97
AH +0.50	1.30	4.35
AH +0.25	1.36	3.80
AH +0.00	1.44	3.25
AH -0.25	1.69	2.45
AH -0.50	1.93 VALUE	2.07
AH -0.75	2.23	1.81
AH -1.00	2.79	1.56
AH -1.25	3.24	1.45
AH -1.50	3.70	1.37

Model probs (cal): H 38.7% · D 29.5% · A 31.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (44.2%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.4%) | Market overround: 108.5% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.6% · Home by 2+ 22.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away by 1 17.7% · Away by 2+ 13.6%

Rec O/U line: 3.00 (Over 2.32 · Under 1.76)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.98 · Away 2.02)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Arouca	Overall	27	8	5	14	34	55	-21
	Home	13	4	3	6	18	25	-7
	Away	14	4	2	8	16	30	-14
Estoril	Overall	27	10	7	10	48	44	4
	Home	14	6	5	3	27	19	8
	Away	13	4	2	7	21	25	-4

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Arouca	3-0-2	8	6	2
Estoril	3-0-2	10	8	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Arouca	1.06	1.14	0.87	1.65
Estoril	1.16	1.30	1.18	1.63

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	38.7%	41.5%	-2.8pp
Draw	29.5%	29.0%	+0.4pp
Away	31.8%	38.0%	-6.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.71 (58.4%) · No: 2.41 (41.6%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.4% 2-1 9.1% 1-0 8.7% 1-2 7.5% 0-1 7.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	5.4%	7.1%	4.7%	2.0%
1	8.7%	11.4%	7.5%	3.3%
2	6.9%	9.1%	6.0%	2.6%
3	3.7%	4.9%	3.2%	1.4%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.38	3.64
O/U 2.25	1.58	2.71
O/U 2.50	1.79	2.26
O/U 2.75	1.99	2.01
O/U 3.00	2.32	1.76
O/U 3.25	2.65	1.60
O/U 3.50	2.99	1.50

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.16	7.33
AH +1.25	1.18	6.68
AH +1.00	1.20	6.03
AH +0.75	1.33	4.05
AH +0.50	1.46	3.19
AH +0.25	1.56	2.80
AH +0.00	1.71 VALUE	2.41
AH -0.25	1.98	2.02
AH -0.50	2.26	1.79
AH -0.75	2.67	1.60
AH -1.00	3.47	1.41
AH -1.25	3.95	1.34
AH -1.50	4.42	1.29

Model probs (cal): H 46.3% · D 28.1% · A 25.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (47.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.5%) | Market overround: 109.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 23.8% · Home by 2+ 23.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away by 1 16.8% · Away by 2+ 9.9%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.92 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.85 · Away 2.18)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Sp Gijon	Overall	33	13	7	13	44	43	1
	Home	17	8	6	3	27	19	8
	Away	16	5	1	10	17	24	-7
Sociedad B	Overall	33	11	7	15	45	49	-4
	Home	17	7	5	5	25	21	4
	Away	16	4	2	10	20	28	-8

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Sp Gijon	1-1-3	6	7	-1
Sociedad B	2-0-3	7	10	-3

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Sp Gijon	1.06	1.06	1.08	1.02
Sociedad B	1.44	1.57	1.63	1.30

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	46.3%	58.5%	-12.1pp
Draw	28.1%	27.7%	+0.4pp
Away	25.6%	23.1%	+2.5pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.03 (49.3%) · No: 1.97 (50.7%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.5% 1-0 12.1% 2-1 9.1% 2-0 8.8% 0-1 8.6%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.3%	8.6%	4.4%	1.5%
1	12.1%	12.5%	6.4%	2.2%
2	8.8%	9.1%	4.7%	1.6%
3	4.3%	4.4%	2.3%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.64	2.56
O/U 2.25	1.92	2.08
O/U 2.50	2.21	1.83 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.58	1.63
O/U 3.00	3.28	1.44
O/U 3.25	3.73	1.37
O/U 3.50	4.17	1.32

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.11	10.12
AH +1.25	1.12	9.27
AH +1.00	1.13	8.42
AH +0.75	1.25	5.01
AH +0.50	1.36	3.75
AH +0.25	1.44	3.25
AH +0.00	1.57	2.76
AH -0.25	1.85	2.18
AH -0.50	2.13	1.89
AH -0.75	2.51	1.66 VALUE
AH -1.00	3.29	1.44
AH -1.25	3.80	1.36
AH -1.50	4.31	1.30

Model probs (cal): H 55.7% · D 23.5% · A 20.8% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (52.3%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (13.0%) | Market overround: 108.8% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 25.0% · Home by 2+ 27.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away by 1 14.7% · Away by 2+ 7.5%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.93 · Under 2.08)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.67 · Away 2.50)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Le Mans	Overall	28	13	11	4	41	29	12
	Home	14	7	5	2	14	7	7
	Away	14	6	6	2	27	22	5
Pau FC	Overall	28	10	9	9	40	44	-4
	Home	15	4	5	6	19	24	-5
	Away	13	6	4	3	21	20	1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Le Mans	3-2-0	12	6	6
Pau FC	2-0-3	6	13	-7

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Le Mans	1.47	1.20	1.48	1.06
Pau FC	1.06	1.45	1.07	1.35

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	55.7%	51.4%	+4.3pp
Draw	23.5%	28.8%	-5.3pp
Away	20.8%	28.6%	-7.8pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.10 (47.6%) · No: 1.91 (52.4%)

Top scorelines

1-0 13.0% 1-1 12.0% 2-0 10.2% 2-1 9.4% 0-0 8.4%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.4%	7.7%	3.5%	1.1%
1	13.0%	12.0%	5.5%	1.7%
2	10.2%	9.4%	4.3%	1.3%
3	5.3%	4.9%	2.2%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.64	2.55
O/U 2.25	1.93	2.08
O/U 2.50	2.21	1.82 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.59	1.63
O/U 3.00	3.30	1.44
O/U 3.25	3.74	1.36
O/U 3.50	4.19	1.31

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	13.29
AH +1.25	1.09	12.31
AH +1.00	1.10	11.33
AH +0.75	1.19	6.22
AH +0.50	1.29	4.49
AH +0.25	1.34	3.92
AH +0.00	1.43	3.35
AH -0.25	1.67	2.50
AH -0.50	1.91	2.10
AH -0.75	2.20	1.83
AH -1.00	2.74	1.57
AH -1.25	3.20	1.45
AH -1.50	3.66	1.38

Model probs (cal): H 34.8% · D 32.0% · A 33.1% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (41.8%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (13.0%) | Market overround: 105.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.8% · Home by 2+ 19.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away by 1 18.7% · Away by 2+ 11.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.00 (Over 1.74 · Under 2.35)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.73 · Away 2.37)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Napoli	Overall	30	19	5	6	46	30	16
	Home	14	10	4	0	25	13	12
	Away	16	9	1	6	21	17	4
Milan	Overall	30	18	9	3	47	23	24
	Home	15	9	4	2	22	13	9
	Away	15	9	5	1	25	10	15

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Napoli	4-0-1	8	5	3
Milan	3-0-2	6	4	2

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Napoli	1.61	1.07	1.58	1.22
Milan	1.38	1.11	1.27	1.07

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	34.8%	39.4%	-4.6pp
Draw	32.0%	32.5%	-0.5pp
Away	33.1%	33.3%	-0.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.09 (47.9%) · No: 1.92 (52.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 13.0% 1-0 12.1% 0-1 10.0% 0-0 9.3% 2-1 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	9.3%	10.0%	5.3%	1.9%
1	12.1%	13.0%	7.0%	2.5%
2	7.9%	8.5%	4.5%	1.6%
3	3.4%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.74	2.35
O/U 2.25	2.05	1.95
O/U 2.50	2.36	1.74
O/U 2.75	2.80	1.56
O/U 3.00	3.66	1.38
O/U 3.25	4.14	1.32
O/U 3.50	4.62	1.28

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.13	8.46
AH +1.25	1.15	7.67
AH +1.00	1.17	6.88
AH +0.75	1.31	4.28
AH +0.50	1.44	3.27
AH +0.25	1.55	2.82
AH +0.00	1.73 VALUE	2.37
AH -0.25	2.06	1.94
AH -0.50	2.39	1.72
AH -0.75	2.91	1.52
AH -1.00	4.05	1.33
AH -1.25	4.65	1.27
AH -1.50	5.25	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 22.6% · D 18.5% · A 58.9% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (48.1%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (11.6%) | Market overround: 105.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 16.4% · Home by 2+ 10.9% · Draw 24.6% · Away by 1 22.9% · Away by 2+ 25.1%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.67 · Under 2.49)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.70 · Away 2.42)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Hull	Overall	40	20	7	13	63	58	5
	Home	20	10	3	7	32	32	0
	Away	20	10	4	6	31	26	5
Coventry	Overall	40	25	8	7	84	42	42
	Home	20	15	3	2	43	17	26
	Away	20	10	5	5	41	25	16

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Hull	2-1-2	7	9	-2
Coventry	3-0-2	9	5	4

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Hull	1.25	1.32	1.12	1.67
Coventry	1.36	1.34	1.52	1.58

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	22.6%	25.3%	-2.7pp
Draw	18.5%	28.6%	-10.1pp
Away	58.9%	51.8%	+7.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.81 (55.1%) · No: 2.23 (44.9%)

Top scorelines

1-1 11.6% 0-1 10.0% 1-2 9.4% 0-2 8.1% 1-0 7.2%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.2%	10.0%	8.1%	4.4%
1	7.2%	11.6%	9.4%	5.1%
2	4.2%	6.8%	5.5%	3.0%
3	1.6%	2.6%	2.1%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.44	3.25
O/U 2.25	1.67	2.49
O/U 2.50	1.90	2.11
O/U 2.75	2.14	1.88
O/U 3.00	2.55	1.64
O/U 3.25	2.92	1.52
O/U 3.50	3.28	1.44

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.34	3.98
AH +1.25	1.40	3.53
AH +1.00	1.48	3.07
AH +0.75	1.70	2.42
AH +0.50	1.93	2.08
AH +0.25	2.21	1.82
AH +0.00	2.76	1.57
AH -0.25	3.21	1.45
AH -0.50	3.66	1.38
AH -0.75	4.80	1.26
AH -1.00	7.67	1.15
AH -1.25	8.42	1.13
AH -1.50	9.18	1.12

Model probs (cal): H 18.9% · D 24.4% · A 56.7% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (44.6%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.0%) | Market overround: 105.9% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 17.7% · Home by 2+ 12.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away by 1 22.3% · Away by 2+ 22.3%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.70 · Under 2.42)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.60 · Away 2.66)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Girona	Overall	29	8	10	11	31	44	-13
	Home	14	5	4	5	16	21	-5
	Away	15	3	6	6	15	23	-8
Villarreal	Overall	29	18	4	7	54	34	20
	Home	15	12	1	2	34	13	21
	Away	14	6	3	5	20	21	-1

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Girona	1-2-2	7	6	1
Villarreal	3-1-1	9	8	1

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Girona	1.41	2.09	1.49	1.48
Villarreal	1.79	1.30	1.43	1.17

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	18.9%	32.3%	-13.4pp
Draw	24.4%	28.2%	-3.7pp
Away	56.7%	45.5%	+11.2pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.82 (55.0%) · No: 2.22 (45.0%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.0% 0-1 9.9% 1-2 9.1% 1-0 7.8% 0-2 7.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.5%	9.9%	7.5%	3.8%
1	7.8%	12.0%	9.1%	4.6%
2	4.7%	7.2%	5.5%	2.8%
3	1.9%	2.9%	2.2%	1.1%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.47	3.13
O/U 2.25	1.70	2.42
O/U 2.50	1.94	2.07 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.19	1.84
O/U 3.00	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.25	3.02	1.50
O/U 3.50	3.40	1.42

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.29	4.49
AH +1.25	1.33	3.99
AH +1.00	1.40	3.49
AH +0.75	1.60	2.66
AH +0.50	1.80	2.24
AH +0.25	2.04	1.96
AH +0.00	2.48	1.68
AH -0.25	2.89	1.53
AH -0.50	3.31	1.43
AH -0.75	4.27	1.31
AH -1.00	6.58	1.18
AH -1.25	7.29	1.16
AH -1.50	8.00	1.14

Model probs (cal): H 3.4% · D 21.0% · A 75.6% | Most likely result (xG grid): A (56.0%) | Most likely score: 0-1 (12.0%) | Market overround: 108.3% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 13.5% · Home by 2+ 6.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away by 1 24.8% · Away by 2+ 31.2%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.76 · Under 2.32)

Rec AH line: +0.75 (Home 1.99 · Away 2.01)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Casa Pia	Overall	26	5	9	12	26	48	-22
	Home	12	2	6	4	16	22	-6
	Away	14	3	3	8	10	26	-16
Benfica	Overall	27	19	8	0	58	17	41
	Home	14	9	5	0	33	10	23
	Away	13	10	3	0	25	7	18

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Casa Pia	1-0-4	2	14	-12
Benfica	4-1-0	12	4	8

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Casa Pia	0.67	1.98	0.87	1.68
Benfica	1.52	1.29	1.81	0.97

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	3.4%	8.3%	-5.0pp
Draw	21.0%	16.7%	+4.3pp
Away	75.6%	83.3%	-7.7pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.00 (50.1%) · No: 2.01 (49.9%)

Top scorelines

0-1 12.0% 1-1 11.3% 0-2 10.4% 1-2 9.7% 0-0 6.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.9%	12.0%	10.4%	6.0%
1	6.5%	11.3%	9.7%	5.6%
2	3.1%	5.3%	4.6%	2.6%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.51	2.96
O/U 2.25	1.76	2.32
O/U 2.50	2.00	2.00 VALUE
O/U 2.75	2.29	1.78
O/U 3.00	2.80	1.56
O/U 3.25	3.19	1.46
O/U 3.50	3.58	1.39

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.45	3.20
AH +1.25	1.55	2.81
AH +1.00	1.71	2.41
AH +0.75	1.99	2.01
AH +0.50	2.27	1.79
AH +0.25	2.74	1.58
AH +0.00	3.75	1.36
AH -0.25	4.33	1.30
AH -0.50	4.92	1.26
AH -0.75	6.85	1.17
AH -1.00	12.56	1.09
AH -1.25	13.54	1.08
AH -1.50	14.52	1.07

Model probs (cal): H 44.3% · D 24.4% · A 31.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (41.0%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.9%) | Market overround: 109.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 22.3% · Home by 2+ 18.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away by 1 19.1% · Away by 2+ 12.8%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.96 · Under 2.05)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.78 · Away 2.28)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Port Vale	Overall	38	7	10	21	29	54	-25
	Home	19	3	7	9	16	23	-7
	Away	19	4	3	12	13	31	-18
Rotherham	Overall	39	9	10	20	35	58	-23
	Home	20	6	8	6	22	26	-4
	Away	19	3	2	14	13	32	-19

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Port Vale	1-0-4	4	10	-6
Rotherham	1-0-4	4	10	-6

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Port Vale	1.01	1.40	0.80	1.37
Rotherham	0.92	1.49	0.94	1.74

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	44.3%	40.7%	+3.7pp
Draw	24.4%	31.2%	-6.9pp
Away	31.3%	37.3%	-6.0pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.01 (49.7%) · No: 1.99 (50.3%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.9% 1-0 11.3% 0-1 9.7% 0-0 8.6% 2-1 8.5%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	8.6%	9.7%	5.5%	2.1%
1	11.3%	12.9%	7.3%	2.8%
2	7.5%	8.5%	4.8%	1.8%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.67	2.50
O/U 2.25	1.96	2.05
O/U 2.50	2.25	1.80
O/U 2.75	2.64	1.61
O/U 3.00	3.38	1.42
O/U 3.25	3.84	1.35
O/U 3.50	4.29	1.30

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.15	7.80
AH +1.25	1.17	7.06
AH +1.00	1.19	6.31
AH +0.75	1.33	4.05
AH +0.50	1.47	3.14
AH +0.25	1.58	2.71
AH +0.00	1.78	2.28
AH -0.25	2.11	1.90
AH -0.50	2.44	1.69
AH -0.75	2.98	1.51
AH -1.00	4.15	1.32
AH -1.25	4.75	1.27
AH -1.50	5.34	1.23

Model probs (cal): H 43.3% · D 21.3% · A 35.4% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (40.5%) | Most likely score: 1-1 (12.0%) | Market overround: 106.2% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 21.1% · Home by 2+ 19.4% · Draw 25.4% · Away by 1 19.1% · Away by 2+ 15.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.69 · Under 2.46)

Rec AH line: +0.00 (Home 1.84 · Away 2.19)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Wrexham	Overall	40	17	13	10	62	53	9
	Home	20	9	6	5	36	30	6
	Away	20	8	7	5	26	23	3
Southampton	Overall	39	17	12	10	63	48	15
	Home	19	10	6	3	29	14	15
	Away	20	7	6	7	34	34	0

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Wrexham	2-1-2	8	8	0
Southampton	3-2-0	9	4	5

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Wrexham	0.73	1.61	1.21	1.27
Southampton	1.39	1.27	1.60	1.43

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	43.3%	38.5%	+4.8pp
Draw	21.3%	29.3%	-8.0pp
Away	35.4%	38.5%	-3.1pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 1.79 (55.9%) · No: 2.27 (44.1%)

Top scorelines

1-1 12.0% 1-0 9.2% 2-1 8.7% 0-1 8.3% 1-2 7.9%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	6.3%	8.3%	5.4%	2.4%
1	9.2%	12.0%	7.9%	3.4%
2	6.7%	8.7%	5.7%	2.5%
3	3.2%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.46	3.19
O/U 2.25	1.69	2.46
O/U 2.50	1.92	2.09
O/U 2.75	2.17	1.86
O/U 3.00	2.60	1.63
O/U 3.25	2.97	1.51
O/U 3.50	3.34	1.43

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.18	6.66
AH +1.25	1.20	6.03
AH +1.00	1.23	5.39
AH +0.75	1.37	3.68
AH +0.50	1.52	2.93
AH +0.25	1.64	2.56
AH +0.00	1.84 VALUE	2.19
AH -0.25	2.16	1.87
AH -0.50	2.47	1.68
AH -0.75	2.99	1.50
AH -1.00	4.07	1.33
AH -1.25	4.62	1.28
AH -1.50	5.16	1.24

Model probs (cal): H 59.9% · D 24.9% · A 15.3% | Most likely result (xG grid): H (55.5%) | Most likely score: 1-0 (12.1%) | Market overround: 108.7% | Confidence: High

Margins: Home by 1 24.8% · Home by 2+ 30.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away by 1 13.6% · Away by 2+ 7.0%

Rec O/U line: 2.25 (Over 1.77 · Under 2.30)

Rec AH line: -0.25 (Home 1.59 · Away 2.70)

Season stats (2526)

Team	Scope	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD
Bromley	Overall	41	22	14	5	65	40	25
	Home	20	12	8	0	36	19	17
	Away	21	10	6	5	29	21	8
Shrewsbury	Overall	41	12	8	21	38	64	-26
	Home	21	8	5	8	19	25	-6
	Away	20	4	3	13	19	39	-20

Recent form (last 5)

Team	W-D-L	GF	GA	GD
Bromley	2-2-1	6	3	3
Shrewsbury	2-0-3	4	4	0

xG trend (avg)

Team	xGF L5	xGA L5	xGF L10	xGA L10
Bromley	1.15	1.64	1.24	1.45
Shrewsbury	0.89	1.46	0.94	1.72

Implied vs Model (1X2)

Outcome	Model %	Implied %	ΔP
Home	59.9%	59.9%	-0.0pp
Draw	24.9%	27.9%	-3.1pp
Away	15.3%	20.9%	-5.6pp

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Yes: 2.00 (50.0%) · No: 2.00 (50.0%)

Top scorelines

1-0 12.1% 1-1 11.4% 2-0 10.3% 2-1 9.7% 0-0 7.1%

Score probabilities (0–3)

H\A	0	1	2	3
0	7.1%	6.6%	3.1%	1.0%
1	12.1%	11.4%	5.3%	1.7%
2	10.3%	9.7%	4.6%	1.4%
3	5.9%	5.5%	2.6%	0.8%

Home goals ↓Away goals →

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Line	Over	Under
O/U 2.00	1.52	2.92
O/U 2.25	1.77	2.30
O/U 2.50	2.02	1.98
O/U 2.75	2.31	1.76
O/U 3.00	2.84	1.54
O/U 3.25	3.23	1.45
O/U 3.50	3.63	1.38

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Line	Home	Away
AH +1.50	1.08	14.29
AH +1.25	1.08	13.32
AH +1.00	1.09	12.35
AH +0.75	1.17	6.75
AH +0.50	1.26	4.85
AH +0.25	1.31	4.27
AH +0.00	1.37	3.69
AH -0.25	1.59	2.70
AH -0.50	1.80	2.25
AH -0.75	2.03	1.97
AH -1.00	2.45	1.69
AH -1.25	2.85	1.54
AH -1.50	3.25	1.44

Football Model Report

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Season stats (2526)

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xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

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Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

BTTS (Fair Odds)

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Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Top scorelines

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Top scorelines

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Top scorelines

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)

Implied vs Model (1X2)

BTTS (Fair Odds)

Top scorelines

Asian Totals (Fair Odds)

Asian Handicap (Fair Odds)

Season stats (2526)

Recent form (last 5)

xG trend (avg)